Switch vs PS4 vs Xbox One Sales Comparison Charts Through July 4, 2020
Here we see data representing the global sales through to consumers and change in sales performance of the three home consoles (Nintendo Switch, PlayStation 4 and Xbox One) and two handhelds (Nintendo 3DS and PlayStation Vita) over comparable periods for 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2020. Also shown is the market share for each of the consoles over the same periods.
Year to Date Sales Comparison (Same Periods Covered)
This is basically the halfway point of the calander year, and we know that systems always sell significantly more in the 2nd half especially Nintendo systems. That means that if we double the current number of Switch sales we get 21m and that is unreasonably low. They definitely are going to sell several million above 21m. On the other hand Switch sales are up 74% YoY and if they continue this trend then annual sales will be 34m and that is unreasonbly high.
What is more reasonable is to assume about half of this incredible growth is a temporary boost and the other half is from sustained momentum. Annual sales of 28m would put Switch up 32% for the second half of the year. However, I am somewhat skeptical Nintendo can manufacture enough to keep up with this kind of demand. It is very likely that Switch will be in short supply for the rest of the year. Even if they restock in the next month or so, they will be in short supply again once the holidays hit.
Total sales for Switch this year will largely be based on the amount Nintendo can supply rather than market demand.