Nah dude you’re moving goalposts and can’t even answer simple questions. You brought up Mario fatigue when explaining your prediction and now people are asking where this idea of fatigue is coming from and you’re answer is “Switch has a lot of Mario games”.

Why would Wonder blow away 3D World? Idk, why did Mario Odyssey blow away previous 3D Marios? BotW blow away previous Zeldas? GTA5 blow away previous GTAs? Skyrim blow away previous Elder Scrolls? Mario Kart 8 Deluxe blow away previous Mario Karts? Super Mario Party blow away previous Mario Parties?

I really don’t know why you think 3D World is somehow relevant all of a sudden.

Also funny that the guy whose defense has been, “why are you mad? It’s my opinion” is using “that’s just your opinion” as an argument.

I'm not up to date on Nintendo's software release schedule,so correct me if I'm wrong, but with the Switch 2's release seemingly not to far away Wonder may actually benefit from having some clean air around it in terms of big first party releases up to the Switch 2's release, like I said correct me if I'm wrong in thinking that.

About Spiderman 2 while I see Wonder selling more depending on the Switch 2 release date it may not be as big a margin as some think, I think that those posters who bring up the PS5 install base as a negative for Spiderman, need to remember that Spiderman isn't just selling to those 42 plus million existing console owners, it will be releasing at a time where the gaming base is experiencing an upwards growth trajectory that should see the PS5 numbers double in size over the next few years making it an opportune time for it's release knowing that if it sells to expectation that upswing will give it legs and see it selling to a great many of those new owners.

The best part is people actually fall for it. I always came back here to laugh about his "opinions" because people really get pissed off with a troll saying bad things about their favorite brand 

I'm done with thread. I'll be back in a month to see who wins the prediction.

I said its his opinion that NSMBU has not real effort or no ambitious I think it's a good 2d platformer.

Mario Kart 8 was ported with DLC and has been getting more DLC (lots of it).  Mario Kart 8 has been marketed and supported well.

Very flawed argument. NSMBUD was an unexciting last gen port of a Mario series that needed to be put out to pasture that launched in the month of January to little marketing as an afterthought to the previous holiday season....and it's still up at 16m now and legs still going.

NSMBUD is what makes the strongest case for Wonder hitting 30m or thereabouts. A brand new Mario game totally different from the rest, launching as the holiday title of the Switch's most likely last holiday with a 130m userbase (nearer to 140m by the time the holiday season is over). If NSMBUD can end up getting close to 20m then Wonder certainly has a good chance at hitting 30m. It will certainly vastly outsell NSMBUD and that game is still selling well at 16m.

And you don't see the thirst for Mario platformers??? wtheck?! Mario Platformers sell crazy amounts on Switch, and the Mario movie just became one of the biggest movies of all time....how in the world could anyone not see the thirst for Mario platformers? Such a bizarre thing to say.

So my question would be, with NSMBUD at 16m and still selling well, and Wonder coming out as a much more anticipated game that will clearly sell a ton more than NSMBUD, where could it fall that isn't at least close to 30m considering it's definitely going to way outsell a game that is looking to sell 18-20m? I mean I guess you could lowball it and say it'll only hit 25m, but 25m doesn't speak to any sort of fatigue for the series obviously, and 25m is of course a hell of a lot more than Spiderman is gonna sell on PS5. But honestly it'll probably be at or at least very close to 20m just this quarter as the big holiday game for the Switch, and it'll no doubt sell >5million next year, and since we're not getting another 2D Mario any time soon it'll likely keep selling not just to Switch owners in 2025 and later but also to next gen owners who pick up some of the big Switch games to play on the next gen system. It is very hard to make a case for it not hitting 25 million, so 30m would be a good bet. Maybe it ends up just short of 30m, I dunno we'll have to see how it plays out. But 30m is definitely a realistic target.

We'll be waiting for your apology.

To be fair it is just a prediction.  An apology is overkill.  If he is wrong, who cares?  I don't plan on apologizing if I'm wrong.