https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/coronavirus/couple-s-deaths-minutes-apart-a-reminder-the-pandemic-isn-t-over-says-toronto-doctor-1.4972165
“This pandemic is only over for people who don't survive it,” wrote Toronto physician Dr. Abdu Sharkawy in a tweet Friday about the couple’s death. He hopes to convince those believing the worst of the pandemic is over that it’s not the case, especially in Ontario and Quebec.
It seems most people here assume the risk has passed, at least by the behavior I observe daily. Groups of people hanging out together are growing, camp sites are getting more busy (seriously this is not the time to go 'live' closer on top of each other) It is still 'forbidden' to have groups over 5 people that are not from the same (living together) family. And despite not meeting any goals, Ford wants to go ahead with phase 2 of re-openings.
Premier Doug Ford is signalling that he could announce the next phase of loosening Ontario's pandemic restrictions as early as next week, despite a recent uptick in new cases of COVID-19. "I was through all sorts of charts this morning, and overall, things are looking more positive," he said during his daily news briefing on Thursday.
The province's top criteria for further easing its semi-lockdown is a consistent decline over a two- to four-week period in the daily number of new cases. That benchmark has not declined consistently in the three weeks since May 14, when Ford announced Ontario's first stage of looser restrictions, including allowing non-essential retail stores outside of shopping malls to open for customers. Since that date, Ontario's daily number of reported new cases dipped below 300 only twice. The daily average in that period has been 371. The average number of new cases daily has trended upward for the past week.
Meanwhile the pending cases test backlog is going back up. We were down to under 3K back log, now over 12K pending again. Testing has finally met its goal of 16K tests per day for at least one day.
here are some positive trends in Ontario's data reported by the provincial Health Ministry:
- Hospitalization numbers have been steadily declining. As of Thursday, there were 776 people with confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Ontario hospitals, the lowest number since April 14.
- The number of long-term care homes with outbreaks of COVID-19 is decreasing. As of Thursday, there were active outbreaks in 89 homes, the fewest since mid-April.
- Ontario's labs completed 20,822 tests in the 24 hours leading up until Thursday morning, more than any day during the pandemic.
Still, the province's top public health officials have indicated that it's essential they see a steady reduction in the number of daily new cases daily before recommending a move to Stage 2.
Hospitalizations will naturally lag behind any new upticks. It will be a while until the people dismissed from hospitals are lower again than new arrivals from upticks. Hence it's so important to test quickly and efficiently to gauge how infections are growing, which will infect more people, which will cause the hospitalization rate to go back up a few weeks later and the reported deaths after that.
Current state of the world, 127K new cases daily, 115% increase week over week. Just over 5K reported deaths daily.
![](https://i.imgur.com/CKFuW9V.png)
South America passed 1 million total cases and grows to 42K cases daily (33%) and 1600 deaths (31%)
1. Brazil 29.8K cases daily, 1250 deaths daily
2. Chile 4.6K cases daily, 87 deaths daily
3. Peru 4.2K cases daily, 132 deaths daily
Asia is in second place, growing to 32.6K cases daily (26%) and 615 deaths (12%)
1. India 9.7K cases daily, 274 deaths daily
2. Pakistan 4.2K cases daily, 72 deaths daily
3. Iran 3.2K cases daily, 64 deaths daily
North America remains steady around 29K cases daily (23%) and 1960 deaths (38%)
1. USA 23K cases daily, 1030 deaths daily
2. Mexico 4.1K cases daily, 790 deaths daily
3. Canada 640 cases daily, 103 deaths daily
Europe glides down to 17K cases daily (13%) and 800 deaths (16%)
1. Russia 8.7K cases daily, 164 deaths daily
2. UK 1775 cases daily, 300 deaths daily
3. Sweden 1000 cases daily, 57 deaths daily
Africa grows to 6.5K cases daily (5%) and 141 deaths (3%)
1. South Africa 2.5K cases daily, 51 deaths daily
2. Egypt 1200 cases daily, 38 deaths daily
3. Nigeria 340 cases daily, 7 deaths daily
Oceania is down to 10 new cases per day.
The 3 biggest contributors, Brazil, USA and India make up 50% of the total new cases each day.