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Forums - Sales - Will Xbox Series X/S make it to 36 million?

 

Will the Xbox Series make it to 36 million?

Yes it will 13 36.11%
 
No, it will fall short 23 63.89%
 
Total:36
Evilms said:

(UK)

Xbox Series X|S
2020 : 310k
2021 : 850k
2022 : 757k
2023 : 650k
2024 : 462k
2025 : 282k
TOT : 3310k

PlayStation 5
2020 : 460k
2021 : 1160k
2022 : 780k
2023 : 1210k
2024 : 1000k
2025 : 880k
TOT : 5490k

Wtf happened in 2022 for it to be that close between the 2 consoles? Bad year for PS5 unfortunately 



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We will never know thanks to corrupt m$ for not giving sales data.
But I truly believe xbox barely pass 30 million and also believe it will never reach 35 million! 👌



halil23 said:

Wtf happened in 2022 for it to be that close between the 2 consoles? Bad year for PS5 unfortunately 

PS5 still had terrible stock issues throughout 2022 in the UK, during that time they seemed to prioritise NA for shipments.



2022 was a difficult year for the PS5 in Europe with huge stock issues.



trunkswd said:
Zippy6 said:

Sales down 39% YoY in the UK for the whole of 2025. Worst year for Xbox on record.

I've done the math. Our estimates on VGC has Xbox Series at 456.5K for 2024. 39% drop would be 278.5K for 2025. We have sales in 2024 so far at 226.6K, leaving 51.9K for December. That would be a 43% drop for the month compared to December 2024. Overall it seems like our estimates are pretty good for Xbox in UK.

Hopefully Chris gives some PS5 figures next.

Dunno if you've seen it yet, but PS5 was down 12% YoY.

Paints a very different picture than the -40% November (pre-bf) did. I don't know what the YTD YoY was like up until then, but maybe BF onwards it was up YoY.



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Zippy6 said:
trunkswd said:

I've done the math. Our estimates on VGC has Xbox Series at 456.5K for 2024. 39% drop would be 278.5K for 2025. We have sales in 2024 so far at 226.6K, leaving 51.9K for December. That would be a 43% drop for the month compared to December 2024. Overall it seems like our estimates are pretty good for Xbox in UK.

Hopefully Chris gives some PS5 figures next.

Dunno if you've seen it yet, but PS5 was down 12% YoY.

Paints a very different picture than the -40% November (pre-bf) did. I don't know what the YTD YoY was like up until then, but maybe BF onwards it was up YoY.

12% drop for PS5 year-on-year would put our estimates at 867K for 2025. We have it at 705K through November, which would put December at 162K. That would be down slightly from the 167.5K sold in December 2024. That seems reasonable enough. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news, as well as posting random gaming content. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

Xbox numbers are going to be adjusted down.
I reinforce my call, it's not surpassing 36M.



Based on Aldora intelligence, xbox series x had sold 28.4 m as of June 2024.
Vgc estimate aren't off by a lot.
I don't get it that so many have voted no, it's just 2m away...

Unless voting behavior was mostly based on the uncertainty about the exact sales total number.

Last edited by tak13 - on 12 January 2026

After the latest adjustments, 2.27m to go, which is a big ask of a system that's crawling along like a wounded tortoise.



curl-6 said:

After the latest adjustments, 2.27m to go, which is a big ask of a system that's crawling along like a wounded tortoise.

More like a drowsy Wombat.

Come on, 1.5M at least in 2026.

Which is 125k per month.

What the heck with the low balling.