Seeing that Switch recently got hit with a substantial U.S. price hike across all models, I think it’s safe to say that we have absolutely no idea how everything will settled LTD. If there are no further price hikes, then I say 50/50 chance Switch surpasses PS2. Though even if it does not, the Switch has a projected LTD within a couple million of PS2’s LTD (without a single price cut, I should add)…which is still an incredible feat, especially when considering where Nintendo was at the start of the system.

According to available data (VGChartz July Worldwide Estimates & Japan Aug-Sept 13 Estimates) Switch has sold (according to Shipment of June 30th & estimations) 153,470,382 units.

Based on last official Nintendo Shipment, the estimate overestimated by 22k, so I will consider this 153.47M rather accurate.

Since the release of the Switch 2, the Switch has averaged ~64,746 units/week (excluding only Japan estimates of Aug-Sept 13, as if I wanted weekly I’d want the complete week from all regions.

If this trend continues until Nov 1, we should expect the Switch to reach 841,693.667 ~154,193,422 units sold (for if Nintendo shipped it is considered sold). And if we continue to Dec 31, 2025 (I’ll use Worldwide February 2025 estimates for Nov and Dec) it should reach ~155,221,898.

In each region, the Switch in FY’25 has sold 381,497 units in the Americas, 286,676 units in Europe, 458,075 in Japan. Overall it’s ~1,350,382. And by Dec 31, 2025 this estimate should be 3,101,898 units. Meaning by the end of the fiscal year Nintendo only needs to ship 1,398,102 units from Jan-Mar 31, 2026 in order to reach their goal of 4.5M, 156.62M.

In order to surpass the alleged PS2 shipment numbers (maxed out at) 160.1M, the Switch needs to sell 3.48M after (hopefully) reaching the FY’25 goal.

We can make an assumption that the FY’26 goal would be anywhere from a 25-50% decrease from 4.5M. I guesstimate it should be 3M, a 33.4% decrease.

Meaning after Mar 31, 2027 Nintendo will only need to ship 480k. Very doable.

it doesnt matter whether I'm right or wrong. ive never let that stop me before and im surely not going to change that for the sake of the ps2

According to available data (VGChartz July Worldwide Estimates & Japan Aug-Sept 13 Estimates) Switch has sold (according to Shipment of June 30th & estimations) 153,470,382 units.

Based on last official Nintendo Shipment, the estimate overestimated by 22k, so I will consider this 153.47M rather accurate.

Since the release of the Switch 2, the Switch has averaged ~64,746 units/week (excluding only Japan estimates of Aug-Sept 13, as if I wanted weekly I’d want the complete week from all regions.

If this trend continues until Nov 1, we should expect the Switch to reach 841,693.667 ~154,193,422 units sold (for if Nintendo shipped it is considered sold). And if we continue to Dec 31, 2025 (I’ll use Worldwide February 2025 estimates for Nov and Dec) it should reach ~155,221,898.

In each region, the Switch in FY’25 has sold 381,497 units in the Americas, 286,676 units in Europe, 458,075 in Japan. Overall it’s ~1,350,382. And by Dec 31, 2025 this estimate should be 3,101,898 units. Meaning by the end of the fiscal year Nintendo only needs to ship 1,398,102 units from Jan-Mar 31, 2026 in order to reach their goal of 4.5M, 156.62M.

In order to surpass the alleged PS2 shipment numbers (maxed out at) 160.1M, the Switch needs to sell 3.48M after (hopefully) reaching the FY’25 goal.

We can make an assumption that the FY’26 goal would be anywhere from a 25-50% decrease from 4.5M. I guesstimate it should be 3M, a 33.4% decrease.

Meaning after Mar 31, 2027 Nintendo will only need to ship 480k. Very doable.

That's alright,you can play pretend all you want.

oh believe me, I absolutely intend to

Soo weird, ow well.

 Its the same as guys thinking they can be girls

Now its gamers thinking there favorite console sold the most just because they say so.

Weird world.

Soo weird, ow well.

 Its the same as guys thinking they can be girls

Now its gamers thinking there favorite console sold the most just because they say so.

Weird world.