By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Nintendo Discussion - BOLD Prediction: BotW will actually Sell 35mil Lifetime

 

BotW will actually sell around

23mil or under 3 9.68%
 
25mil 10 32.26%
 
27mil 5 16.13%
 
29mil 7 22.58%
 
31mil 4 12.90%
 
33mil 0 0%
 
35mil or more 2 6.45%
 
Total:31

As Nintendo got stronger, tbone had to become bolder...

Anyways I predicted 27 mil earlier on another thread, which might be a bit short on second thought, but I still gotta say I doubt this one.
I could see it hitting 30 with Wii U included (so around 28,5 mil on Switch), but 35 would really be a sight to behold.



Major Switch Titles Launch Aligned

2021 predictions:

  • Switch - 27m
  • PS5 - 15.5m
  • Xbox Series - 10m

Around the Network
tbone51 said:
Btw I was originally going to do 30mil but Rol always calls me out for not being bold enough. Now he shouldn’t have a problem 🤣

You should rename this thread to "Stoned prediction" because 30m would have been bold enough.

Then again, Switch still has a long life ahead of it and Nintendo might just mess up BotW2 to the point that people will only recognize BotW as the open world game to buy for Switch. So on second thought, 35m is actually the better choice for this thread. It gets people trembling because of how far out it seems and that's what a tbone51 thread is supposed to be about.

BotW got to ~17.5m in just over three years, both complete edition and budget price have yet to happen for it, the Switch platform has several years ahead of it... yeah, those staggering software sales we've seen on Switch so far are just a taste of what's to come. Good call to aim for 35m.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Shipments

I don't know. In the 30 millions seller thread I had already said that I don't think it will make it so I will say the same here. I don't think it will reach 35 millions.



Nah.. Right? Nah.. 35M is too much. I wouldn't dare predict a number myself though. Zelda has been defying gravity.



No chance of the switch version hitting it. Breath of the wild sales will decline along with the hardware in the upcoming years and BOTW 2 will take away some sales from the original. But you know? I really hope I’m wrong as no open world game comes close to it



Around the Network
MasonADC said:
No chance of the switch version hitting it. Breath of the wild sales will decline along with the hardware in the upcoming years and BOTW 2 will take away some sales from the original. But you know? I really hope I’m wrong as no open world game comes close to it

BotW sells accordingly to what NSW sells. 55mil NSW out there so let’s say another 50mil sell (105mil total) then if 1 out of 4 buy it that is roughly 12mil sales. Making it around 31mil-32mil right there.

but here is the thing, NSW is declining at least notable for this FY or I dare say the next. BotW sold 4.5mil each year and shows no signs of slowing down. BotW2 is not the upgrade multiplayer game that chops off legs. If anything it’ll give it a boost. That said I’m banking more on the fact that the game can sell with a budget or complete edition in a few years and I believe NSW will have a longer life cycle. 

hell BotW just needs to avg 3mil per year for 5 years and I think it’s doable



My bet: 31-33 million  end of life, with complete edition and budget edition. 



tbone51 said:
MasonADC said:
No chance of the switch version hitting it. Breath of the wild sales will decline along with the hardware in the upcoming years and BOTW 2 will take away some sales from the original. But you know? I really hope I’m wrong as no open world game comes close to it

BotW sells accordingly to what NSW sells. 55mil NSW out there so let’s say another 50mil sell (105mil total) then if 1 out of 4 buy it that is roughly 12mil sales. Making it around 31mil-32mil right there.

but here is the thing, NSW is declining at least notable for this FY or I dare say the next. BotW sold 4.5mil each year and shows no signs of slowing down. BotW2 is not the upgrade multiplayer game that chops off legs. If anything it’ll give it a boost. That said I’m banking more on the fact that the game can sell with a budget or complete edition in a few years and I believe NSW will have a longer life cycle. 

hell BotW just needs to avg 3mil per year for 5 years and I think it’s doable

Yes it does sell based on what the switch sales but I think that with the inevitable decline next year and the sequel which will only boost sales at first, it will sell less. I think the sequel will be just as well received and then it will become the IT game for the switch 



Just this one time, I think that's too bold



Bofferbrauer2 said:
Just this one time, I think that's too bold

That makes me happy