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Forums - Nintendo - NPD Prediction: Will Smash Ultimate become the fastest selling Nintendo Title?

 

Will Smash Ultimate surpass Brawl's first month sales?

Yes 23 69.70%
 
No 10 30.30%
 
It won't be close 0 0%
 
Total:33
AngryLittleAlchemist on 04 November 2018
MasonADC said:
AngryLittleAlchemist said:
I thought Pokemon Sun and Moon was the fastes selling Nintendo title on NPD, and then Mario Odyssey beat it?

Odyssey came out near the end of the NPD, so it didn't break the fastest selling record. However it is the fastest selling Super Mario Title 

So what you're saying is that since Super Mario Odyssey came out like 3 days before the end of October, it didn't win. But because Smash releases so early in December, it has a chance?

zorg1000 said:
AngryLittleAlchemist said:
I thought Pokemon Sun and Moon was the fastes selling Nintendo title on NPD, and then Mario Odyssey beat it?

Sun/Moon had the most pre-orders globally but I'm pretty sure Smash still has the debut NPD record for Nintendo.

If that's the case, then yeah, I honestly think Ultimate will beat it.



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flashfire926 on 04 November 2018

I remember Sun/Moon doing like 3.7 million for November 2016 NPD, so I think that's the record, not brawl.

edit: this will be a tall order for ultimate. I think it will be over 3 million, but still short of Sun/Moon.



Bet with Intrinsic:

The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.

MasonADC on 04 November 2018
AngryLittleAlchemist said:
MasonADC said:

Odyssey came out near the end of the NPD, so it didn't break the fastest selling record. However it is the fastest selling Super Mario Title 

So what you're saying is that since Super Mario Odyssey came out like 3 days before the end of October, it didn't win. But because Smash releases so early in December, it has a chance?

zorg1000 said:

Sun/Moon had the most pre-orders globally but I'm pretty sure Smash still has the debut NPD record for Nintendo.

If that's the case, then yeah, I honestly think Ultimate will beat it.

Sadly that's how NPD works. However, Brawl had 874k units on launch day with 1.4 million first week, and Odyssey had 900k first 3 days, so I think Brawl inched ahead anyway 



MasonADC on 04 November 2018
flashfire926 said:
I remember Sun/Moon doing like 3.7 million for November 2016 NPD, so I think that's the record, not brawl.

Combined yes, but NPD doesn't combine them sadly. So brawl would technically have the record. NPD is weird lol



flashfire926 on 04 November 2018
MasonADC said:
flashfire926 said:
I remember Sun/Moon doing like 3.7 million for November 2016 NPD, so I think that's the record, not brawl.

Combined yes, but NPD doesn't combine them sadly. So brawl would technically have the record. NPD is weird lol

but I think for the sake of this comparison they should be combined. 

They are largely the same games.



Bet with Intrinsic:

The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.

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MasonADC on 04 November 2018
flashfire926 said:
MasonADC said:

Combined yes, but NPD doesn't combine them sadly. So brawl would technically have the record. NPD is weird lol

but I think for the sake of this comparison they should be combined. 

They are largely the same games.

I was trying to be consistent with the NPD, but I see what you mean



jason1637 on 04 November 2018
MasonADC said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:
I voted no. Also, according to VGC, Pokemon X+Y sold 4.2m in one month. I don't think Smash can beat that.

 This was meant to be only for the NPD first month, not worldwide first week 

Pokemon has done over 4m in NPD this gen. So no I see Smash selling 2m first month.



PortisheadBiscuit on 04 November 2018

I see more like 2m



Jumpin on 04 November 2018

I don’t see it happening.

I get the feeling a lot of people are talking about hype, but I don’t see many actually excited to play it. It’s not like Zelda and Mario last year. I’d like to see it sell really well because I like seeing Nintendo be successful, but a B-tier Nintendo game like Smash being pushed as an A-lister title feels like one big lie.

Maybe if they had an even more robust Subspace Emissary Mode - or something compelling and fresh - but aside from more content, the game looks like more of the same: and that is why I think there’s not a huge amount of excitement to actually play it.

Last edited by Jumpin - on 04 November 2018

I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

Dulfite on 04 November 2018

When did Brawl release? Month I mean. That being said I predict Ultimate will sell more because of one reason above all others; Ultimate is the superior name.