dark_gh0st_b0y said:
JWeinCom said:
do you understand that you exaggerate? by presenting small inaccuracy as 'misinformation' and make it sound dramatic, even accusing me of making up stats?
Again, "Do you understand that the problem is not how accurate the information is, but the fact that you posted it without any rational basis for knowing how accurate it was?"
The problem is you still don't seem to get it. When you say "Oh I'm sorry, but I was only off by a little (which still isn't true btw) so really it's ok" you're completely missing the point.#Sorrynotsorry" The problem is that you're posting things as if they're true without knowing if they're true. That's dishonest. If it's the case that you were only off by a little (we still don't know that because you've yet to find the actual figure) then that's just luck, and does not in any way justify your actions. Again, if I say your penis is two inches long, then I'm full of shit, regardless of the actual size of your penis.
now "any other stat I've posted" is garbage!? because I didn't state the source on one of them? seriously... I understand that you may disagree with my views in some topics, but calling the stats garbage? all because they do not serve your views
No, every other stat is not garbage because you didn't post the source on one of them them. Every other stat is garbage because they're all inaccurate garbage. I explained why your stats are garbage. Because, they don't seem to account for a large chunk of the population, and they simply throw out 1/3 of the data. You can't just throw out 1/3 of the data and assume your sample is still random. Ask a statistician if you could just ignore 1/3 of your data. If they say "yup nbd" I'll stand corrected.
I haven't expressed any views so I'm not sure which ones they don't serve. How can I disagree with your view if you haven't presented it XD.
you are desperate on downgrading my opinions that you hold on to this thing and try to make it sound huge, I highly doubt you would make it a big matter or even ask for a source for someone who agreed with you, but I get attacked brutally because I dare post some data to discuss while still shaping up my opinion... your bias is unreal
You doubt it? Cool. I give precisely zero fucks whether or not you think I'm biased. You posted misinformation, and you continue to do so. As such, you'll continue to get called on it.
what 25% of the population are you referring to? if it's about the Hispanic/Latino they are obviously included in the White race, since there is the 'Other' category that only "Includes American Indian or Alaska Native, Asian, and Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander."
All of the other graphs you posted list hispanics as a separate category. Which means that if that data counts hispanics as whites, and this data doesn't, you cannot compare them. Again, this is really basic statistics. If you're not defining your variables in the same way, you cannot compare them across different "studies".
If Hispanics and Latinos were incorporated in the white data (which you haven't given any reliable source to show that they are and not incorporated into the 1/3 of the data that's unknown) then that drastically changes the ratio. In your last post, you said your first claim was the murder arrest rate for black people was 6x as much as white people. But IF hispanics are being incorporated into the white figure, and we ignore the issue of 1/3 of the data being unaccounted for, then that would mean black people would actually be arrested for murder at about 10x the rate.
This is an absolutely massive difference. You're off by 66% (again this is assuming hispanics count as white). IF murder arrest rates are correlated with police brutality, that would completely change the correlation.
This is why I say all of the stats you post are garbage. Because they're garbage.
all the other figures I posted stated sources on them anyway, and again my intention was to talk and learn more about actual US society problems not this... but yeah, as you said before, with these figures that I post I'm not worth discussing anything with, how dare I
Yeah... when you post figures without knowing where they're from, admittedly without caring for the source, and use trolling 101 tactics (Oh, I'm not saying it must be the case that people are racist against black people because they commit so many crimes... I'm just saying it makes sense that people are racist against black people because they commit so many crimes. No opinion here folks, just a guy looking for answers, why are you attacking me for just looking for answers), people are going to justifiably believe that you're being disingenuous.
If you sincerely wanted to learn more about US societal problems, you could have. So I'll ask for the third time. How much time have you put into researching this? What sources have you found?
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you are the exact opposite of what we call a positive and constructive approach, you could have always said nicely that it's better I include/double check the source for every single figure from now on, and that's it, but you chose to make a pointless drama and accuse me of posting 'misinformation' and even making up figures, all because the figures do not help your views no matter what, whether it's 49 or 53%, and regardless of source
most Hispanics are included in white under the Race columns - they choose whichever race is closer because there is no Hispanic/Latino option to report in 'Race'... Race is one thing and Ethnicity is another, hence why they have separate columns for ethnicity... https://www.census.gov/mso/www/training/pdf/race-ethnicity-onepager.pdf
I am not off, I refer to white the same way as FBI does because that's the data I have, Hispanics are not my focus here hence over-complicating things is just pointless, my point is that black people commit significantly more murders and that's crystal clear regardless *it's not arrested, offender = found guilty
once again, the 1/3 of the unknowns is unresolved/still in trial cases and since the murder's race is largely independent of whether the crime is unresolved or still in trial, that means that the data closely follows the 10,000 sample we have already ( I agree with your previous points about black people having less access to good lawyers or being wrongly convicted etc but in no way it is enough to change the overall picture)
deny all you want, the numbers are real and they are out there, anyone can read them on the internet and make sensible conclusions, either on wikipedia, google images or FBI it doesn't matter
if you are not biased to the bone, despite your exaggerating, brutal approach, and you honestly believe that the figures are garbage, then our real difference is statistical knowledge and experience with reading and analyzing graphs/tables/figures
you are really good at pointing out factors that could affect data collection or explain the results, so I'll be still waiting for your brutal replies - in case you change your mind about the "And no, we can't discuss other things." ^_^
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And this is what's frustrating... because you're still jumping to conclusions without the proper justification.
*it's not arrested, offender = found guilty.
Offender can be used to describe those convicted. It can also be used to describe a defendant in a criminal case in legal proceedings. It may have a specific usage in law enforcement. Whatever the case may be, it's pretty clear that in this case it is not referring to convictions.
The FBI has a separate table that lists arrests. There were 8,508 arrests for murder AND non-negligent manslaughter. If we eliminate the unknown cases, then there are about 11,000 "offenders". I can't see how there would be 8,500 people arrested and 11,000 people found guilty (plus more still in trial), especially since the arrests also include crimes beyond murder (it seems like the murder table might as well, idk). It just doesn't make sense. https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2015/crime-in-the-u.s.-2015/tables/table-43 The data I gave before was in fact based on arrests.
You are saying things that are not true. You are spreading misinformation. Stop doing that.
once again, the 1/3 of the unknowns is unresolved/still in trial cases and since the murder's race is largely independent of whether the crime is unresolved or still in trial, that means that the data closely follows the 10,000 sample we have already
Where does it say that on the site? Anywhere?
In fact, the FBI provides a figure for what percentages of crimes are "cleared" meaning a person has been arrested, charged, and the case has been turned over to the police (not necessarily ending in convictions). The clearance rate for murder as of 2015 was 61.5%. This means that at least 38.5% were unresolved, and it's almost certainly not the case that all of the resolved cases already have concluded criminal proceedings and ended in convictions.
So, the number of unknown crimes 31.2% can not mean the amount that are unresolved. Because the FBI tells you how many were unresolved. Which means we still don't know why the unknown data is unknown.
You just... kind of decided what unknown meant in this chart. That's what we call making shit up. Stop doing that.
( I agree with your previous points about black people having less access to good lawyers or being wrongly convicted etc but in no way it is enough to change the overall picture)
How can you possibly agree with me on something I don't believe? At no point did I say that black have less access to good lawyers or are wrongfully convicted more frequently than white people. I said it's a potential explanation that's worth looking into. But I have NOT done sufficient research to claim this IS the case, and so I haven't claimed it. It's also quite possible that white murderers tend to be poor and therefore would have similar access to legal help.
And not only did you conclude that black people have less access to good lawyers, but you also somehow concluded that this is not enough to significantly impact the data. All of this without one ounce of research. Amazing.
deny all you want, the numbers are real and they are out there, anyone can read them on the internet and make sensible conclusions, either on wikipedia, google images or FBI it doesn't matter
O_o... Yes, yes it does matter. Sources matter. You still despite everything are insisting google images is a reliable source. Basically any chart you find on the internet is true.
Unless 2014 was veeeeeeeery different from 2015 and black people were just going haam on whitey, at least one of these graphs found on google images are total bullshit.
And here is what wikipedia says about wikipedia.
"Wikipedia is not a reliable source. Wikipedia can be edited by anyone at any time. This means that any information it contains at any particular time could be vandalism, a work in progress, or just plain wrong. Biographies of living persons, subjects that happen to be in the news, and politically or culturally contentious topics are especially vulnerable to these issues. Edits on Wikipedia that are in error may eventually be fixed. However, because Wikipedia is a volunteer-run project, it cannot monitor every contribution all the time. There are many errors that remain unnoticed for days, weeks, months, or even years. Therefore, Wikipedia should not be considered a definitive source in and of itself."
Wikipedia doesn't even think you can come to sensible conclusions based on wikipedia. They even warn you especially not to use wikipedia for data on contentious topics... you know like this one?
if you are not biased to the bone, despite your exaggerating, brutal approach, and you honestly believe that the figures are garbage, then our real difference is statistical knowledge and experience with reading and analyzing graphs/tables/figures
Someone who believes wikipedia and google image is a reliable source is claiming to have superior statistical knowledge. That is simply fucking astounding.
Edit: Not going to address everything, and probably not going to reply further. If at this point you still think wikipedia and google images are a good source of data, idk what more I can say.
Last edited by JWeinCom - on 17 June 2020