I agree with the above post because today I saw Trump giving his "victory" speech when onely 35 percent of the votes were in!
BiON!@
I agree with the above post because today I saw Trump giving his "victory" speech when onely 35 percent of the votes were in!
BiON!@
With 91% of the votes counted in New Hampshire, Trump is going to win 54 to 43%. However, considering that poll aggregators had 56 to 36% on average (and even over 60% for Trump in the last 2 polls without DeSantis), it looks like Haley got the majority of the undecided voters and did quite a bit better than expected while Trump underperformed somewhat.
If Haley could make that a trend (and capitalize on the increasing signs of dementia of Trump), id' say she still has a shot, even though the odds are still long.
The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing
The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/
Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/


| Shtinamin_ said: How come the AP (and everyone else) has declared the New Hampshire primary race over (even though they only have 25% reporting)? It’s not over til it’s over. |
A few things:
A call basically starts as a projection. It's not an official result. It's basically an outlet making an educated judgment call. It's possible for a call to be wrong.
CNN called Florida for Gore in 2000:

Obviously this didn't end up being the correct call.
They make these judgment calls based off things like polling and previous election results. For example, California pretty consistently votes for Democrats at the federal level. They might expect from polling that California will vote 63% for the Democratic Nominee in 2024 and 34% for the Republican Nominee for President, and it helps that is what the last election looked like there. An outlet might call the election extremely early in California, because they might be seeing the early vote go the way they expected, or maybe even more slanted towards Democratic than they expected. Some of those states, I think even frequently get called when there are still 0 votes, just because it would require an unprecedented Christmas miracle for things to go the other way.
In this case, they might have had something like "in these counties we expect Haley to win by 2%, and in these counties we expect Trump to win by 4%." And these will have a margin of error of about 3%. If we start the real count on those Haley counties, and Trump is actually winning by 1% (that is within the margin of error to still be accurate polling); then it's pretty safe to conclude that Trump will win the whole state. If he didn't, that would require the Trump counties to actually go to Haley, and that would require the +4% Trump to be a very large unexpected error.
Every vote will be counted to be sure, and as I said the call isn't an official result.
NEW: Today, Trump privately pressured Senate Republicans to “kill” a bipartisan deal to secure the U.S. border because he doesn’t want Biden to chalk up a win ahead of the 2024 presidential election, per a source familiar with negotiations. https://t.co/BzSzqS0WuA
— Jennifer Bendery (@jbendery) January 25, 2024
Wow. McConnell seems to be saying that because Trump "wants to run on immigration," Congress can't try to solve immigration now.
— Tom Malinowski (@Malinowski) January 24, 2024
Meanwhile, we must let Russia win a war and watch Ukrainians die, because "the politics have changed." https://t.co/mzzZrhS824
I hate the Tories in the UK but man, the Republican Party is truly something else, what a fucking cult it has became.
Ryuu96 said:
|
If Biden has any brains left he should now bash Trump and the Republicans as "wanting totally open borders with no regulations since they killed the bill to avoid those"
The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing
The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/
Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/
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Last edited by DeletedAccount3 - on 25 January 2024| Shtinamin_ said: How come the AP (and everyone else) has declared the New Hampshire primary race over (even though they only have 25% reporting)? It’s not over til it’s over. |
They can extrapolate from early voting patterns who the winner will be. You'll see it in November as well. States like Oklahoma and Tennessee will be called for Trump almost as soon as the counting starts.Same thing with California being called for Biden almost out of the gate. They call it when the remaining votes show no likely/possible path to victory in that precinct for one candidate or another.
| Ryuu96 said: I hate the Tories in the UK but man, the Republican Party is truly something else, what a fucking cult it has became. |
"Become"? It's been like this for a great many years. I lived in Oklahoma in 1994, at the time of the so-called Republican Revolution, and Oklahoma is one of the places where the cult took root and blossomed early on. Not only at the Congressional level, but the state's flagship newspaper, which was owned by a conservative family, began targeting the Democratic governor and his family. The Republican governor who followed passed the nation's first welfare-to-work laws and eventually "right-to-work" legislation aimed at undermining labor unions.