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Forums - Sales Discussion - Global Hardware 22 December 2018

Looking forward to NPD leaks in 2-3 days, if what Benji says is true than Switch seems undertracked.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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Hot damn! Switch is not letting up!



Switch dominating!



Switch Friend Code = 5965 - 4586 - 6484

PSN: alejollorente10

Nice, but not enough.

And I think I am VERY optimistic for Q4...

I think the real minimal goal is 19M to satisfy the investors and not see a massive drop on the share.



Ps4 sales are abysmal, anyone know why?



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Whoa the Switch is on fire! Those sales are AMAZING! Well deserved! PS4 holding steady....not great by any means but holding steady for its age. XB1 having a good run in the US but still lagging behind.

I cant wait to see what 2019 will bring for all 3 of them!



The absence of evidence is NOT the evidence of absence...

PSN: StlUzumaki23

Those european numbers for Switch are really weird though. I still think VGC is overtracking big time Switch in Europe.

We had, with a week left, 15% growth YOY in France (we know it has to be 24% in the end), 10% growth YOY in UK (we know it has to be 20% in the end) and VGC is showing a 17% growth YOY in Germany already (we don't know official data yet here) but VGC is showing a whooping 34% growth YOY in all Europe with that week left of the year. Is that even possible when the 3 biggest markets....by far, are around 10-15%, and all Europe around 34%???. So what then? in Spain, Italy, Portugal, Sweden, Netherlands, .... is a 50-60% growth YOY? It has to be if in Europe is so big the growth...

According to VGC Switch sold 3'4M in Europe in 2017 and it seems is on pace to 4'8M in 2018. That would be a 41% growth YOY in Europe. Knowing UK and France numbers already i find it very difficult to be true.

On the other side, if my maths are correct, Switch is going to be around 1'2M (365k+392k+ around 440k = 1'2M) in USA in December with a week left according to VGC, so maybe finishing the year around 1'4-1'5M. That seems too low.

As for the rest of the world (not USA+EU+JP markets), Switch did 1'6M in 2017 and is alrady around 2'9M in 2018 with a week left. That's a 81% growth YOY (even with a week left).

My guess: USA is going to be undertracked around 500k at least (probably more), EU is going to be overtracked by around 500-600k (at least, too), and ROTW i really don't know anything here how it works, but a 85-90% growth YOY is reaaaaally a lot, so i won't be surprised if it's overtracked too.

For PS4 numbers....well, it seems it only needs around 500-600K in the last week (and maybe some tweaking in VGC numbers) to be on par with official numbers.



colafitte said:


As for the rest of the world (not USA+EU+JP markets), Switch did 1'6M in 2017 and is alrady around 2'9M in 2018 with a week left. That's a 81% growth YOY (even with a week left).

My guess: USA is going to be undertracked around 500k at least (probably more), EU is going to be overtracked by around 500-600k (at least, too), and ROTW i really don't know anything here how it works, but a 85-90% growth YOY is reaaaaally a lot, so i won't be surprised if it's overtracked too.


 

Did not they increase their market in South Korea ? this country is a modern big consumer (population 51 millions) being under a strong influence of the Japan products eventually.

Also, in Eastern Europe, they were already so low that multiplying by 2 their sales was certainly not a hard thing.



Amnesia said:
colafitte said:


As for the rest of the world (not USA+EU+JP markets), Switch did 1'6M in 2017 and is alrady around 2'9M in 2018 with a week left. That's a 81% growth YOY (even with a week left).

My guess: USA is going to be undertracked around 500k at least (probably more), EU is going to be overtracked by around 500-600k (at least, too), and ROTW i really don't know anything here how it works, but a 85-90% growth YOY is reaaaaally a lot, so i won't be surprised if it's overtracked too.


 

Did not they increase their market in South Korea ? this country is a modern big consumer (population 51 millions) being under a strong influence of the Japan products eventually.

Also, in Eastern Europe, they were already so low that multiplying by 2 their sales was certainly not a hard thing.

Like i said, i don't know how ROTW works here, so that's why i don't want to say they're wrong. But even with markets like South Korea, Argentina, and others...., going from 1'6M to more than 3M YOY is a lot. I've never seen anything like that. But like you said, maybe new markets are guilty of such growth, i don't know.