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Forums - Sales Discussion - GTA IV predictions

gebx said:
krik said:

So, how much will GTA IV sell in the first week? Let's put in some numbers for NA/Others with PS3/360 sales for
that week. Here is my guess ;)

Others

 Hardware
GTA IV
PS3  250k1.6m 
 360 125k800k 

 

NA

  HardwareGTA IV 
PS3  220k 1.1m
 360 175k 1.5m

 


Want to know the truth??

GTA IV won't have that big of an impact on sales (10% to 20% max), and ioi will have a huge problem on his hands
He'll either:
a) put up his raw data and fear that everyone will bash it saying its too low and somethings wrong with is data
or
b) he'll edit his data and boost it higher (25%-40%) so that fanboys on all sides will congratulate themselves for cheering the right console

He has said that there have been 2.4m and 1.6m pre-orders for GTA IV in the US on the 360 and PS3, those are not dissapointing numbers, and I am certain that people will buy the console for GTA IV

 



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gebx said:
krik said:

So, how much will GTA IV sell in the first week? Let's put in some numbers for NA/Others with PS3/360 sales for
that week. Here is my guess ;)

Others

 Hardware
GTA IV
PS3 250k1.6m
360 125k800k

 

NA

  HardwareGTA IV
PS3 220k 1.1m
360 175k 1.5m

 


Want to know the truth??

GTA IV won't have that big of an impact on sales (10% to 20% max), and ioi will have a huge problem on his hands
He'll either:
a) put up his raw data and fear that everyone will bash it saying its too low and somethings wrong with is data
or
b) he'll edit his data and boost it higher (25%-40%) so that fanboys on all sides will congratulate themselves for cheering the right console


It will impact PS3 sales much more than 10-20%. Even GT5P had much more than that (Europe).

Now regarding the 360, you're right. My numbers are too high. 360 should only see a 10-20% increase. 



PSN ID: krik

Optimistic predictions for 2008 (Feb 5 2008): Wii = 20M, PS3 = 14M, X360 = 9.5M

 

About 60:40 Xbox360:PS3 in North America

About 45:55 Xbox360:PS3 in Others



"Naturally the common people don't want war: Neither in Russia, nor in England, nor for that matter in Germany. That is understood. But, after all, IT IS THE LEADERS of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy, or a fascist dictatorship, or a parliament, or a communist dictatorship. Voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is TELL THEM THEY ARE BEING ATTACKED, and denounce the peacemakers for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. IT WORKS THE SAME IN ANY COUNTRY."  --Hermann Goering, leading Nazi party member, at the Nuremberg War Crime Trials 

 

Conservatives:  Pushing for a small enough government to be a guest in your living room, or even better - your uterus.

 

Xbox360 - 2.6m
Ps3 - 1.7m

It'll do good :D



    

Justice is always Right... Oh wait... that was Wright...

You know, I wonder how much piracy is going to impact the game's 360 sales. Because as far as I know, the PS3 still hasn't been cracked, whereas torrents of GTAIV for 360 are already on every site in the universe.



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i think we all come to the same agreement. Xbox 360 is going to sell more in the first week. I'm not sure about the future, but it seems the 360 will sell more the first week.



 

I'm very surprised about your numbers for the softwares in Europe ! I remember have seen a site which say PS3 reservations were really better than 360's reservations.

It says 3:1 in UK , 2:1 in Germany if I remember well. I have ask to my gameshop salesman, he told me : 128 for PS3 , 82 for 360 (I live in France). It means 1,5:1 in France if my gameshop represents the France.

So I would say :

Europe :

Ps3 : 800k/150k (thanks to the bundle)
360 : 500k/120 k

US :

PS3 : 700k/110k
360 : 1300k/100k (I don't know if there is a bundle in US ? )


Total : PS3 : 1500k/270k (with Japan)
360 : 1800k/220k



I love those who come and make fun of other people's prediction. and then refuse to give their own... Hypocrisy at its finest.

Week 1
PS3: 800K (210K HW)
360: 1.1-1.2 million (170K HW)



Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.

KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor
: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)

My GTA 4 prediction:

;P



 

mM

1 billion copies sold 1st day