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Forums - Sales Discussion - PlayStation/Xbox/Switch Hardware Battle: 2021 Edition: FINAL RESULTS!

Week 19 Breakdown:

PlayStation 4: Up in the United States; Down in Europe, Japan, and the Rest of the World; Down overall.

PlayStation 5: Up in all regions.

Xbox One: Down in all regions.

Xbox Series: Up in all regions.

Nintendo Switch: Up in the United States, Japan, and the Rest of the World: Down in Europe; Down overall.

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WEEK 19 UPDATE

(Projection of Switch Sales in 2021 based on % of sales during week 18 from prior years)

Switch 2021

As of week 19: 8.651 million

(% Sales from 2017) Total sales for year: 34.09 million (Last week: 33.57 million)

(% Sales from 2018) Total sales for year: 38.37 million (Last week: 38.03 million)

(% Sales from 2019) Total sales for year: 37.55 million (Last week: 37.28 million)

(% Sales from 2020) Total sales for year: 29.32 million (Last week: 30.05 million)

Projections for Switch are up every year except 2020. However, this is to be expected as this is the last week in which 2020 sees boosted sales due to the Animal Crossing / COVID bump. Furthermore, solid evidence suggests a Q3 release date for the next Switch revision, with manufacturing starting in June.

(Opinion) Outlook suggests production may take a hit during late summer but will rebound massively during the fall and holiday season. If the production of Switch / Switch Lite SKUs is not slashed significantly or immediately due to the new model, sales considerable north of 30M may begin to be considered for this FY. 



Week 20 Breakdown:

PlayStation 4: Up in the United States; Down in Europe, Japan, and the Rest of the World; Down overall.

PlayStation 5: Up in all regions.

Xbox One: Down in all regions.

Xbox Series: Up in all regions.

Nintendo Switch: Up in Japan and the Rest of the World; Down in the United States and Europe; Up overall.

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Nintendo: The losing streak is over! The Switch is now up YoY this week after 8 straight weeks of being down following the head to head competition between Animal Crossing: New Horizons and Monster Hunter: Rise. And not in ends the losing streak in style as this week, the Switch has officially surpassed the Xbox 360 on the All Time Console Sales list! Furthermore, the Switch also passes 9 million units sold for this year on Week 20, one week earlier than it did last year.

Microsoft: The Xbox Series has officially surpassed 2 million units sold for this year, a whopping 10 weeks earlier than it took the Xbox One to pass the same mark in its first full year on the market in 2014. It also stretches its lead over the Xbox One to 2/3rd of a million - Which is what the Xbox One will be lucky to achieve this year if it continues its steady decline at this rate.

Sony: The PS5 extends its winning streak to 4 weeks over the PS4 as it passes 4.25 million units on the year, 3 weeks earlier than the PS4 did in 2014. The PS4 is poised to pass 1 million units sold this year as of next week, a feat that took the PS3 only 11 weeks to achieve, so the PS4 is 9 weeks behind the PS3's pace.



PAOerfulone said:

Week 20 Breakdown:

PlayStation 4: Up in the United States; Down in Europe, Japan, and the Rest of the World; Down overall.

PlayStation 5: Up in all regions.

Xbox One: Down in all regions.

Xbox Series: Up in all regions.

Nintendo Switch: Up in Japan and the Rest of the World; Down in the United States and Europe; Up overall.

----------------------------------------------------

Nintendo: The losing streak is over! The Switch is now up YoY this week after 8 straight weeks of being down following the head to head competition between Animal Crossing: New Horizons and Monster Hunter: Rise. And not in ends the losing streak in style as this week, the Switch has officially surpassed the Xbox 360 on the All Time Console Sales list! Furthermore, the Switch also passes 9 million units sold for this year on Week 20, one week earlier than it did last year.

Microsoft: The Xbox Series has officially surpassed 2 million units sold for this year, a whopping 10 weeks earlier than it took the Xbox One to pass the same mark in its first full year on the market in 2014. It also stretches its lead over the Xbox One to 2/3rd of a million - Which is what the Xbox One will be lucky to achieve this year if it continues its steady decline at this rate.

Sony: The PS5 extends its winning streak to 4 weeks over the PS4 as it passes 4.25 million units on the year, 3 weeks earlier than the PS4 did in 2014. The PS4 is poised to pass 1 million units sold this year as of next week, a feat that took the PS3 only 11 weeks to achieve, so the PS4 is 9 weeks behind the PS3's pace.

Bravo! Thank you! Love to see this thread every week.



yo33331 said:
PAOerfulone said:

It also stretches its lead over the Xbox One to 2/3rd of a million - Which is what the Xbox One will be lucky to achieve this year if it continues its steady decline at this rate.

Really ?

Xbox One is slightly ahead of 360 in 2015, which did 930k for the year.

If it keeps the same pace of declining it should reach 1 full million by end of the year, what 2/3rds are you talking about ?

And no, it is not luck, it's something normal. Even the 1M this year is something normal. More than 1M for the year will be luck.

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/244504/switch-vs-ds-and-ps4xb1-vs-ps36015-week-may-22nd/

39,4391,417,786106,1432,085,766+ 66,704+ 667,980

                                                                               ^^^

That's the 2/3rds of a million that I'm talking about. (It stretches it's lead over the Xbox One to 2/3rds of a million; 667k, is roughly 2/3rds of 1 million.)

With each passing week, the Xbox One's baseline has gradually declined. That 14,509 it just posted is the lowest number it has put up. The lows are getting lower. 

January - 24,456

February - 23,346 (- 1,110)

March - 20,292 (- 3,054)

April - 17,354 (- 2,938)

May - 15,112 (-2,242)

The baseline drops another 1-3k by the 1st week of each new month. At this rate, it may be under 10k by the time we hit September. What indication or reason do we have to believe that the baseline will remain where it is or just magically start climbing back up? Especially as eyes, attention, and resources shift more and more to the Xbox Series? That's why I said it would be lucky to hit 2/3rds of 1 million on the year, because we have seen no indication and have no reason to believe that this free-fall will stop any time soon. Right now, the bottom is falling out. The Wii U's baseline in May 2016 was selling at almost double the Xbox One's baseline is currently and the Wii U ended up at 1.16 million. And the Wii U had the benefit of not having its successor launching until the next year, the Xbox One does not. 

You bring up the 360, but here's the thing. The 360 had A LOT more going in its favor than the Xbox One ever had. Sales, marketing, game library, momentum, reputation. Once upon a brief time, the 360 was the market leader of the 7th generation, and it was ultimately the winner in North America, which largely carried it in its later years. Two things which the Xbox One does not have in its favor. The fact that you felt the need to compare the Xbox One, in its first year after the launch of its (thus far, considerably successful, fairly well received) successor, to the Xbox 360 in its second year after the launch of its (not so successful, poorly received, some would even call failure) successor, should tell you right there just how bleak the future looks for the Xbox One.



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WEEK 20 UPDATE

(Projection of Switch Sales in 2021 based on cumulative sales through week 19 from prior years)

Switch 2021

As of week 19: 8.651 million

(% Sales from 2017) Total sales for year: 34.47 million (Last week: 34.09 million)

(% Sales from 2018) Total sales for year: 38.51 million (Last week: 38.37 million)

(% Sales from 2019) Total sales for year: 37.88 million (Last week: 37.55 million)

(% Sales from 2020) Total sales for year: 29.32 million (Last week: 29.32 million)



Switch 2021 looks like it'll hit 10 million a week before Switch 2020! Amazing how well Switch 2021 has done at keeping up with Switch 2020 thus far.

These next few weeks might be a bit iffy though. I'm sure it will still be over 300,00 and maybe even over 350,000, but I don't know if it can keep hitting 400,000 for the next few weeks. Should be fine by the time E3 rolls around (assuming we get an awesome Direct), along with games like Mario Golf & SS HD in July (certainly more than what Switch had in 2020 during the same timeframe).



Week 21 Breakdown:

PlayStation 4: Up in the United States; Down in Europe, Japan, and the Rest of the World; Down overall.

PlayStation 5: Up in all regions.

Xbox One: Down in all regions.

Xbox Series: Up in all regions.

Nintendo Switch: Up in Japan and the Rest of the World; Down in the United States and Europe; Down overall.

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This final week of May saw some big adjustments to the 3 current consoles, and the PS5 and Switch unfortunately were adjusted down. Now the Switch maintains a slim margin over last year, less than 200k, and the PS5's lead is down to just under 500k. Of the three, it is the Xbox Series that had the biggest lead in its comparison with just over 700k.



Week 23 Breakdown:

PlayStation 4: Up in the United States; Down in Europe, Japan, and the Rest of the World; Down overall.

PlayStation 5: Up in all regions.

Xbox One: Down in all regions.

Xbox Series: Up in all regions.

Nintendo Switch: Up in all regions.

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We're in the 2nd week of June, and the Switch has officially crossed 10 million worldwide for the year! Exactly 1 week before it did it last year as it continues to maintain its slim lead over last year. Hopefully with the announcements made at E3 and a more streamlined schedule coming up will help boost 2021 towards being the peak year. Between Mario Golf, Skyward Sword HD, Monster Hunter Stories 2, WarioWare, Metroid Dread, Mario Party Superstars, SMT V, and Pokemon BD/SP as the most notable releases, in conjunction with what has already been released this year with Bowser's Fury, Monster Hunter Rise, Bravely Default 2, and New Pokemon Snap, I truly believe that 2021's lineup is stronger than 2020's. Assuming Nintendo can meet sales demand, 2021 should have a good shot at being the peak year.

The PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series continue to pick up steam as they are both tracking very comfortably ahead of their predecessors.

Overall, the hardware market is looking extremely healthy as we near the mid-way point of 2021.



Week 24 Breakdown:

PlayStation 4: Up in the United States; Down in Europe, Japan, and the Rest of the World; Down overall.

PlayStation 5: Up in all regions.

Xbox One: Down in all regions.

Xbox Series: Up in all regions.

Nintendo Switch: Up in Europe, Japan, and the Rest of the World; Down in the United States; Up overall.

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Week 24 is in the books!

The PS5 is knocking on the door to 5 million for the year and will do it on Week 25. For comparison's sake, the PS4 didn't past 5 million in its first year until Week 27. The PS5 extends its lead over the PS4 to a little over 454k. Meanwhile, the PS4's deficit to the PS3 continues to drop as it is now over the 3 quarter mark at a little over 757k.

The Xbox Series saw a noticeable bump in in sales. To the point where this week is its biggest week of the year at just under 140k. And it's enough to to where it stretches its lead over the Xbox One's first year to a little over 897k, just shy of 900k. This was also the same week in 2014 where the Xbox One finally ditched the Kinect 2.0 and dropped its price down to $399. Something that ultimately was too little too late to reverse the Xbox One's fortunes and hopes of catching up with the PS4 and making the generation competitive. Speaking of the Xbox One, it continues its free fall as it dips below 13k this week and its deficit to the 360 is now over 651k.

And in the main event, the Nintendo Switch builds another slim win over last year, slightly boosting its lead to just over 127k. Despite a deficit of over 300k in Europe, it's tracking ahead in the other 3 regions enough to the point where it is ahead overall. Next week should have a small bump due to the release of Mario Golf: Super Rush, but very small. Especially since the latest Famitsu report had Switch sales down from the prior week in spite of Mario Golf's release.