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Forums - Sales - November Circana (NPD) 2023 Thread + Predictions

DonFerrari on 06 December 2023
Shtinamin_ said:

Best selling console WorldWide November 2023
1. PS5 2.64M
2. Switch 1.93M
3. Xbox Series X/S 1.72M

Best selling video game worldwide November 2023
1. Call of Duty: Modern Warfare III
2. Super Mario Bros. Wonder
3. Marvel's Spider-Man 2
4. EA Sports FC 24
5. Hogwarts Legacy
6. Battlefield 2042
7. Baldur's Gate 3
8. Minecraft
9. Lethal Company
10. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe


PS5 has sold around 0.8M in UK alone and .23M in Japan. I think Americas will sell 1M easy, and rest of Europe around .53M, and the rest of the world .08M.
Switch has sold around .31M in Japan alone.
Xbox Series sold around .1M in UK alone and .01M in Japan. I think my Xbox Series prediction is high. Oh, well. I'll still stand by it.

I think your gap for Xbox and Switch is to small.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

Around the Network
Shtinamin_ on 06 December 2023
DonFerrari said:
Shtinamin_ said:

Best selling console WorldWide November 2023
1. PS5 2.64M
2. Switch 1.93M
3. Xbox Series X/S 1.72M

Best selling video game worldwide November 2023
1. Call of Duty: Modern Warfare III
2. Super Mario Bros. Wonder
3. Marvel's Spider-Man 2
4. EA Sports FC 24
5. Hogwarts Legacy
6. Battlefield 2042
7. Baldur's Gate 3
8. Minecraft
9. Lethal Company
10. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe


PS5 has sold around 0.8M in UK alone and .23M in Japan. I think Americas will sell 1M easy, and rest of Europe around .53M, and the rest of the world .08M.
Switch has sold around .31M in Japan alone.
Xbox Series sold around .1M in UK alone and .01M in Japan. I think my Xbox Series prediction is high. Oh, well. I'll still stand by it.

I think your gap for Xbox and Switch is to small.

Yeah it might be. I just think that it'll sell well in Europe and the Americas. It didn't sell well in Japan. How big should the gap be then? Should Xbox Series be at 1.42M?



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.

DonFerrari on 06 December 2023
Shtinamin_ said:
DonFerrari said:

I think your gap for Xbox and Switch is to small.

Yeah it might be. I just think that it'll sell well in Europe and the Americas. It didn't sell well in Japan. How big should the gap be then? Should Xbox Series be at 1.42M?

The whole year in basically all markets Xbox have been like 1/3 of PS sales so it being over 1/2 seems like a high number imho.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

Shtinamin_ on 06 December 2023
DonFerrari said:
Shtinamin_ said:

Yeah it might be. I just think that it'll sell well in Europe and the Americas. It didn't sell well in Japan. How big should the gap be then? Should Xbox Series be at 1.42M?

The whole year in basically all markets Xbox have been like 1/3 of PS sales so it being over 1/2 seems like a high number imho.

That makes sense. Xbox has had a rough generation. Ill go for Xbox Series 1.12M then. And that's based on if everything goes right for them.
Thanks for the background info!



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.

trunkswd on 06 December 2023

I know this thread is supposed to be about the US, but I see people talking worldwide figures. So here are the worldwide VGChartz estimates for November 2022:

  1. NS: 2.83M
  2. PS5: 2.42M
  3. XSX|S: 1.20M
Last edited by trunkswd - on 06 December 2023

VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown | Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

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Shtinamin_ on 06 December 2023

Oh, sorry. I should've read better.
Regarding the US in November 2023 I predict

Hardware:
1.PS5 1.13M
2. Switch 0.8M
3. Xbox Series 0.5M

Software:
Same as my worldwide prediction



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.

INCITATUSBR on 06 December 2023

any idea when Black Friday sale numbers in the US will be revealed?



SanAndreasX on 06 December 2023
trunkswd said:

I know this thread is supposed to be about the US, but I see people talking worldwide figures. So here are the worldwide VGChartz estimates for November 2022:

  1. NS: 2.83M
  2. PS5: 2.42M
  3. XSX|S: 1.20M

If this is true, Switch is still a monster in its old age. And that Xbox number... oof.



Shtinamin_ on 06 December 2023
SanAndreasX said:
trunkswd said:

I know this thread is supposed to be about the US, but I see people talking worldwide figures. So here are the worldwide VGChartz estimates for November 2022:

  1. NS: 2.83M
  2. PS5: 2.42M
  3. XSX|S: 1.20M

If this is true, Switch is still a monster in its old age. And that Xbox number... oof.

It is true, this is last year's sales figures.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.

trunkswd on 06 December 2023
INCITATUSBR said:

any idea when Black Friday sale numbers in the US will be revealed?

NPD/Circana report for all of November will be released on December 13.



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown | Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.