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Forums - General Discussion - Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

Weekly update, it's going better, everyone is on a downward trend

In total 3.29 million new cases were reported last week (down from 3.89 million) to a total of 105,900,086 reported cases in the world
An additional 92,823 deaths were reported as well (down from 100,126) to a total of 2,307,606

Reported cases in the USA are dropping faster than in Europe, however deaths are not dropping as much yet in the USA

The continents

Europe reported 1.08 million new cases (down from 1.29 million) and 35,095 more deaths (down from 37,828)
North America reported 1.04 million new cases (down from 1.32 million) and 32,720 more deaths (down from 34,097)
South America reported 557K new cases (down from 626K) and 13,274 more deaths (down from 14,133)
Asia reported 501K new cases (down from 515K) and 7,373 more deaths (down from 7,985)
Africa reported 111K new cases (down from 145K) and 4,359 more deaths (down from 6,080)
Oceania reported 221 new cases and 2 deaths

Corners of the world

USA reported 895K new cases (down from 1.12 million) and 23,246 more deaths (slightly down from 23,282)
Brazil reported 329.6K new cases (down from 364.3K) and 7,352 more deaths (slightly down from 7,476)
India reported 81.7K new cases (down from 92.9K) and 780 deaths (955 last week)
Iran reported 47.0K new cases (up from 44.6K) and 529 deaths (582 last week)
Canada reported 30.0K new cases (down from 33.4K) and 808 deaths (973 last week)
South Africa reported 26.6K new cases (down from 51.3K) and 2,269 more deaths (down from 3,557)
Japan reported 19.5K new cases (down from 28.5K) and 683 deaths (622 last week)
South Korea reported 2,736 new cases (down from 3,133) and 60 deaths (71 last week)
Australia reported 42 cases (45 last week) no deaths

Europe in detail

The way back down looks to be slower as well compared to the first wave after a very wide second peak.
A third wave will come down to societal factors and pandemic fatigue. Instead of faster to respond we only seem to get slower in responding. Weekly deaths are still at about double what they peaked at in the first wave. It was never really a peak globally, if you look at the totals on a linear scale, it's only been accelerating since the start.

Last edited by SvennoJ - on 06 February 2021

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Bad news..... Apparently Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine is only around 10% effective against the South African variant of covid19.

Its started community spread in the UK.
Will it even matter if they have ~12% of their population vaccinated, if this variant is going to spread around in the UK?

A vaccine thats 10% effective..... Now it makes sense that South Africa was like "we dont need your vaccine,".



Looks like Japan is going down again. Maybe this time they'll properly lock down. I don't want to postpone another vacation.



If you demand respect or gratitude for your volunteer work, you're doing volunteering wrong.

Deaths from this virus have been severely under tracked, it would be political suicide to state the true number of deaths caused by this virus. Double the number of deaths that are claimed worldwide and you would be closer to the number of deaths caused by this virus. This virus kills lots of people of various ages, not just the old people. It is a lottery whether or not you survive from the virus. People should be taking this virus very seriously because it is likely you may die or become seriously sick from it. Once in 100 year Pandemic, will continue on years as it kills millions around the world.



vivster said:

Looks like Japan is going down again. Maybe this time they'll properly lock down. I don't want to postpone another vacation.

I would like my memory upgrade to get shipped already, status, label created, waiting for carrier pick up. Either not made yet or no carriers left alive in China.

Also my kid will not stop asking for his fidget toy he ordered with his holiday money, stuck in the distribution center struck with Covid. Call center is closed too now, we are backed up, safety of our employees first, mail is down.

We're staying in lock down until the 16th, then gradual re-openings again. Toronto has to be wait until the 22nd. Will it have been long enough though, we're just moving closer to 1,000 cases a day. (1300 avg atm) Last re-openings it had to be below 200 a day. We're not testing 5 times as much. Ontario has about 17% of the population of Germany, so that would compare to 7,600 new cases per day. Actually lower than Germany's current 7 day avg. When is Germany opening up again or are you already back in business.



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Germany is still on lockdown until the 14th but it's expected that it will be extended until March.
7 day incidence is at 73 (worst federal country sits at 135 and the best at 60), so it's clear that we can't reach 50 within the next 5 days. With 50 already being the upper limit.

Austria is at 104 and they started opening up again yesterday, even stuff like museums, zoos and libraries. Far too early IMO.



Phoenix20 said:

Deaths from this virus have been severely under tracked, it would be political suicide to state the true number of deaths caused by this virus. Double the number of deaths that are claimed worldwide and you would be closer to the number of deaths caused by this virus. This virus kills lots of people of various ages, not just the old people. It is a lottery whether or not you survive from the virus. People should be taking this virus very seriously because it is likely you may die or become seriously sick from it. Once in 100 year Pandemic, will continue on years as it kills millions around the world.

That's a very loose definition of 'lottery' and 'likely' you got there.
The last century alone we had at least two flu pandemics that were deadlier, in 1918 and 1957, and one that might have killed twice as many people as Covid did during the same timespan, in 1968. And there's the HIV/AIDS pandemic with 35 million dead and counting.
And the four of them were true killers of children and young people, unlike Covid. I think we can all agree that the social and emotional damage of this pandemic would have been far more devastating if Covid's IFR dynamics were inverted.


 

 

 

 

 

vivster said:

Looks like Japan is going down again. Maybe this time they'll properly lock down. I don't want to postpone another vacation.

Safety first and all, but I hope we still get the Tokyo Olympics this year.



TallSilhouette said:
vivster said:

Looks like Japan is going down again. Maybe this time they'll properly lock down. I don't want to postpone another vacation.

Safety first and all, but I hope we still get the Tokyo Olympics this year.

I hope we don't. And then we just need to boycott the games in China and maybe we'll be able to stop that bullshit event once and for all.



If you demand respect or gratitude for your volunteer work, you're doing volunteering wrong.

RolStoppable said:
Barozi said:

Germany is still on lockdown until the 14th but it's expected that it will be extended until March.
7 day incidence is at 73 (worst federal country sits at 135 and the best at 60), so it's clear that we can't reach 50 within the next 5 days. With 50 already being the upper limit.

Austria is at 104 and they started opening up again yesterday, even stuff like museums, zoos and libraries. Far too early IMO.

Your concern is unwarranted. Austria will be fine.

Hard to believe. Even after COVID is over Austria will still be Austria. No vaccine for that yet.



If you demand respect or gratitude for your volunteer work, you're doing volunteering wrong.