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Forums - Sales Discussion - Predict Switch 2020 sales

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How many Switches will be sold this year?

Less than 24 million 2 4.55%
 
24 - 25.9 million 2 4.55%
 
26 - 27.9 million 10 22.73%
 
28 - 29.9 million 12 27.27%
 
30 - 31.9 million 10 22.73%
 
32 - 33.9 million 4 9.09%
 
34 - 35.9 million 1 2.27%
 
36 - 39.9 million 0 0%
 
Over 40 million 0 0%
 
Nintendo is doomed! 3 6.82%
 
Total:44

By VGC, NSW's October (2,023K in 4 weeks) was the all time high ahead of the NDS's highs around 1.6-1.7M in 2007 and 2008. Sign to come for Nov/Dec?

Nov all time highs are NDS 08 (3.8M).
Dec all time highs are NDS 08 and Wii 09(7.0M and 6.5M).

Through two weeks, NSW 20 is at 1.29M with AOC week and then Black Friday week still to be counted. Last year, NSW did 3,45M in November, and 599K and 1.89M for those last two weeks. If it keeps up the increase over 2019 for the final two weeks then the NDS record is toast with 4.63M sold in 4 November weeks, and will be sitting at 23.84M with 4 weeks of December to go, so 6.16M needed. Dec 2019 4 weeks was 5.03M, so Dec needs to be up 22%. It's going to be very close within this 52 week tracking period.

Last edited by mk7sx - on 29 November 2020

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Bumping this to see how people did.  Switch ended 2020 with 28.26m units.  Not bad.

Slownenberg said:

I think it'll do 28 million.

Norion said:

I'll go with 28-30. It selling better in August than expected combined with it being very unlikely it's flat from September-December should make it do a decent bit better than last year despite the worse holiday lineup and no revision this time. I hope it gets over 30 million and not only breaks the record but becomes the first console ever to sell that much in a single year.

Check out these guys.  They were right on the money.

I ended up about 4m too high.



The_Liquid_Laser said:

Bumping this to see how people did.  Switch ended 2020 with 28.26m units.  Not bad.

Slownenberg said:

I think it'll do 28 million.

Norion said:

I'll go with 28-30. It selling better in August than expected combined with it being very unlikely it's flat from September-December should make it do a decent bit better than last year despite the worse holiday lineup and no revision this time. I hope it gets over 30 million and not only breaks the record but becomes the first console ever to sell that much in a single year.

Check out these guys.  They were right on the money.

I ended up about 4m too high.

It barely got into that range but it's nice I was right! I remember you predicting the Switch will become the best selling console of all time a while back and I thought that was a pretty unrealistic prediction at the time but now that's looking far more possible than it was even just a year ago so props for seeing the massive sales potential of the Switch before most people did.