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Forums - Nintendo - Predict Metroid Dread, Hardware/Software total for Switch Q3 Report 3rd Feb

 

Will Metroid Dread ship 3 million in it's first quarter?

Yes 15 68.18%
 
No 7 31.82%
 
Total:22
Doctor_MG on 31 January 2022
Kakadu18 said:

In case you didn't know: Let's Go shipped 10mil in it's first quarter.

For some reason I thought Let's Go's initial sales were lower than that. In that case, Diamond and Pearl will probably sell at least one to two million above that. 



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UnderwaterFunktown on 31 January 2022
ShadowLink93 said:
UnderwaterFunktown said:

Alright, I'm going to predict totals for Switch hardware and software rather than how much they do in this quarter.

Switch Hardware Total: 103 mil

Switch Software Total: 765 mil

Metroid Dread: 2.6 mil

Mario Party Superstars: 5.7 mil

Pokémon Pretty Gemstones: 13 mil

Bonus:

Mario Kart 8 Deluxe: 40.1 mil

Ring Fit Adventure: 14.2 mil

Nice predictions apart from Mk8D because i highly doubt it will only ship 1.4m, the bundle probaby did a million on it's own.

Whoops, definitely screwed up some math there yea. It sells more than that in a regular quarter. I'll go ahead and fix it



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Kakadu18 on 01 February 2022

Now here are all my predictions:

Hardware for the quarter:
10.5mil

Edit: after the low PS5 numbers I'm gonna lower my hardware prediction:

10.1mil

Software:
100mil

Games:
MK8D: 42mil
ACNH: 37mil
SSBU: 27.2mil
BotW: 25.6mil
Sw/Sh: 23.7mil
SMO: 22.8mil
SMP: 17.5mil
Let's Go: 14.2mil
Splatoon 2: 13.1mil
RFA: 13.5mil

NSMBUDX: 12.5mil
LM3: 11mil
SM3DW+BF: 8.8mil
Mario Golf: 2.45mil
TLoZ: SS HD: 4.8mil
Miitopia: 1.6mil
WarioWare: 1.2mil
Metroid Dread: 2.5mil
MPS: 6mil
BD/SP: 12mil

NPS (without Japan numbers): 2.38mil

Last edited by Kakadu18 - on 02 February 2022

Torpoleon on 01 February 2022

@Doctor_MG I wouldn't be surprised if BDSP reaches sales of 13 million at the end of the holiday quarter when the results are posted by Nintendo. Less than SWSH, which is to be expected, but still high sales. It was released on a system that essentially just crossed the 100 million mark (probably ending 2021 over 103 million).



ShadowLink93 on 02 February 2022
Kakadu18 said:

Now here are all my predictions:

Hardware for the quarter:
10.5mil

Edit: after the low PS5 numbers I'm gonna lower my hardware prediction:

10.1mil

Software:
100mil

Games:
MK8D: 42mil
ACNH: 37mil
SSBU: 27.2mil
BotW: 25.6mil
Sw/Sh: 23.7mil
SMO: 22.8mil
SMP: 17.5mil
Let's Go: 14.2mil
Splatoon 2: 13.1mil
RFA: 13.5mil

NSMBUDX: 12.5mil
LM3: 11mil
SM3DW+BF: 8.8mil
Mario Golf: 2.45mil
TLoZ: SS HD: 4.8mil
Miitopia: 1.6mil
WarioWare: 1.2mil
Metroid Dread: 2.5mil
MPS: 6mil
BD/SP: 12mil

NPS (without Japan numbers): 2.38mil

With PS5 shipping 3.9m and Xbox series 4.4m i think the low ten's for Switch is most likely now, i just hope it doesn't dip below 10m because i want it to be the second ever console to break 10 million in a quarter on three seperate occasions. I think it will stay above 10m mainly because October was so huge and it can offset the slightly dissapointing NPD Nov + Dec.  You reminded me about LM3, i think we definately get numbers tommorow, it must have broken 1 million from Apr to Dec.