I was really out of the loop on Nintendo first party sales numbers, those are just completely insane.

Regional YoY Q1 shipments

Japan .72m > 1.20m (+66%)
Americas 1.27m > 1.18m (-7%)
Europe 1.11m > .94m (-15%)
Others .33m > 0.58m (+75%)
Total 3.43m > 3.91m (+14%)

It really is amazing. The Ns should be declining like it is in Europe and Americas, but the eztremely vveak yen and the opening of the country again makes the sales boom in Japan. I feel Others is a knock on effect from people seeing their friends importing their Ns from Japan and vvanting one for themselves and deciding to buy from official channels.

ShadowLink93 said: Bar Charts for software and hardware https://i.imgur.com/tOz4IQX.png" class="bbImage" width="635" height="439">

hmm...seeing this chart leads me to predict Switch sales figures to sit comfortably around 145mil by the end of fiscal 2023. No doubt Zelda and Pikmin will allow for a Q2 of around 3.25-3.5mil. Super Mario Wonder will easily skyrocket sales figures to 10mil for Q3. Switch successor announcement in Q4 will knock sales likely to 2mil. Incredible numbers for year seven if this is the case! In this situation, Switch will likely sit right around the DS lifetime. PS2 would be a stretch...though not impossible, especially depending on if Nintendo markets the successor as a direct sequel to the Switch (at which point, the original Switch retains cultural relevancy, allowing for sales to ride along the coattails of Switch 2).

I love how Tears of the Kingdom casually outsold Twilight Princess by 10 millions in just two months.

Nintendo numbers are every other publishers wet dream.

Holy.

Can the Switch actually de-throne PS2? Seems highly likely. Or at least likely.

firebush03 said: ShadowLink93 said: Bar Charts for software and hardware tOz4IQX.png Luminoth-4545 · Aug 3, 2023 at 9:51 AM " style="box-sizing: border-box; display: inline-block; max-width: 100%; cursor: pointer;">https://i.imgur.com/tOz4IQX.png" class="bbImage" width="635" height="439"> hmm...seeing this chart leads me to predict Switch sales figures to sit comfortably around 145mil by the end of fiscal 2023. No doubt Zelda and Pikmin will allow for a Q2 of around 3.25-3.5mil. Super Mario Wonder will easily skyrocket sales figures to 10mil for Q3. Switch successor announcement in Q4 will knock sales likely to 2mil. Incredible numbers for year seven if this is the case! In this situation, Switch will likely sit right around the DS lifetime. PS2 would be a stretch...though not impossible, especially depending on if Nintendo markets the successor as a direct sequel to the Switch (at which point, the original Switch retains cultural relevancy, allowing for sales to ride along the coattails of Switch 2).

145mil would be quite a stretch. Nintendo is expecting 15m this fiscal year, which means it would sit at 140m+ by the end of fiscal 2023.

I think it can if they cut the prices and continue to produce it after the next hardware. If they don't it probably won't outsell the PS2

Switch sold around the same amount as I expected, slightly less then the 4.1M I expected but still around the ballpark with 3.91M sold.

TOTK sold amazingly like expected, still crazy to me how it was able to outsell literally every other Zelda game by 2 to 4 times I'm less than two months with 18M sold. Even Zelda games that were considered all time greats and great sellers like OOT and TP got easily outsold which is insane. Even SS HD on the large Switch install base got outsold by 4 times by TOTK in less than two months, which shows that at this point most Zelda fans primarily only care about the open world Zelda games.

Pretty surprised this Quarter broke a record when it came to profit for Q1 considering that Switch is in its 7th year and it was competing with the huge 2020 Q1 with AC, but with Zelda and the Mario Movie it managed to beat it.

firebush03 said: ShadowLink93 said: Bar Charts for software and hardware https://i.imgur.com/tOz4IQX.png" class="bbImage" width="635" height="439"> hmm...seeing this chart leads me to predict Switch sales figures to sit comfortably around 145mil by the end of fiscal 2023. No doubt Zelda and Pikmin will allow for a Q2 of around 3.25-3.5mil. Super Mario Wonder will easily skyrocket sales figures to 10mil for Q3. Switch successor announcement in Q4 will knock sales likely to 2mil. Incredible numbers for year seven if this is the case! In this situation, Switch will likely sit right around the DS lifetime. PS2 would be a stretch...though not impossible, especially depending on if Nintendo markets the successor as a direct sequel to the Switch (at which point, the original Switch retains cultural relevancy, allowing for sales to ride along the coattails of Switch 2).

i think you’re a bit too optimistic here. sales are declining in the Americas and Europe too much for Japan to pick up the declines going into the next few quarters.

it’s definitely possible for nintendo to beat their 15m forecast but i doubt it’ll be by more than 500k to 1m units at best.