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Forums - Sales Discussion - NPD November 2019: Switch #1, other details

Ryng_Tolu said:
StarDoor said:

What's the source for this?

"Hardware

Hardware spending in November 2019 declined 26% compared to YA, to $891m. YTD HW spending has fallen 24% versus YA, to $2.9B. Only Nintendo Switch is showing year-to-date hardware sales growth.

Nintendo Switch was again the best-selling hardware platform of November and remains the best-selling platform of 2019. "

https://venturebeat.com/2019/12/12/november-2019-npd-pokemon-has-best-u-s-launch-in-series-history/

The statement concerning revenue refers to YTD, not November alone.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Shipments

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So I'm assuming Switch landed between 1.4m and 1.6m for Nov, Mat Piscatella replied to a poster on twitter suggesting Switch didn't break the gen record for Nov which I believe is PS4 in 2017 at 1.7m.



RolStoppable said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

"Hardware

Hardware spending in November 2019 declined 26% compared to YA, to $891m. YTD HW spending has fallen 24% versus YA, to $2.9B. Only Nintendo Switch is showing year-to-date hardware sales growth.

Nintendo Switch was again the best-selling hardware platform of November and remains the best-selling platform of 2019. "

https://venturebeat.com/2019/12/12/november-2019-npd-pokemon-has-best-u-s-launch-in-series-history/

The statement concerning revenue refers to YTD, not November alone.

my bad, that's kinda different then



Switch 1st party softwares are monstrous even without huge additional of digital sales.

I bet both Zelda and MK8D will surpass Death Stranding with the inclusion of digital sales.



LGBTDBZBBQ said:
Switch 1st party softwares are monstrous even without huge additional of digital sales.

I bet both Zelda and MK8D will surpass Death Stranding with the inclusion of digital sales.

Lol... That's a ridiculous statement with zero evidence.



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#1 predictor on Reserera

NSW-1395k
PS4-1090k
XB1-875k

@trunkswd how do these numbers compare to this site?



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
#1 predictor on Reserera

NSW-1395k
PS4-1090k
XB1-875k

@trunkswd how do these numbers compare to this site?

Current VGC Figures:

NSW - 1464k
PS4 - 1001k
XB1 - 872k

So the two figures are similar. XB1 almost identical, PS4 a bit less on VGC and Switch a bit higher.



Barkley said:
zorg1000 said:
#1 predictor on Reserera

NSW-1395k
PS4-1090k
XB1-875k

@trunkswd how do these numbers compare to this site?

Current VGC Figures:

NSW - 1464k
PS4 - 1001k
XB1 - 872k

So the two figures are similar. XB1 almost identical, PS4 a bit less on VGC and Switch a bit higher.

Always great to see how close I am. Not that those numbers are official. I'll make some minor adjustments when I get a chance, so they are more in line. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

trunkswd said:

Always great to see how close I am. Not that those numbers are official. I'll make some minor adjustments when I get a chance, so they are more in line. 

You shouldn't make adjustments based on a ResetEra prediction. Said prediction had the lowest margin of error between all three consoles combined, but there's never any information given on which consoles are off and by how much, so it's possible that VGC numbers are too low or too high for any of the three consoles. For example, your numbers for Switch could be correct, but the PS4 is 100k too low and the XB1 100k too high. You can apply a total margin of error in the area of ~200k units in many different ways (200k is an example value, the actual margin of error of the Era prediction is unknown), that's why the best NeoGAF/ResetEra predictions have never helped to make any definitive conclusions due to the methodology they use to determine the winner.

You'd just be guessing based on a guess by someone else.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Shipments

https://www.resetera.com/threads/november-2019-npd-u-s-hardware-predictions-closes-tuesday-december-10th.156546/page-4#post-27656624

current hardware estimate
Switch 1416k-1462k
PS4 < 1074k
XB1 802k-873k