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Forums - Nintendo - Switch Software Holiday Quarter Predictions! (SSBU/PLG/Etc)

tbone51 on 15 November 2018
melbye said:
Pokemon will probably do 8 million by December 31, while Smash might get to 6 million

Smash will might get pass 6 million.... By end of its first day xD :P



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tbone51 on 15 November 2018
Barkley said:
tbone51 said:

Years ago Rolstoppable said i was on drugs so you might be on to something

Guts or glory though, if you are right it'll be the greatest prediction I've ever seen.

Well if it were to do 15mil in first month than 25mil lifetime is definelty up to a 85%-90% chance of hitting lol



MasonADC on 15 November 2018
tbone51 said:
Barkley said:

Will only predict the new releases:

Pokemon - 9m
Smash Bros - 7.5m

Bruh, you think Smash is going to outship Brawl's lifetime sales in under a month?

Super Mario Odyssey took 10 weeks to ship 9m. You think Smash can ship 13.85m in a little over 3 weeks?

How much do you think will be sold to consumers in those 3 weeks? How much do you think they're going to be overshipping by?

If they sold 7m in their first 3 weeks, that'd be almost 7m units sitting on shelves. xD

Actually im going all in and making my biggest BOLD claim of all time. Will make a thread on it later. But itlp be SSBU will Be the biggest Exclusive Launch of all time.

 

Stay tuned for it ill post an explanation later (when making that thread). Itll be a prediction of close to if not 15mil Ship+Digital WW first month

 

Edit: Most likely ill be wrong but if one game can do it, it would be SSBU. This is the biggest Hardcore Nintendo Franchise of all time. Im going in lmfao.

 

When im wrong every1 gonna come at me lol. I was close a couple years back with ssb4 though

I honestly don't think your prediction is that crazy. However, based on the France Shipments from a couple of months ago, I think Nintendo will under ship the game, causing it too not reach its full potential 



tbone51 on 15 November 2018
MasonADC said:
tbone51 said:

Actually im going all in and making my biggest BOLD claim of all time. Will make a thread on it later. But itlp be SSBU will Be the biggest Exclusive Launch of all time.

 

Stay tuned for it ill post an explanation later (when making that thread). Itll be a prediction of close to if not 15mil Ship+Digital WW first month

 

Edit: Most likely ill be wrong but if one game can do it, it would be SSBU. This is the biggest Hardcore Nintendo Franchise of all time. Im going in lmfao.

 

When im wrong every1 gonna come at me lol. I was close a couple years back with ssb4 though

I honestly don't think your prediction is that crazy. However, based on the France Shipments from a couple of months ago, I think Nintendo will under ship the game, causing it too not reach its full potential 

I was gonna talk about that too. 500k (30k from smash bundles) is france alone. That number can tell me even if its 3 weeks more after launch smash can pull a million in ship+Digital (or close to it by years end).

 

Damn i have to make that final Bold prediction thread of the year now lmao



jonathanalis on 15 November 2018

32M switches
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 16 million
Super Mario Odyssey - 15 million
Breath of the Wild - 13 million
SSBU - 10 million
Splatoon - 9mil
Pokémon Lets Go - 8mil
Super Mario Party - 5mil
1-2 Switch - 3mil
Mario Tennis Aces - 3mil
Donkey Kong Tropical Freeze - 2.8mil
Kirby Star Allies - 2.8mil
ARMS - 2.5mil
Xenoblade Chronicles 2 - 2mil

Last edited by jonathanalis - on 15 November 2018

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p0isonparadise on 15 November 2018

Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 16.00 million
Super Mario Odyssey - 14.70 million
Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 12.55 million
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - 10.50 million
Splatoon 2 - 8.90 million
Pokemon Let's Go - 8.80 million
Super Mario Party - 5.55 million
1-2-Switch - 3.30 million
Mario Tennis Aces - 3.15 million
Kirby Star Allies - 3,05 million



TheGamer_1995 on 15 November 2018

I don’t know exact numbers but all I know is that Pokemon > Smash. Fight me



fedfed on 15 November 2018

Super Mario Odyssey - 12.57 million
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 13.21 million
Breath of the Wild - 11.09 million
Splatoon - 7.84mil
1-2 Switch 2.74mil
Mario Tennis Aces - 3.06mil
ARMS - 2.33mil
Kirby Star Allies - 2.46mil
Donkey Kong Tropical Freeze - 1.97mil
Xenoblade Chronicles 2 - 1.90mil
Super Mario Party - 3mil
Pokemon - 9.9mil
Smash - 11.3



Switch!!!

RingoGaSuki on 15 November 2018

I'm with you on Smash. It's going to be huge; the biggest sales yet for the series.

Super Smash Bros Ulitmate - 15.5 million
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 14.3 million
Super Mario Odyssey - 14 million
Breath of the Wild - 12.25 million
Pokemon Lets Go Pikachu/Eevee 10 million
Splatoon 2 - 9.3 million
Super Mario Party - 6 million
1-2 Switch 3.00 million
Mario Tennis Aces - 2.75 million
ARMS - 2.25 million
Kirby Star Allies - 2.85 million
Donkey Kong Tropical Freeze - 2.25 million
Xenoblade Chronicles 2 - 2 million

I'll take a guess on some 3rd parties too, but we won't know them of course:

Octopath: 3 million
Skyrim: 1.5-2 million
Civilization VI: 750k (I want it to do more)
Wolfenstein: 500-750k
Doom: 500-750k



tak13 on 15 November 2018
tbone51 said:
Barkley said:

13.85m is crazy, 15m I'm starting to think I should recommend a doctor!

Good luck. xD

Years ago Rolstoppable said i was on drugs so you might be on to something

You still are!  :p ;}