Forums - Sales Discussion - Global Hardware June 28 to July 4 - Switch Sells Over 300,000 Units

trunkswd said:

Switch vs PS4 vs Xbox One Sales Comparison Charts Through July 4, 2020

Here we see data representing the global sales through to consumers and change in sales performance of the three home consoles (Nintendo Switch, PlayStation 4 and Xbox One) and two handhelds (Nintendo 3DS and PlayStation Vita) over comparable periods for 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2020.  Also shown is the market share for each of the consoles over the same periods.

Year to Date Sales Comparison (Same Periods Covered)

This is basically the halfway point of the calander year, and we know that systems always sell significantly more in the 2nd half especially Nintendo systems.  That means that if we double the current number of Switch sales we get 21m and that is unreasonably low.  They definitely are going to sell several million above 21m.  On the other hand Switch sales are up 74% YoY and if they continue this trend then annual sales will be 34m and that is unreasonbly high.

What is more reasonable is to assume about half of this incredible growth is a temporary boost and the other half is from sustained momentum.  Annual sales of 28m would put Switch up 32% for the second half of the year.  However, I am somewhat skeptical Nintendo can manufacture enough to keep up with this kind of demand.  It is very likely that Switch will be in short supply for the rest of the year.  Even if they restock in the next month or so, they will be in short supply again once the holidays hit.

Total sales for Switch this year will largely be based on the amount Nintendo can supply rather than market demand.



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RolStoppable said:
curl-6 said:

Care to elaborate?

Do you really need an explanation for why national socialism was really, really bad?

I was frightened for a second I thought you might have been referring to Nova Scotia, one of the most peaceful places on Earth.

@trunkswd, I personally see Nintendo following the Apple model, releasing the next upgrade of Switch as the same device but with more capabilities, at roughly the same price. Perhaps in a year or two to stay relevant without bothering their momentum on software (via backwards compatibility). So I see it like Pavolink about the hardware, as for the price I might be alone on it not sure.



That's Crazy for the Nintendo Switch



I like Nintendo and Sony but more than this I love video games

the Switch sell more than the Wii U in christmas periode




I like Nintendo and Sony but more than this I love video games

Have PS4 been affected by low availability? Well it sold less than 200k this week



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

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DonFerrari said:
Have PS4 been affected by low availability? Well it sold less than 200k this week

Yes, worldwide. 



PS4 very good for its age and the season.
But NS is just insane.



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A fart without stink is like a sky without stars.
TGS, Third Grade Shooter: brand new genre invented by Kevin Butler exclusively for Natal WiiToo Kinect. PEW! PEW-PEW-PEW! 
 


The_Liquid_Laser said:
trunkswd said:

Switch vs PS4 vs Xbox One Sales Comparison Charts Through July 4, 2020

Here we see data representing the global sales through to consumers and change in sales performance of the three home consoles (Nintendo Switch, PlayStation 4 and Xbox One) and two handhelds (Nintendo 3DS and PlayStation Vita) over comparable periods for 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2020.  Also shown is the market share for each of the consoles over the same periods.

Year to Date Sales Comparison (Same Periods Covered)

This is basically the halfway point of the calander year, and we know that systems always sell significantly more in the 2nd half especially Nintendo systems.  That means that if we double the current number of Switch sales we get 21m and that is unreasonably low.  They definitely are going to sell several million above 21m.  On the other hand Switch sales are up 74% YoY and if they continue this trend then annual sales will be 34m and that is unreasonbly high.

What is more reasonable is to assume about half of this incredible growth is a temporary boost and the other half is from sustained momentum.  Annual sales of 28m would put Switch up 32% for the second half of the year.  However, I am somewhat skeptical Nintendo can manufacture enough to keep up with this kind of demand.  It is very likely that Switch will be in short supply for the rest of the year.  Even if they restock in the next month or so, they will be in short supply again once the holidays hit.

Total sales for Switch this year will largely be based on the amount Nintendo can supply rather than market demand.

The reportedly ordered 10% more Switch units for this FY over last, in which they shipped just over 21 million, which would mean 23-24 million Switches manufactured/shipped for this FY.

Of course, it remains to be seen if they can keep demand this high, as we don't know what major new games (if any) they have for the second half of the year. 



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series X will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

curl-6 said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

This is basically the halfway point of the calander year, and we know that systems always sell significantly more in the 2nd half especially Nintendo systems.  That means that if we double the current number of Switch sales we get 21m and that is unreasonably low.  They definitely are going to sell several million above 21m.  On the other hand Switch sales are up 74% YoY and if they continue this trend then annual sales will be 34m and that is unreasonbly high.

What is more reasonable is to assume about half of this incredible growth is a temporary boost and the other half is from sustained momentum.  Annual sales of 28m would put Switch up 32% for the second half of the year.  However, I am somewhat skeptical Nintendo can manufacture enough to keep up with this kind of demand.  It is very likely that Switch will be in short supply for the rest of the year.  Even if they restock in the next month or so, they will be in short supply again once the holidays hit.

Total sales for Switch this year will largely be based on the amount Nintendo can supply rather than market demand.

The reportedly ordered 10% more Switch units for this FY over last, in which they shipped just over 21 million, which would mean 23-24 million Switches manufactured/shipped for this FY.

Of course, it remains to be seen if they can keep demand this high, as we don't know what major new games (if any) they have for the second half of the year. 

A 10% increase is not nearly enough.  Again, some simple math shows that if the second half matches the first half then that is 21m for the calendar year.  But the second half is always significantly more than the first half.  They should be planning more for the 26m - 30m range.  However, I don't think they are going to be able to manufacture that much.  It's more likely that Switches will be in short supply for most of the year, including the holidays.



10% is what they are confident they can deliver. They would like to go higher but they can not guarantee it.