So Switch will be over 1 million for November. Got it.

A simple explanation for all of this is that NPD isn't always 100% accurate. So what do they do when they aren't accurate? They do adjustments just like VGC, but they don't adjust previous months. They adjust it within the next month, or future months. So in all seriousness, NPD could have overtracked the Switch up to October and the true LTD could have been less than or more than 7.3m. We won't ever know what adjustments they make but November NPD posted numbers could be wildly different than actual sales.

Why the same time period? I could look at something like July in Japan where it sold

25k, 28k, 30k, 100k, 90k

There's no shocker that once Splatoon 2 released there was a big restock over there. That tended to be Nintendo's modus operandi last year for when they were struggling heavily to keep up with demand. A small trickle and then a big restock once there was a big game release.

How am i suppose yo know this? we don't have that kind of data on hand so its all baseless speculation. i'm confident because 800-900k sounds like a realistic  number, and nintendo is the one providing the number, and they are providing in a very detailed way. last time so  provided numbers LTD in the US, they were exactly on point with NPD. 

You're going to have to source me with that increased production capacity claim. Because everything I read and know say that the increased production wasn't even getting started until September (and not very shockingly, that's when the shortages slowly started to dissipate)

The only reason you're confident is that you don't know what you're talking about and you're unwilling to actually think through the implications of that 800-900k number. I guess I shouldn't be surprised that you won't answer, since there's no way for you to split the sales without looking foolish.

Well see who looks foolish when NPD comes out and matches nintendo numbers or will be very close to nintendo numbers. if you are so confident make a 2 week avatar bet if switch  does  over 1.1 million. you win, if not i win.

I thought you said Switch would sell between 800k-950k for Nov?

That was my prediction. based on nintendo LTD number it seems like it will hit a million, but since i'm making a bet i like to the on the safer side.  

And it's fairly generous. After all, since if the Switch did better than 800k for Black Friday and you add that with Pokemon launch, it should be far, far beyond 1.1m. Should be an easy bet to take up if one holds that the ~900k was just referring to the Black Friday sales and all of Nov 3-21 just simply wasn't added in for whatever reason.