This boils down to the differences Greece has with Turkey.

If Erdogan gets voted out and his successor is less belligerent towards Greece or the west in general, I expect Greece to start sending more equipment, too.

They're both in Nato, as such this cancels itself out. If Turkey were to leave the alliance, then this would shift into Greece's favor and they could send more equipment (and probably would do so eagerly to save some bucks). As such, the best hope is that Erdogan gets voted out this spring and his successor starts more constructive talks with Greece instead of constantly sending them some threats.

Hmm, is that actually how it would work? Even if Turkey is the aggressor and attacks Greece, they (NATO) wouldn't help Greece because Turkey is also in NATO? That sounds a bit mad, Lol. Still, I don't think Turkey has any serious intention of attacking Greece and it's just Erdogan being a dick as per usual and hamming things up for the elections, once they're over I expect him to shut up.

Still, I do hope he is voted out as long as the successor maintains the strong Ukraine support (keeping the strait closed, supplying Ukraine with weapons) but less of the being a dick to your allies, Erdogan is the master of playing both sides off against each other and it is frustrating, even if he screws over Putin from time to time, he's also threatening Greece nonstop and being a dick to Sweden.

It's never been tested (and hopefully never is) as to what happens if one Nato member attacks another. I'm theory Article 5 would apply to the nation under attack, but the aggressor could jam up the political machine (and likely would in the lead up to the attack). Presumably though the aggressor would be turfed out of Nato

I read up a bit about Article 5, and while a very quick look at the Wikipedia article didn't reveal much, I noticed there's Article 8 that handles this precise issue. Basically it seems like Greece would have the support of the US and France.

I have had a hard time imagining any realistic scenario where Putin will have to take responsibility. The way this whole conflict has played out, the solution to it in the best case scenario amounts to Russia being beaten on the battlefield, fully pushed out of Ukraine, Ukraine being embraced as a NATO member in quick fashion, all Russians within the borders of Russia going free of any international punishment aside from (mostly) toothless sanctions against them. And this has to be good enough.

People need to remember that the vast majority of crimes of Nazi Germany went unpunished too. Only a few people were prosecuted in the aftermaths while almost everyone else was allowed to carry on with their lives. This isn't proper justice, but real politics and ideals are two very different things, that's just how it is.

So yeah, what the war is about is bringing freedom and safety back to Ukraine while the other side of the equation - the situation in Russia - can be barely influenced nor touched.

We already have a year of war behind us and I think it will last at least twice as long. Russia must suffer a military and economic defeat for peace talks to take place. It's good that the topic is constantly updated. Great job Ryu!

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/mar/02/russia-run-out-of-money-oleg-deripaska

Whisper it. It may be speculation or an exaggeration but maybe, just maybe...

Meanwhile Bakhmut is not looking good, I hope Ukraine knows what they're doing there because it looks like an encirclement could happen and American officials have been telling them to abandon it for a while now, stating it has little tactical significance so a few are confused why Ukraine is so insistent on holding it but Ukraine knows more than us so I just hope they have a good reason.

James is being sent to Bakhmut.

Yeah this is an odd situation, I expected Ukraine retreat a long while ago. Maybe it's just too good of an opportiny to wear out Russian army and resources? A more unpleasant possibility could be Ukraine is desperately holding on because Russia would advance to burn down other cities as well.

But did US officials tell them abandon Bakhmut or advice not to send too much resources there? I'd agree they shouldn't defend Bakhmut at the expense of possible large counter-offensive.

Anyway, let's hope and trust Ukraine knows what it's doing.