Software sales

01./01. [NSW] Power Pros 2024-2025 <SPT> (Konami) {2024.07.18} (¥7.700) - 21.392 / 223.619 <80-100%> (-39%)
02./03. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe <RCE> (Nintendo) {2017.04.28} (¥5.980) - 10.694 / 5.932.192 <80-100%> (+6%)
03./07. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons # <ETC> (Nintendo) {2020.03.20} (¥5.980) - 8.254 / 7.858.430 <80-100%> (+9%)
04./05. [NSW] Luigi's Mansion 2 HD <ACT> (Nintendo) {2024.06.27} (¥5.980) - 7.434 / 166.364 <80-100%> (-11%)
05./08. [NSW] Minecraft # <ADV> (Microsoft Game Studios) {2018.06.21} (¥3.600) - 6.917 / 3.585.175 <80-100%> (+5%)
06./14. [NSW] Nintendo Switch Sports # <SPT> (Nintendo) {2022.04.29} (¥4.980) - 6.469 / 1.363.142 <80-100%> (+30%)
07./10. [NSW] Super Mario Bros. Wonder <ACT> (Nintendo) {2023.10.20} (¥5.980) - 5.035 / 1.902.143 <80-100%> (-13%)
08./04. [NSW] Nintendo World Championships: Famicom Edition # <ETC> (Nintendo) {2024.07.18} (¥3.480) - 4.989 / 41.123 <60-80%> (-43%)
09./02. [NSW] One Piece: Odyssey - Deluxe Edition <RPG> (Bandai Namco Entertainment) {2024.07.25} (¥6.800) - 4.806 / 21.179 <40-60%> (-71%)
10./15. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate # <FTG> (Nintendo) {2018.12.07} (¥7.200) - 4.739 / 5.553.891 <80-100%> (+11%)
11./17. [NSW] Pokemon Scarlet / Violet # <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2022.11.18} (¥5.980) - 4.712 / 5.382.178 <80-100%> (+22%)
12./13. [NSW] Momotaro Dentetsu World: The Earth Spins with Hope! <TBL> (Konami) {2023.11.16} (¥6.300) - 4.524 / 1.100.518 <80-100%> (-10%)
13./06. [PS4] Power Pros 2024-2025 <SPT> (Konami) {2024.07.18} (¥7.700) - 4.446 / 61.865 <80-100%> (-46%)
14./18. [NSW] Splatoon 3 <ACT> (Nintendo) {2022.09.09} (¥5.980) - 4.097 / 4.341.547 <80-100%> (+9%)
15./20. [NSW] Paper Mario: The Thousand-Year Door <RPG> (Nintendo) {2024.05.23} (¥5.980) - 3.103 / 212.303 <80-100%> (+2%)
16./00. [NSW] Dokapon! Ikari no Tetsuken <TBL> (Sting) {2024.08.01} (¥4.200) - 2.973 / NEW <40-60%>
17./19. [NSW] Luigi's Mansion 3 <ACT> (Nintendo) {2019.10.31} (¥5.980) - 2.933 / 1.014.183 <80-100%> (-21%)
18./21. [NSW] Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics <ETC> (Nintendo) {2020.06.05} (¥3.980) - 2.883 / 1.306.603 <80-100%> (+3%)
19./00. [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure # <HOB> (Nintendo) {2019.10.18} (¥7.980) - 2.724 / 3.602.835 <80-100%> (+74%)
20./26. [NSW] Mario Party Superstars <ETC> (Nintendo) {2021.10.29} (¥5.980) - 2.455 / 1.474.505 <80-100%> (+5%)
21./00. [NSW] Hiiro no Kakera: Tamayori Hime Kitan - Omoi Iro no Kioku for Nintendo Switch # <ADV> (Idea Factory) {2024.08.01} (¥6.500) - 2.384 / NEW <60-80%>
22./28. [NSW] Pikmin 4 <ACT> (Nintendo) {2023.07.21} (¥5.980) - 2.250 / 1.230.850 <80-100%> (+12%)
23./22. [NSW] Super Mario Party # <ETC> (Nintendo) {2018.10.05} (¥5.980) - 2.122 / 2.318.172 <80-100%> (-19%)
24./00. [NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin: Rhythm Festival <ACT> (Bandai Namco Entertainment) {2022.09.22} (¥5.980) - 2.089 / 336.034 <80-100%>
25./29. [NSW] Kirby and the Forgotten Land <ACT> (Nintendo) {2022.03.25} (¥5.980) - 2.058 / 1.133.087 <80-100%> (+4%)
26./00. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild # <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 2.038 / 2.314.144 <80-100%> (+6%)
27./30. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom # <ADV> (Nintendo) {2023.05.12} (¥7.200) - 1.957 / 2.002.225 <80-100%> (+1%)
28./24. [NSW] Ace Combat 7: Skies Unknown - Deluxe Edition <STG> (Bandai Namco Entertainment) {2024.07.11} (¥5.900) - 1.729 / 22.807 <60-80%> (-28%)
29./00. [NSW] Puyo Puyo Tetris 2 [Special Price] <PZL> (Sega) {2022.11.17} (¥3.500) - 1.653 / 182.101 <80-100%> (+1%)
30./25. [NSW] Super Mario Odyssey # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2017.10.27} (¥5.980) - 1.614 / 2.496.867 <80-100%> (-32%)

Top 30

NSW - 29
PS4 - 1

Hardware sales

Source: Chris1964 - InstallBase
Last week's thread: Famitsu Sales: Week 30, 2024 (Jul 22 - Jul 28) (vgchartz.com)

Mario Kart coming for that 6 million physical sales, and Animal Crossing not too far away from 8 million physical copies. If you added up all of the physical sales of every PS5 and Xbox Series physical games do they total 6 million in Japan?

Xbox sales keeping constant at 4k but that will likely collapse after the 15th when the price increase goes into effect.

My guesstimate for the full year in Japan

Switch: 3.2 million
PlayStation: 1.4 million
Xbox: 140 thousand.

The PS5 is officially back to normal and its sales are so similar to last week it was only two off from being exactly the same. And there is a real possibility the Switch overtakes 2019 at week 34 and while it would fall behind forever right afterwards I did not think it would have a shot of doing that at any point.

The Switch is probably too high since its holiday sales aren't gonna be anything special and make it fall further behind than 2018 in the last stretch than that and the PS5 probably too low since from this point till the end of the year it sold close to 600k in 2022 despite stock issues but the final total for those won't be very different than that.

There’s always Dragon Quest…though if Mario Wonder wasn’t enough to send sales over 100k last holiday, it’s safe to say sales will sit comfortably between 75-95k/week in November and December.

Estimating Xbox > 180,000, not sure on Switch, PS does seem too low.

Last year's holidays were also very muted due to TotK release resulting in many sales being done long before the holidays, so it's quite possible the holiday sales won't be much lower than last years sales.

My prediction is 3M, but I wouldn't count out 3.2 as a possibility.