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Norion said:
Tober said:

My guesstimate for the full year in Japan

Switch: 3.2 million
PlayStation: 1.4 million
Xbox: 140 thousand.

The Switch is probably too high since its holiday sales aren't gonna be anything special and make it fall further behind than 2018 in the last stretch than that and the PS5 probably too low since from this point till the end of the year it sold close to 600k in 2022 despite stock issues but the final total for those won't be very different than that.

Last year's holidays were also very muted due to TotK release resulting in many sales being done long before the holidays, so it's quite possible the holiday sales won't be much lower than last years sales.

My prediction is 3M, but I wouldn't count out 3.2 as a possibility.