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Forums - Sales - VGC estimates that the Xbox One sold through 47.8m by May 30th. Lifetime sales expectations?

 

VGC estimates that the Xbox One sold through 47.8m by May 30th. Lifetime sales expectations?

Less than 50 million 199 20.66%
 
50.0 - 50.9 million 182 18.90%
 
51.0 - 51.9 million 113 11.73%
 
52.0 - 52.9 million 128 13.29%
 
53.0 - 53.9 million 64 6.65%
 
54.0 - 54.9 million 70 7.27%
 
55.0 - 55.9 million 106 11.01%
 
56.0 - 56.9 million 16 1.66%
 
57.0 - 58.0 million 24 2.49%
 
More than 58 million 61 6.33%
 
Total:963

52-53m



 

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Machina said:

Another interesting one to look back on. When we ran the poll in mid 2018 these were the results - https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237004

45-50 million rnage won the poll, with 51-55 coming in second. Once again the community was very pessimistic.

Looks like I voted 56-60 million in that one, so it turns out I was a little over-optimistic. I didn't expect sales to fall off as hard as they did in the last 18 months.



53-54 million.



I voted 51.0-51.9 million.
It’s selling decently well (for its standards anyways) but as the COVID-19 boost wears off and the XSX launch looms and eventually arrives, I expect sales to just tank (same with PS4). I reckon it’ll be just under 50 million by the end of the year. Probably 49.5ish. And I think it can leg out at least an additional 1.5 million from there to the end of its life.



I picked 51-55 in the old poll, but sales slowed for a good stretch after that. The XBO having a sustained period of abysmal sales weeks, hovering around 40-50k, became the most interesting sales story to me. I was skeptical it would reach 50m for a while.



- "If you have the heart of a true winner, you can always get more pissed off than some other asshole."

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COKTOE said:
I picked 51-55 in the old poll, but sales slowed for a good stretch after that. The XBO having a sustained period of abysmal sales weeks, hovering around 40-50k, became the most interesting sales story to me. I was skeptical it would reach 50m for a while.

But it will crawl past that.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

51m best case scenario



I think people are selling the Xbone a little short. Yes, it's sales have been underwhelming and it's not really a successful system, but I think it's unrealistic to predict, as roughly 40% of voters have, that it will sell 51 million or less given next gen is likely not to be cheap. It may be crawling, but its not just going to stop crawling overnight when XSX hits shelves.



DonFerrari said:
COKTOE said:
I picked 51-55 in the old poll, but sales slowed for a good stretch after that. The XBO having a sustained period of abysmal sales weeks, hovering around 40-50k, became the most interesting sales story to me. I was skeptical it would reach 50m for a while.

But it will crawl past that.

Ha. Yes it will. The reasonable choices in this poll are so tightly packed together that I didn't even bother voting.



- "If you have the heart of a true winner, you can always get more pissed off than some other asshole."

at the current pace it will need 36 weeks to hit 50 million not factoring in holiday weeks, so likely 51 million before 2020 ends



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.