Forums - Sales Discussion - VGChartz Gap Charts September 2020 Discussion Thread

Getting 7.7 million in 12 month compared to PS4 is huge.

In 3 month PS4 will be at roughly 63.8 million units. This then is August 2017 for PS4.
In the last 3 month of 2019 Switch sold roughly 11 million.
Assuming 2020 holiday will be similar, Switch then will lead with 77 million -vs- 63.8 million - thats roughly +13.2 million.
PS4 was at 77 million mid March 2018. This will be mid July 2021 for Switch.



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RolStoppable said:
curl-6 said:
6 million aligned lead over PS4... maybe, just maybe Switch will win this one after all.

I hope that's sarcasm and self-depreciating humor at this point.

Switch is 6m ahead with one holiday season less. As always, 12 month intervalls of comparison work best for consoles that didn't launch anywhere close to in the same month.

12 months - Switch ahead by 2m
24 months - cumulative Switch lead hits 4m
36 months - cumulative Switch lead reaches 6m
48 months - cumulative Switch lead is 13m+ (projected)

Year 5 and 6 for the PS4 are ~19m and ~14m, respectively. Would be a major upset if Switch didn't continue the trend of growing its lead over the PS4 every year.

There's a good chance that Switch's life to date sales by month 72 already exceed the PS4's lifetime sales.

It's definitely on track to sell more, I just try to never discount Nintendo's ability to be their own worst enemy and fumble the ball.

Last edited by curl-6 - on 15 October 2020

Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

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Switch vs 3DS and Wii U Sales Comparison - Switch Lead Nears 9 Million September 2020

This monthly series compares the aligned worldwide Nintendo Switch sales with the combined Nintendo 3DS and Nintendo Wii U sales.

Switch Vs. 3DS and Wii U Global:

Gap change in latest month: 1,554,540 - Switch

Gap change over last 12 months: 12,296,006 – Switch

Total Lead: 8,911,374 - Switch

Switch Total Sales: 65,713,911

3DS and Wii U Total Sales: 56,802,537

September 2020 is the 43rd month that the Nintendo Switch has been available for. During the latest month, the gap grew in favor of the Switch by 1.55 million units when compared to the combined sales of the 3DS and Wii U during the same timeframe. In the last 12 months, the gap has grown in favor of the Switch by 12.30 million units. The Switch leads by 8.91 million units.

The 3DS launched in February 2011 (however, 3DS sales have been aligned to March 2011, since it only launched at the end of February in Japan), the Wii U launched in November 2012, and the Nintendo Switch launched worldwide in March 2017. The holiday periods between the Switch and 3DS lineup, however, the Wii U holiday is offset from the Switch.

The 43rd month for the Nintendo Switch is September 2020, for the Nintendo 3DS it is September 2014 and for the Wii U it is May 2016. The Switch has sold 65.71 million units, while the 3DS and Wii U have sold 56.80 million units during the same timeframe. The 3DS and Wii U did not reach current Switch sales until month 54.

The 3DS and Wii U have sold 89.37 million units lifetime through September 2020. The Switch is 22.66 million units behind the 3DS and Wii U. The Wii U has been off the market for several years only selling 13.56 million units lifetime, while the 3DS recently ended production and the few remaining stock units left in stock will likely be sold out by the end of the year.



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

trunkswd said:

Share this article here.

Switch vs 3DS and Wii U Sales Comparison - Switch Lead Nears 9 Million September 2020

This monthly series compares the aligned worldwide Nintendo Switch sales with the combined Nintendo 3DS and Nintendo Wii U sales.

Switch Vs. 3DS and Wii U Global:

Gap change in latest month: 1,554,540 - Switch

Gap change over last 12 months: 12,296,006 – Switch

Total Lead: 8,911,374 - Switch

Switch Total Sales: 65,713,911

3DS and Wii U Total Sales: 56,802,537

September 2020 is the 43rd month that the Nintendo Switch has been available for. During the latest month, the gap grew in favor of the Switch by 1.55 million units when compared to the combined sales of the 3DS and Wii U during the same timeframe. In the last 12 months, the gap has grown in favor of the Switch by 12.30 million units. The Switch leads by 8.91 million units.

The 3DS launched in February 2011 (however, 3DS sales have been aligned to March 2011, since it only launched at the end of February in Japan), the Wii U launched in November 2012, and the Nintendo Switch launched worldwide in March 2017. The holiday periods between the Switch and 3DS lineup, however, the Wii U holiday is offset from the Switch.

The 43rd month for the Nintendo Switch is September 2020, for the Nintendo 3DS it is September 2014 and for the Wii U it is May 2016. The Switch has sold 65.71 million units, while the 3DS and Wii U have sold 56.80 million units during the same timeframe. The 3DS and Wii U did not reach current Switch sales until month 54.

The 3DS and Wii U have sold 89.37 million units lifetime through September 2020. The Switch is 22.66 million units behind the 3DS and Wii U. The Wii U has been off the market for several years only selling 13.56 million units lifetime, while the 3DS recently ended production and the few remaining stock units left in stock will likely be sold out by the end of the year.

This one is particularly satisfying to watch. By this time next year, Switch should have overtaken 3DS + Wii U combined, in just 4 and a half years. 



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

curl-6 said:
trunkswd said:

Share this article here.

Switch vs 3DS and Wii U Sales Comparison - Switch Lead Nears 9 Million September 2020

This monthly series compares the aligned worldwide Nintendo Switch sales with the combined Nintendo 3DS and Nintendo Wii U sales.

Switch Vs. 3DS and Wii U Global:

Gap change in latest month: 1,554,540 - Switch

Gap change over last 12 months: 12,296,006 – Switch

Total Lead: 8,911,374 - Switch

Switch Total Sales: 65,713,911

3DS and Wii U Total Sales: 56,802,537

September 2020 is the 43rd month that the Nintendo Switch has been available for. During the latest month, the gap grew in favor of the Switch by 1.55 million units when compared to the combined sales of the 3DS and Wii U during the same timeframe. In the last 12 months, the gap has grown in favor of the Switch by 12.30 million units. The Switch leads by 8.91 million units.

The 3DS launched in February 2011 (however, 3DS sales have been aligned to March 2011, since it only launched at the end of February in Japan), the Wii U launched in November 2012, and the Nintendo Switch launched worldwide in March 2017. The holiday periods between the Switch and 3DS lineup, however, the Wii U holiday is offset from the Switch.

The 43rd month for the Nintendo Switch is September 2020, for the Nintendo 3DS it is September 2014 and for the Wii U it is May 2016. The Switch has sold 65.71 million units, while the 3DS and Wii U have sold 56.80 million units during the same timeframe. The 3DS and Wii U did not reach current Switch sales until month 54.

The 3DS and Wii U have sold 89.37 million units lifetime through September 2020. The Switch is 22.66 million units behind the 3DS and Wii U. The Wii U has been off the market for several years only selling 13.56 million units lifetime, while the 3DS recently ended production and the few remaining stock units left in stock will likely be sold out by the end of the year.

This one is particularly satisfying to watch. By this time next year, Switch should have overtaken 3DS + Wii U combined, in just 4 and a half years. 

After that is the Wii then GB then PS4 (it should be ahead of the GB soonish), then the two kings - DS and PS2.  



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

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trunkswd said:
curl-6 said:

This one is particularly satisfying to watch. By this time next year, Switch should have overtaken 3DS + Wii U combined, in just 4 and a half years. 

After that is the Wii then GB then PS4 (it should be ahead of the GB soonish), then the two kings - DS and PS2.  

If Nintendo doesn't cut the Switch short prematurely, Wii, PS1, and GB should be in the bag. After that it gets tricky.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

curl-6 said:
trunkswd said:

After that is the Wii then GB then PS4 (it should be ahead of the GB soonish), then the two kings - DS and PS2.  

If Nintendo doesn't cut the Switch short prematurely, Wii, PS1, and GB should be in the bag. After that it gets tricky.

DS and PS2 are possible only if Nintendo keeps supporting it for another three or four years and drops the price. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

trunkswd said:
curl-6 said:

If Nintendo doesn't cut the Switch short prematurely, Wii, PS1, and GB should be in the bag. After that it gets tricky.

DS and PS2 are possible only if Nintendo keeps supporting it for another three or four years and drops the price. 

Four more years at least, and get it down to like $200 for the base and $100 for the Lite.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

curl-6 said:
trunkswd said:

DS and PS2 are possible only if Nintendo keeps supporting it for another three or four years and drops the price. 

Four more years at least, and get it down to like $200 for the base and $100 for the Lite.

Considering the specs I am not sure $100 for the Lite is possible. My best guess is the first price cut will be to $180 for the Lite and $250 for the base. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

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Switch vs PS4 in the US Sales Comparison - Switch lead Tops 3 Million in September 2020

This monthly series compares the aligned US sales of the Nintendo Switch and the PlayStation 4.

Switch Vs. PS4 US:

Gap change in latest month: 472,154 - Switch

Gap change over last 12 months: 3,708,765 - Switch

Total Lead: 3,022,032 - Switch

Switch Total Sales: 22,099,339

PS4 Total Sales: 19,077,307

September 2020 is the 43rd month that the Nintendo Switch has been available for. During the latest month, the gap in the US between the Switch and PlayStation 4 grew in favor of the Switch when you align launches. The Switch sold 472,154 more units than the PS4 in the last month. In the last 12 months, the Switch has grown its lead by 3.71 million units. The Switch currently leads by 3.02 million units.

The PS4 launched in the US on November 15, 2013, while the Switch launched on March 3, 2017. Therefore, the holiday periods for the two consoles do not lineup, which is why there are big increases and decreases.

The 43rd month on sale for the Switch is September 2020, while for the PS4 it is May 2017. The Switch has sold 22.10 million units, while the PS4 sold 19.08 million units during the same timeframe. The PS4 did not reach the current Switch sales until month 50 where it sold a total of 22.96 million units.

The PS4 has been available for 83 months in the US and has sold 34.14 million units. The Switch is currently 12.04 million units behind the lifetime sales of the PS4.



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.