How many units will the PS5 sell worldwide?

[Bofferbrauer2]

Kyuu said:

Slownenberg said:

Yeah like, almost two years in, what big games are even on the PS5 that aren't on the PS4 and aren't just remakes of 5/10/15 year old games, or ports from one or two generations ago that are getting released for like the third time?

I know stock limitations have hurt PS5, but the exclusive software available just seems very lackluster. I can't even think of a single exclusive PS5 game I've heard of yet that would make someone think "I gotta get that system".

PS5 buyers are probably just PS4 upgraders, but some of those people are going to be choosing XBSeries instead, or Switch or Switch 2 instead. No way I see PS5 selling as much as PS4. And with Microsoft buying up companies, the Playstation brand dying in Japan, and Nintendo just dominating the market, I don't see PS5 finding any breakout success. Of course by this I still mean it'll sell like 100m because it's Playstation and they pretty much have a built-in 100m user base, but yeah don't think it'll get much higher than that.

People always don't see Playstation home consoles selling as much as they ultimately do, and many proceed to learn little from it. The fact that PS5 is doing so well without a single major "nextgen only" multiplat (let alone exclusive) is an argument FOR PS5 outselling PS4, not against it. That PS4 continues to be supported only means PS5's lifespan should be even longer. Major supply constraints and engines/tools taking too long to catch up bode well for PS5's future.

Spider-Man 2 and GTA6 are two of the first batch of games that will push unprecedented numbers of Playstation systems, provided supply issues are solved. The only thing that could go wrong is Microsoft paying for timed GTA6 exclusivity and marketing rights. As long as that doesn't happen, PS5 is locked to break several records in the foreseeable future.

I'm curious what is it that would convince you PS5 outselling PS4 is a high possibility. Will 25 million PS5's sold in FY2023 be enough? or do you expect it to fall of a cliff when it's closer to transitioning most PS4 users?

Yeah, that's why everybody expected PS4 to sell over 130M and everybody who said it wouldn't happen got ridiculed. Oh, wait...

/s

I can agree for the first 2 consoles (both record-setting by a country mile), but PS3 and PS4 both ultimately sold less than many were expecting.

As for why I expect less sales, it's because the Xbox is selling much better than the last generation and both Playstation + Xbox taken together always sold ~175 combined. This is due to both catering to the exact same demographic, so if one rises, the other one has to drop. It's simple math.

GTA6 exclusivity isn't the only thing that could happen. How about Microsoft denying Playstation the next CoD entries for a start? Or any future Bethesda game? Those would hurt the console much more than you seem to understand.

And of course, the console getting tons of hype and selling out now doesn't mean it still does in a year or so. Just look how it went for the Wii.