Wow.... the shipments are at 109 million and some people still believe it might not reach 120 million lifetime. What a world, what a world...
If you're going to make this kind of post, at least you should try to write a reasoning for your statement. As in, explain the relation between shippments being at 109m and you thinking it will reach 120m for sure.
MY statement was very clearly explained by math. It was at 109m shipped and 106m sold at the end of 2019. Sold through is what matters (difference between shipped and sold will get smaller and smaller anyway). A 45% drop in 2020 would lead to 114m and another 55-60% drop in 2021 would put it around 117m. The ongoing decline afterwards would lead to maybe another 2-3m sales before discontinuation. Given the rate of ps4 drop so far, those numbers are very realistic.
See the difference between an argument and simply dismissing what others said?
No, they are not. The PS4 is likely looking at a price cut and massive black friday discounts this year, and several AAA exclusives, from which at least 3 of them will do 5 million + on this system alone. I am really sorry, but your math is just as much of as most analyst's predictions. You are trying to shoehorn sales patterns of different products onto home consoles, and leading home consoles no less.
I am really sorry, but if you don't see how your prediction (and let's face it, no matter how much math you think you have on your side it's still a prediction) is absurd, I am more than willing to make a bet with you