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Forums - Sales Discussion - VGChartz Gap Charts September 2019 Discussion Thread

Marth said:
Yo Trunks, will there be another Switch vs WiiU + 3DS chart soon?

Yes, it will happen soon. I have a bunch of these monthly articles, so it takes a while to post them all. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

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curl-6 said:

At this point the only thing that can stop the Switch outselling the Wii is Nintendo.

If they keeping going the way they are and support the system properly, it will pass 100 million.

They only way it won't is if they go full moron and cut it short prematurely.

They need to keep supporting it beyond next year, which I am sure they will. They Wii lacked heavy hitters beyond the first few years. I'd personally like to see a new F-Zero, Metroid Prime 4 and Mario Odyssey 2. BotW 2 is confirmed.  



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

You can read the complete Article #3 and Analysis here:

Switch vs 3DS – VGChartz Gap Charts – September 2019

Switch Vs. 3DS Global:

Gap change in latest month: 256,837 - Switch

Gap change over last 12 months: 5,080,202 - Switch

Total Lead: 6,141,915 – Switch

Switch Total Sales: 38,751,874

3DS Total Sales: 32,609,959



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

curl-6 said:

At this point the only thing that can stop the Switch outselling the Wii is Nintendo.

If they keeping going the way they are and support the system properly, it will pass 100 million.

They only way it won't is if they go full moron and cut it short prematurely.

To paraphrase Robert Downey Junior, "Never go full moron."



The_Liquid_Laser said:
curl-6 said:

At this point the only thing that can stop the Switch outselling the Wii is Nintendo.

If they keeping going the way they are and support the system properly, it will pass 100 million.

They only way it won't is if they go full moron and cut it short prematurely.

To paraphrase Robert Downey Junior, "Never go full moron."



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You can read the complete Article #4 and Analysis here:

Switch vs DS – VGChartz Gap Charts – September 2019

 

Switch Vs. DS Global:

Gap change in latest month: 370,483 – DS

Gap change over last 12 months: 6,533,420 - DS

Total Lead: 4,989,978 - DS

Switch Total Sales: 38,751,874

DS Total Sales: 43,741,852



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

Pretty impressive for the DS. It looks like the period of most aggressive sales hadn't happened yet by the 31st month.



trunkswd said:
curl-6 said:

At this point the only thing that can stop the Switch outselling the Wii is Nintendo.

If they keeping going the way they are and support the system properly, it will pass 100 million.

They only way it won't is if they go full moron and cut it short prematurely.

They need to keep supporting it beyond next year, which I am sure they will. They Wii lacked heavy hitters beyond the first few years. I'd personally like to see a new F-Zero, Metroid Prime 4 and Mario Odyssey 2. BotW 2 is confirmed.  

Personally I'd prefer Galaxy 3 over Odyssey 2, I think it could sell better by differentiating itself.

trunkswd said:

You can read the complete Article #3 and Analysis here:

Switch vs 3DS – VGChartz Gap Charts – September 2019

Switch Vs. 3DS Global:

Gap change in latest month: 256,837 - Switch

Gap change over last 12 months: 5,080,202 - Switch

Total Lead: 6,141,915 – Switch

Switch Total Sales: 38,751,874

3DS Total Sales: 32,609,959

Switch is well and truly breaking ahead of the 3DS. Hopefully we won't be hearing any more of that "Switch will sell on par with 3DS lifetime" talk.

zorg1000 said:
curl-6 said:

At this point the only thing that can stop the Switch outselling the Wii is Nintendo.

If they keeping going the way they are and support the system properly, it will pass 100 million.

They only way it won't is if they go full moron and cut it short prematurely.

People talk about Nintendo not having to support 2 platforms anymore but I think alot of them dont realize that in ~2010 Nintendo was developing/publishing titles for 4 seperate platforms at the same time.

They were trying to provide DS & Wii with late life support while also trying to get first year software ready for 3DS & Wii U. This caused them to be spread too thin and the transition period saw DS/Wii sales drop hard while 3DS/Wii U both got off to slow starts.

The transition to Switch went much smoother as they killed off Wii U early and were able soften droughts by releasing Wii U ports while they kept supporting 3DS as a back up plan if Switch didnt take off.

In theory the transition to Switch 2 should go even smoother since it should continue to use the Tegra line of chips making it easy for developers to transition and cross-gen titles should be easy to do. On top of that they wont need to give unnecessary support to a seperate back up plan since the Switch concept will no longer be a high risk proposition.

So yeah, Nintendo has to do something foolish to make Switch suffer an early decline or Switch 2 to stall out of the gates. Something along the lines of returning to two or more seperate ecosystems or going with a completely different high risk concept for the next hardware or going with a different chipset making it hard for developers to transition.

If they can continue giving strong support to Switch until 2023/2024 then release a Switch 2 in the XBO/PS4 ballpark power range than all should go very smoothly.

Yeah that's what they should do I reckon, ride Switch until 2023 then release a full-blooded successor that's the same basic thing but a generation more powerful.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

I foresee in 2 months ... a red line will cross with the green one and never look back !



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

Mar1217 said:
I foresee in 2 months ... a red line will cross with the green one and never look back !

Barring our Xbox One estimates being way off the Switch will easily surpass the Xbox One by the end of the year. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.