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Forums - Sales Discussion - How many units will the PS5 sell worldwide?

 

How many units will the PS5 sell

70 million 3 4.29%
 
80 million 7 10.00%
 
90 million 10 14.29%
 
100 million 23 32.86%
 
110 million 13 18.57%
 
120 million 6 8.57%
 
130 million 4 5.71%
 
140 million 1 1.43%
 
150 million 1 1.43%
 
160 million and more 2 2.86%
 
Total:70
Slownenberg on 22 September 2022
deerox said:
Panicradio said:

I thought alot about it, too. My bet is 132m.

I suspect the PS5 to have longer legs in terms of 'quality software' output than PS4 did. I suspect the raw leap in hardware power to be the reason for longer support of critical acclaimed games, SSD-written engines being the motor for that.

I suspect PSVR2 will also have a bigger impact on hardware sales than PSVR1 did.

I really suspect the PS5 being able to climb behind 125m, summitting at +-130m.

How long are you expecting? It must have very long legs to outdo it's predecessor considering that most AAA games are still being released on the PS4 even though the system is nine years old.

Yeah like, almost two years in, what big games are even on the PS5 that aren't on the PS4 and aren't just remakes of 5/10/15 year old games, or ports from one or two generations ago that are getting released for like the third time?

I know stock limitations have hurt PS5, but the exclusive software available just seems very lackluster. I can't even think of a single exclusive PS5 game I've heard of yet that would make someone think "I gotta get that system".

PS5 buyers are probably just PS4 upgraders, but some of those people are going to be choosing XBSeries instead, or Switch or Switch 2 instead. No way I see PS5 selling as much as PS4. And with Microsoft buying up companies, the Playstation brand dying in Japan, and Nintendo just dominating the market, I don't see PS5 finding any breakout success. Of course by this I still mean it'll sell like 100m because it's Playstation and they pretty much have a built-in 100m user base, but yeah don't think it'll get much higher than that.



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Bofferbrauer2 on 22 September 2022
Kyuu said:
Slownenberg said:

Yeah like, almost two years in, what big games are even on the PS5 that aren't on the PS4 and aren't just remakes of 5/10/15 year old games, or ports from one or two generations ago that are getting released for like the third time?

I know stock limitations have hurt PS5, but the exclusive software available just seems very lackluster. I can't even think of a single exclusive PS5 game I've heard of yet that would make someone think "I gotta get that system".

PS5 buyers are probably just PS4 upgraders, but some of those people are going to be choosing XBSeries instead, or Switch or Switch 2 instead. No way I see PS5 selling as much as PS4. And with Microsoft buying up companies, the Playstation brand dying in Japan, and Nintendo just dominating the market, I don't see PS5 finding any breakout success. Of course by this I still mean it'll sell like 100m because it's Playstation and they pretty much have a built-in 100m user base, but yeah don't think it'll get much higher than that.

People always don't see Playstation home consoles selling as much as they ultimately do, and many proceed to learn little from it. The fact that PS5 is doing so well without a single major "nextgen only" multiplat (let alone exclusive) is an argument FOR PS5 outselling PS4, not against it. That PS4 continues to be supported only means PS5's lifespan should be even longer. Major supply constraints and engines/tools taking too long to catch up bode well for PS5's future.

Spider-Man 2 and GTA6 are two of the first batch of games that will push unprecedented numbers of Playstation systems, provided supply issues are solved. The only thing that could go wrong is Microsoft paying for timed GTA6 exclusivity and marketing rights. As long as that doesn't happen, PS5 is locked to break several records in the foreseeable future.

I'm curious what is it that would convince you PS5 outselling PS4 is a high possibility. Will 25 million PS5's sold in FY2023 be enough? or do you expect it to fall of a cliff when it's closer to transitioning most PS4 users?

Yeah, that's why everybody expected PS4 to sell over 130M and everybody who said it wouldn't happen got ridiculed. Oh, wait...

/s

I can agree for the first 2 consoles (both record-setting by a country mile), but PS3 and PS4 both ultimately sold less than many were expecting.

As for why I expect less sales, it's because the Xbox is selling much better than the last generation and both Playstation + Xbox taken together always sold ~175 combined. This is due to both catering to the exact same demographic, so if one rises, the other one has to drop. It's simple math.

GTA6 exclusivity isn't the only thing that could happen. How about Microsoft denying Playstation the next CoD entries for a start? Or any future Bethesda game? Those would hurt the console much more than you seem to understand.

And of course, the console getting tons of hype and selling out now doesn't mean it still does in a year or so. Just look how it went for the Wii.



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

CosmicSex on 01 October 2022

It will sell at least 130 million. It should start to pull ahead of the PS4 before 3/31/24



super_etecoon on 07 October 2022

Any guesses from anyone when we'll start to see PS5s sitting on a store shelf for longer than a few days? 2024? 2025?



Kyuu on 07 October 2022
super_etecoon said:

Any guesses from anyone when we'll start to see PS5s sitting on a store shelf for longer than a few days? 2024? 2025?

I'm thinking 2023... or 2024 at the latest. Clear signs production is considerably improving, and Sony is going the extra mile to establish themselves as the villain of the industry.



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ironmanDX on 07 October 2022

100 million