52-53m
VGC estimates that the Xbox One sold through 47.8m by May 30th. Lifetime sales expectations? | |||
| Less than 50 million | 199 | 20.66% | |
| 50.0 - 50.9 million | 182 | 18.90% | |
| 51.0 - 51.9 million | 113 | 11.73% | |
| 52.0 - 52.9 million | 128 | 13.29% | |
| 53.0 - 53.9 million | 64 | 6.65% | |
| 54.0 - 54.9 million | 70 | 7.27% | |
| 55.0 - 55.9 million | 106 | 11.01% | |
| 56.0 - 56.9 million | 16 | 1.66% | |
| 57.0 - 58.0 million | 24 | 2.49% | |
| More than 58 million | 61 | 6.33% | |
| Total: | 963 | ||


| Machina said: Another interesting one to look back on. When we ran the poll in mid 2018 these were the results - https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237004 |
Looks like I voted 56-60 million in that one, so it turns out I was a little over-optimistic. I didn't expect sales to fall off as hard as they did in the last 18 months.
I voted 51.0-51.9 million.
It’s selling decently well (for its standards anyways) but as the COVID-19 boost wears off and the XSX launch looms and eventually arrives, I expect sales to just tank (same with PS4). I reckon it’ll be just under 50 million by the end of the year. Probably 49.5ish. And I think it can leg out at least an additional 1.5 million from there to the end of its life.
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I picked 51-55 in the old poll, but sales slowed for a good stretch after that. The XBO having a sustained period of abysmal sales weeks, hovering around 40-50k, became the most interesting sales story to me. I was skeptical it would reach 50m for a while.
- "If you have the heart of a true winner, you can always get more pissed off than some other asshole."
| COKTOE said: I picked 51-55 in the old poll, but sales slowed for a good stretch after that. The XBO having a sustained period of abysmal sales weeks, hovering around 40-50k, became the most interesting sales story to me. I was skeptical it would reach 50m for a while. |
But it will crawl past that.

duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363
Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994
Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."


I think people are selling the Xbone a little short. Yes, it's sales have been underwhelming and it's not really a successful system, but I think it's unrealistic to predict, as roughly 40% of voters have, that it will sell 51 million or less given next gen is likely not to be cheap. It may be crawling, but its not just going to stop crawling overnight when XSX hits shelves.
DonFerrari said:
But it will crawl past that. |
Ha. Yes it will. The reasonable choices in this poll are so tightly packed together that I didn't even bother voting.
- "If you have the heart of a true winner, you can always get more pissed off than some other asshole."


at the current pace it will need 36 weeks to hit 50 million not factoring in holiday weeks, so likely 51 million before 2020 ends
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