shikamaru317 said:
jason1637 said:
You guys expect the price to be revealed in July or August after Sony reveals the price?
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I think they will only announce in July if they already plan to sell Series X at a loss. If they can announce $300 for Series S and $450 for Series X, I think they will go ahead and announce pricing in July. But it would be very risky to announce $350 S/$500 X in July, because it gives Sony a chance to pull a 2013 mic drop announcement on them by undercutting their price with $450 on their discless model. Microsoft doesn't seem to have a discless Series X based on rumors, so they have to be extremely careful with pricing.
A situation like this would go very badly for Microsoft:
- 4 tflop Lockhart: $350
- 10 tflop discless PS5: $450
- 10 tflop PS5: $500
- 12 tflop Xbox Series X: $500
In that situation, not only would there be a cheaper PS5 model than the Series X, but the $100 price difference between Series S and discless PS5 wouldn't be enough to justify missing out on 6 tflops of extra power (plus other higher specs on PS5) for many gamers.
Best case scenario for MS from a sales perspective is probably:
- 4 tflop Lockhart: $300
- 10 tflop discless PS5: $450
- 12 tflop Xbox Series X: $450
- 10 tflop PS5: $500
This would move alot of hardware early gen for MS, which would pay dividends later in the gen (more people who buy the console, the more people there are to buy games, accessories, and gamepass/live subs later in the gen), but they'd almost certainly be selling both Xbox consoles at a loss to hit those prices, which would add up alot over time. MS can offset alot of that loss with subscriptions, digital game sales profit margin, and accessories, but selling hardware at a loss could cut into marketing and 2nd/3rd party exclusive budgets early gen most likely. It also limits price cut possibilities in the future, because they'd have to wait on manufacturing costs to drop low enough that they will no longer be selling at a loss after a price cut.
Of course, there is also the possibility that MS has bumped up the specs on Lockhart since we last heard about it in January. 6-7 tflop for $350 would be much more attractive compared to a 10 tflop discless PS5 for $450 than 4 tflop for $350 or even $300 imo.
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I think a lot of people are under-estimating the DEV. cost of the SSD tech for the Play Station Five. I would not be surprised if the Xbox Series X is 50$ less expensive than the Play Station Five with Microsoft losing less money on it than the competitor. The 12 vs 10 (I think this is not even raw but boosted, so it is probably closer to the initial 9.2TF anyway) is less costly than what the SSD tech from Sony.
For Lockhart, I would also not be surprised if it is more than 4TF and something like 7/8 TF but way less expensive than the Play Station Five digital. I think on DF they were talking about how much the Blueray drive cost (something like 20$) but there would be not point for Sony to come up with one SKU at 500$ and the other one at 480$... So yah, 50$ difference is very likely and they want to push the whole digital thing obviously as it is just better for them and the Play Station store, same for Microsoft.