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Forums - Sales Discussion - Global Hardware 16 November 2019

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Amnesia said:

With every last adjustments considered here, the Switch has this situation now for Q3 :

If the same pace could keep going until Dec 31th, the Q3 would have a total of ~13,9 millions, which could have been possible with Animal crossing fitting the gap in December. This makes me wonder if they have not decided to extend the momentum by delaying AC just to avoid a too huge spike in FY2020 Q3 and remain with nothing else for the next 6-9 months.

The gap between 2018 and 2019 will shrink for week ending November 23 due to Black Friday being a week later this year. AC coming out in 2020 helps spread out the heavy hitters for the Switch. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

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Impressive number for both Switch and PS4.



Please excuse my bad English.

Currently gaming on a PC with an i5-4670k@stock (for now), 16Gb RAM 1600 MHz and a GTX 1070

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trunkswd said:
Amnesia said:

With every last adjustments considered here, the Switch has this situation now for Q3 :

If the same pace could keep going until Dec 31th, the Q3 would have a total of ~13,9 millions, which could have been possible with Animal crossing fitting the gap in December. This makes me wonder if they have not decided to extend the momentum by delaying AC just to avoid a too huge spike in FY2020 Q3 and remain with nothing else for the next 6-9 months.

The gap between 2018 and 2019 will shrink for week ending November 23 due to Black Friday being a week later this year. AC coming out in 2020 helps spread out the heavy hitters for the Switch. 

The primary reason I’d say Nintendo put it there was not to spread it out from Pokemon, but rather Animal Crossing: New Horizons, right now, looks like it’s more meant to be the one thing in the giant gap of the first half of 2020 since it is coming out at the end of March. They might get Xenoblade Chronicles DE in that time period to help fill it in, though. Hopefully another surprise or two pop up.



I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

Interesting, only 9.8% growth compared to last year even if the system was selling at $199/299 this year compared to $299/399 last year on the pokemon release week.



717k for Switch is bananas, especially since it sold 653k last year when Pokemon Let's Go Launched. Usually one would expect diminishing returns on hardware sales when the second game of the franchise launches on the same system. Instead sales went up. People are complaining all over the internet about Sword/Shield and yet it is still going to sell a crapton. Pokemon Let's Go sold 10M by the end of the year 2018. Sword/Shield should be able to pass that number, and will likely have better legs.



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kazuyamishima said:
Interesting, only 9.8% growth compared to last year even if the system was selling at $199/299 this year compared to $299/399 last year on the pokemon release week.

In Japan sales were about even year-over-year and we got numbers out of the UK. Our algorithm didn't show any huge increase in the rest of the world. Though I did do some adjustments compared with what our algorithm had. 

Main reason there wasn't as big of a boost week-on-week like last year was the release of the Pokemon Edition Switch Lite a week or more before depending on the country. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

The_Liquid_Laser said:
717k for Switch is bananas, especially since it sold 653k last year when Pokemon Let's Go Launched. Usually one would expect diminishing returns on hardware sales when the second game of the franchise launches on the same system. Instead sales went up. People are complaining all over the internet about Sword/Shield and yet it is still going to sell a crapton. Pokemon Let's Go sold 10M by the end of the year 2018. Sword/Shield should be able to pass that number, and will likely have better legs.

Let's Go not being a core game and no Switch Lite a year ago is why sales are up a bit year-over-year. First game from a new Pokemon gen has people excited, despite the controversies. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

trunkswd said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:
717k for Switch is bananas, especially since it sold 653k last year when Pokemon Let's Go Launched. Usually one would expect diminishing returns on hardware sales when the second game of the franchise launches on the same system. Instead sales went up. People are complaining all over the internet about Sword/Shield and yet it is still going to sell a crapton. Pokemon Let's Go sold 10M by the end of the year 2018. Sword/Shield should be able to pass that number, and will likely have better legs.

Let's Go not being a core game and no Switch Lite a year ago is why sales are up a bit year-over-year. First game from a new Pokemon gen has people excited, despite the controversies. 

Yeah, I agree.  Pokemon Let's Go was viewed as an appetizer, while Sword/Shield is the main course.  A lot of Pokemon fans bought a Switch for the appetizer, but I think this data is telling us that even more held back for the main course.  Obviously the Lite model helped with that.  On top of that I recall Let's Go shipping 10m in it's first quarter.  That is one hell of an appetizer.  Just imagine how much the main course will ship.

Last edited by The_Liquid_Laser - on 20 November 2019

kazuyamishima said:
Interesting, only 9.8% growth compared to last year even if the system was selling at $199/299 this year compared to $299/399 last year on the pokemon release week.

When Nintendo Switch was selling for 399?

The initial price is 299. Nintendo Switch won't have any price cut.

Switch lite is a capped version, is not a price cut. Lite don't have tablet or TV mode. 



The_Liquid_Laser said:
trunkswd said:

Let's Go not being a core game and no Switch Lite a year ago is why sales are up a bit year-over-year. First game from a new Pokemon gen has people excited, despite the controversies. 

Yeah, I agree.  Pokemon Let's Go was viewed as an appetizer, while Sword/Shield is the main course.  A lot of Pokemon fans bought a Switch for the appetizer, but I think this data is telling us that even more held back for the main course.  Obviously the Lite model helped with that.  On top of that I recall Let's Go shipping 10m in it's first quarter.  That is one hell of an appetizer.  Just imagine how much the main course will ship.

Switch is my first Nintendo platform since the N64 due it it having the home consoles and handheld games in one place. And for Mario Odyssey as it's the closest Mario game to Mario 64. For me Pokemon was just icing on the cake. I loved Let's Go Eevee and am enjoying Sword so far. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.