You are right, I remember GTA V surpassing 200M sales but apparently Minecraft surpassed 300M.

I often forget Minecraft is also on mobile.

But then that would be Tetris, said to have sold 400M on mobile alone.

We have to take into account that those massive sellers released on 7 plattforms+ and/ or are often installed for free on phones/PCs. Sometimes they are only a few dollars while GTA, Mario, COD... are full priced games.

Astro is No.9 in the UK retail charts this week, overtaking Zelda which is No. 16...

I always expected Zelda to have a bigger opening, but if Astro holds better momentum in most western markets going into the holiday and throughout 2025, it will be a very close battle

I think it will more likely come down to how Sony treats Astro. It's sure to have legs but frequent sales will go a long way.

This is anecdotal but I know a lot of people that refuse to buy games in specific genres full price and platformers is one of them.

3.89 million sales for Zelda is a good half million more than what I was expecting for Q4

I was thinking the more mixed reception would make Zelda sales implode, but it doesn't seem to be the case. 5 million+ is locked for Zelda

Astrobot can reach 5 million but it will take at least the whole year, and it's nothing sure it will. Even after winning AOTY the game comeback to the charts was pretty mild, solid but mild


I'm changing my opinion. I think Zelda will win in sales, selling in a 5-6 million range

Benefits Zelda has over Astro Bot:

Bigger IP, also selling well in all major markets, while Astro Bot is getting low sales in Japan.

It would be embarrasing for Astro if they lost: Its GOTY 2024, has the PS5Pro behind it and it was hyped like crazy. If a 2D top down Zelda sells more on a handheld thats about to be replaced that would be quite embarrasing. Well, i guess we do not even have to start sending Mario in, if Astro got outsold by a small Zelda game, heavely critisized by its fans... I really do not want to hurt anyones feelings here but thats the way it looks right now. 1,5 million in 2 months vs 2,58 million in a few days is like day and night! There is no way to spin that around or even excuse that. People thinking this could only remotley come close to Mario's sales should give up drinking or smoking wired stuff!🙂 This prediction was just crazy! 

None of your logic is making sense lol. Zelda is actually an established franchise versus Astrobot which has existed only as a VR game for a userbase of 6m PSVR users and then as a free demo. There's no PS5 Pro update for Astro either. All logic points towards Zelda having better sales but Astro has legs & critical reception on its side, but that would take a pretty long time to pan out in its favour. 

Isolating the UK, Astro has continued to chart ahead of Zelda in the physical charts since about mid November. Going by typical physical digital split, that I think would put Astro a fair bit ahead in weekly sales physical+digital.

This week in the UK physical chart
Astro 15
Zelda 23

If this pattern keeps trend in other western markets, it'd probably equal out/compensate for the Astro's weak Japanese performance. Zelda still has the benefit from a much bigger launch but come Switch 2 I'd expect Astro's legs to make more and more of difference. But yeah, we won't see Astro catching up to Zelda (if it ever does) til some point next year

It also depends on how Echoes of wisdom will benefit from price cut promotions that it will probably start to get this year.