The more I read these replies, the more I realize Nintendo basically screwed themselves and Sony just happened to be at the right place at the right time. Every explanation of why Sony succeeded can either be applied to NEC or is just plain wrong. "Yamauchi was a dick and that's why devs want to flee Nintendo." Yamauchi was still a dick when NEC entered the market in Generation 4, and that didn't help them at all. "Sony was offering great deals to third parties, i.e. had more money to spend." NEC actually had a bigger $$ advantage over Nintendo than Sony did, because Nintendo was a smaller company when the TG16 released. By the time Sony entered the market, Nintendo was raking in two piles of cash from both the Gameboy and the SNES. Sony was still bigger than Nintendo at the time, but NEC was a huge goliath compared to Nintendo. It still didn't help them. "The N64 just didn't have enough games and the Playstation did." Yeah, that actually shows that Nintendo would have won if they gone with the CD. Sony had all of those games, because Nintendo didn't adopt the CD format.
What actually was different between NEC's situation and Sony's? When the TG16 released, third parties were making tons of money by partnering with Nintendo. The TG16 and Genesis ended up with more third party games than Nintendo's Gen 3 competitors, but Nintendo still had the best third party games: Mega Man X, Dragon Quest, and especially all of the Square games, all ended up on SNES, plus a ton of other third party games. Third party devs didn't majorly jump ship in Generation 4, because Nintendo was making them a lot of money. Generation 5 was different. CD's were clearly going to make devs more money. Cartridge prices kept going up, while CD's were ultra cheap and had huge storage capacity. CD was clearly the better technology and Nintendo just screwed up by not adopting it. Sony was the best alternative to Nintendo, so they reaped all of the benefits. Third companies left Nintendo, because CD's clearlly made more business sense.
Nintendo screwed themselves. They weren't the first. Atari crashed the video game market in the US all by themselves. Leading companies can, and clearly have, just totally hose themselves over. But in Generation 5, Sony was positioned to reap the benefits. Nintendo fumbled and Sony picked up the ball and ran with it. It was smart of Sony to take advantage of Nintendo's fumble, but Sony never would have had amazing success without Nintendo's fumble.
curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6
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