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Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu Sales: Week 13, 2020 (Mar 23 - Mar 29)

It’s just bonkers on how much people in Japan love Animal Crossing. I can’t imagine the total LT sales for the game. The game is pushing Switch hardware unlike any other big Nintendo game before it. Whether it is due to the world-related events or not, I’m not sure. When you have a game being compared, sales wise, to the likes of Dragon Quest, Pokemon, and Monster Hunter, you know you have a dominant IP. Its an incredible achievement. Not bad for a simple, casual life simulator.



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Holy Isabelle !!

We're still over the 250K cap after last week flamboyant sales ?!

AC was truly the beast Japan and the World needed in these times. Funny that even in a time of crisis. Nintendo and peeps find a way to improve their sales curve when all thought it'd just go downward from a few weeks back.



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

Top 10 consoles in Japan (taken from VGC):

1. DS - 33.01m
2. GB/C - 32.47m
3. 3DS - 24.59m
4. PS2 - 23.18m
5. PS1 - 21.59m
6. PSP - 20.01m
7. NES - 19.35m
8. SNES - 17.17m
9. GBA - 16.96m
10. Switch - 12.81m

2020 did not provide much opportunity for Switch to move up in the rankings. Only the Wii was a realistic target and that has been passed already. The rest of this year is merely about getting into a good position to overtake a few consoles in 2021. If Switch manages 5m in 2020, its LTD will be 16.4m, so not far behind the GBA's lifetime sales anymore.

I have had a high confidence level that Switch will finish as the third best-selling console of all time in Japan because I was aware of the 3DS's sales curve and how an early deficit for Switch wouldn't be something to worry about. The past two weeks certainly didn't make me less confident, so the next-best target - beating 3DS and Wii U combined at ~28.0m because they are Switch's predecessors - is also looking more realistic now.

Switch has passed 13m this week (this has yet to be reflected on VGC's platform page) and it's still far away from reaching its saturation point. Properly supported home consoles land at ~20m in Japan while portable consoles have a higher ceiling due to individual ownership rather than household ownership. Switch can take advantage of both, so ~20m hybrids and ~10m Lites lifetime isn't that much of a long shot. Currently, the hybrid SKU is at 11m LTD and the Lite at 2m LTD. Of course Nintendo has the option to do a refresh for both SKUs akin to the New 3DS to reinvigorate interest in the latter half of Switch's lifecycle, so fall 2021 or later; likewise, they could come up with a third SKU if they think that makes sense.

And if Nintendo is serious about giving Switch a long lifecycle and stick with it in a highly committed manner, then even the #1 spot is in the cards. Switch would need more years than the DS to reach a total of 33m, but it can get there. After all, Sony has voluntarily ceded more and more of the Japanese console market to Nintendo.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Shipments

RolStoppable said:

Top 10 consoles in Japan (taken from VGC):

1. DS - 33.01m
2. GB/C - 32.47m
3. 3DS - 24.59m
4. PS2 - 23.18m
5. PS1 - 21.59m
6. PSP - 20.01m
7. NES - 19.35m
8. SNES - 17.17m
9. GBA - 16.96m
10. Switch - 12.81m

2020 did not provide much opportunity for Switch to move up in the rankings. Only the Wii was a realistic target and that has been passed already. The rest of this year is merely about getting into a good position to overtake a few consoles in 2021. If Switch manages 5m in 2020, its LTD will be 16.4m, so not far behind the GBA's lifetime sales anymore.

I have had a high confidence level that Switch will finish as the third best-selling console of all time in Japan because I was aware of the 3DS's sales curve and how an early deficit for Switch wouldn't be something to worry about. The past two weeks certainly didn't make me less confident, so the next-best target - beating 3DS and Wii U combined at ~28.0m because they are Switch's predecessors - is also looking more realistic now.

Switch has passed 13m this week (this has yet to be reflected on VGC's platform page) and it's still far away from reaching its saturation point. Properly supported home consoles land at ~20m in Japan while portable consoles have a higher ceiling due to individual ownership rather than household ownership. Switch can take advantage of both, so ~20m hybrids and ~10m Lites lifetime isn't that much of a long shot. Currently, the hybrid SKU is at 11m LTD and the Lite at 2m LTD. Of course Nintendo has the option to do a refresh for both SKUs akin to the New 3DS to reinvigorate interest in the latter half of Switch's lifecycle, so fall 2021 or later; likewise, they could come up with a third SKU if they think that makes sense.

And if Nintendo is serious about giving Switch a long lifecycle and stick with it in a highly committed manner, then even the #1 spot is in the cards. Switch would need more years than the DS to reach a total of 33m, but it can get there. After all, Sony has voluntarily ceded more and more of the Japanese console market to Nintendo.

Very good analysis, yes switch is in such a great position. As of now I do see 24-25mil as the floor. It’s not going to have 3DS year 4/5/6 sales which went down pretty hard compared to its first 3.  Price cuts/new models/etc. Switch can last for a much longer healthier life cycle as long as Nintendo plays the right cards



That damned cliff



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I'm amazed there were even 280k Switches available for purchase in Japan for the week, considering the 800k+ sales the week before and the well documented shortages.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

curl-6 said:

I'm amazed there were even 280k Switches available for purchase in Japan for the week, considering the 800k+ sales the week before and the well documented shortages.

See, don’t worry so much!



Animal Crossing's numbers are simply insane

Switch's numbers



Oh, and since I forgot about doing ratios for the last few weeks, Switch is 28:1 over PS4.

Domination scarcely begins to describe Nintendo's supremacy in Japan these days.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

  1. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons (Nintendo, 03/20/20) – 727,791 (2,608,417)
  2. [PS4] One Piece: Pirate Warriors 4 (Bandai Namco, 03/26/20) – 75,998 (New)
  3. [NSW] One Piece: Pirate Warriors 4 (Bandai Namco, 03/26/20) – 61,571 (New)
  4. [NSW] Pokemon Sword / Shield (The Pokemon Company, 11/15/19) – 14,996 (3,542,524)
  5. [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure (Nintendo, 10/18/19) – 13,819 (745,127)
  6. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo, 04/28/17) – 11,577 (2,840,930)
  7. [NSW] Pokemon Mystery Dungeon: Rescue Team DX (Nintendo, 03/06/20) – 11,501 (218,394)
  8. [PS4] Nioh 2 (Koei Tecmo, 03/12/20) – 11,270 (129,302)
  9. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (Nintendo, 12/07/18) – 10,355 (3,623,274)
  10. [NSW] Minecraft: Nintendo Switch Edition (Bundle Version Included) (Microsoft, 06/21/18) – 9,908 (1,331,839)
  11. [NSW] Splatoon 2 (Bundle Version Included) (Nintendo, 07/21/17) – 6,992 (3,356,409)
  12. [NSW] Super Mario Party (Nintendo, 10/05/18) – 6,370 (1,381,787)
  13. [PS4] Sniper: Ghost Warrior Contracts (H2 Interactive, 03/26/20) – 4,608 (New)
  14. [NSW] New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe (01/11/19) – 4,505 (806,488)
  15. [PS4] Life is Strange 2 (Square Enix, 03/26/20) – 4,471 (New)
  16. [NSW] Super Mario Maker 2 (Nintendo, 06/28/19) – 4,424 (883,419)
  17. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Limited Edition Included) (Nintendo, 03/03/17) – 4,365 (1,550,727)
  18. [NSW] Tsuri Spirits Nintendo Switch Version (Bandai Namco, 07/25/19) – 4,310 (413,916)
  19. [NSW] Dr. Kawashima’s Brain Training for Nintendo Switch (Nintendo, 12/27/19) – 4,234 (186,047)
  20. [NSW] Space Invaders Invincible Collection (Taito, 03/26/20) – 3,668 (New)
  21. [PS4] DOOM Eternal (Bethesda Softworks, 03/26/20) – 3,418 (New)
  22. [NSW] Luigi’s Mansion 3 (Nintendo, 10/31/19) – 3,339 (623,480)
  23. [NSW] Mario & Sonic at the Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games (Sega, 11/01/19) – 2,802 (292,900)
  24. [NSW] My Hero One’s Justice 2 (Bandai Namco, 03/12/20) – 2,737 (24,829)
  25. [3DS] Animal Crosisng: New Leaf Amiibo+ (Nintendo, 11/23/16) – 2,545 (484,888)
  26. [NSW] Dragon Quest XI S: Echoes of an Elusive Age – Definitive Edition (Limited Edition Included) (Square Enix, 09/27/19) – 2,478 (502,880)
  27. [NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum ‘n’ Fun (Bandai Namco, 07/19/18) – 2,134 (460,386)
  28. [NSW] Pokemon: Let’s Go, Pikachu! / Pokemon: Let’s Go, Eevee! (Nintendo, 11/16/18) – 1,753 (1,714,285)
  29. [NSW] Fitness Boxing (Imagineer, 12/20/18) 1-7,11 (85,407)
  30. [NSW] Hatsune Miku: Project Diva MegaMix (Sega, 02/13/20) – 1,681 (78,558)

Switch - 24

PS4 - 5

https://gonintendo.com/stories/358414-japan-famitsu-sales-for-march-23-29-2020-top-30



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.