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Forums - Sales Discussion - If Nintendo Switch sales drops like wii... (in 2 analyzis)

siebensus4 said:
yo33331 said:

I see how everyone says "switch even hasn't receive pricecut at this point". It has. Just Nintendo made it in a smart way. With introducing of cheaper model. Just like in other industries there is cheaper models that are for people who can't afford the normal one, here the Switch Lite is this affordable option. And whoever until now wanted to have a switch but didn't have the money for the normal one, they all have bought the Lite one. So no there is no point in doing another price cut and Nintendo won't do it because they already have cheaper option at 199$. This is the pricecut Switch got. In 2019. Just not in it's pure form of slashing the original model's price, but introducing new cheaper model.

There is of course the possibility of doing second one however that one will most likely be when announcing or even launching it's successor, just to soften the blow on the sales of the Switch. Which at that point won't have so big of an impact.

With price cut I meant Swith Lite $99 and regular model $199. OLED model $249 someday. GameCube and Wii Mini also got a $99 price tag.

I'm aware that Nintendo cut the price for the regular model in Europe from 349 to 299 EUR. That's a small price cut

Those prices are unlikely to happen, the days of $99 handhelds and $199 consoles are over outside of temporary deals or end of life stock clearing.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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siebensus4 said:
yo33331 said:

I see how everyone says "switch even hasn't receive pricecut at this point". It has. Just Nintendo made it in a smart way. With introducing of cheaper model. Just like in other industries there is cheaper models that are for people who can't afford the normal one, here the Switch Lite is this affordable option. And whoever until now wanted to have a switch but didn't have the money for the normal one, they all have bought the Lite one. So no there is no point in doing another price cut and Nintendo won't do it because they already have cheaper option at 199$. This is the pricecut Switch got. In 2019. Just not in it's pure form of slashing the original model's price, but introducing new cheaper model.

There is of course the possibility of doing second one however that one will most likely be when announcing or even launching it's successor, just to soften the blow on the sales of the Switch. Which at that point won't have so big of an impact.

With price cut I meant Swith Lite $99 and regular model $199. OLED model $249 someday. GameCube and Wii Mini also got a $99 price tag.

I'm aware that Nintendo cut the price for the regular model in Europe from 349 to 299 EUR. That's a small price cut

That is false. The price was 329€ and went down to 299€ because of inflation. It was a price adjustment. A price cut like what you're sugesting is made with the intention of increasing sales but reduces profit.



zorg1000 said:
siebensus4 said:

With price cut I meant Swith Lite $99 and regular model $199. OLED model $249 someday. GameCube and Wii Mini also got a $99 price tag.

I'm aware that Nintendo cut the price for the regular model in Europe from 349 to 299 EUR. That's a small price cut

Those prices are unlikely to happen, the days of $99 handhelds and $199 consoles are over outside of temporary deals or end of life stock clearing.

I agree. 99$/€ will never be close to profitable. If you take the sellers share, shipping and distribution as well as the large amount of components needed for the lite, 99$ will only ever happen if the thing is on clearance. You can reduce cost only to a certain point. Hardware does simply not move fast enough these days.

In addition you need to take inflation into consideration. 100€ in 2000 are 134€ today.



xMetroid said:

Wii's drop was big but it seemed enormous because other console had a second life during that gen and Wii didn't. Switch still is supply constrained and Nintendo has the cards to make it stay as long as they want. It really all depends on that. They could sell 160 millions if they want to but also 140 if they just want to move on.

If Nintendo hits its forecast then Switch will be at 128.65 million units by next March.

In the last three fiscal years, PS4's low tail sales amounted to 20.2 million units (13.5+5.7+1.0).

Switch closing just at 140 million units is a pretty unlikely scenario IMO.

It's very likely we are looking at a >150M console.

Last edited by Endymion - on 17 May 2022

ShadowLink93 said:
yo33331 said:

Are you updating this one ?

Despite the drop 23.06m is still extremely high and a very good year, just goes to show how phenomenal FY 20-21 was.

FY 20-21 was definitely a great year.  However I also like to look at the year before and the year after.  The most recent shipment of 23.06m is greater than the pre-pandemic shipment of 21.03m.  Switch's rise was greater than it's fall.  It is falling gradually in comparison, and it will likely continue to fall gradually.  And of course the software pipeline looks very strong for the foreseeable future.  That is what really determines a console's sales trajectory. 

Last edited by The_Liquid_Laser - on 17 May 2022