Forums - Nintendo Discussion - October 2018 Nintendo Sales update predictions thread

Hardware:
Switch - 23.25 million
3DS - 73.10 million

Software - Switch:
Super Mario Odyssey - 13.5 million
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 11.75 million
Breath of the Wild - 10.8 million
Splatoon 2 - 7.5 million
1-2-Switch - 2.59 million
Kirby Star Allies - 2.9 million
ARMS - 2.45 million
Mario Tennis Aces - 2.25 million
DKC: Tropical Freeze - 1.60 million
Xenoblade Chronicles 2 - 1.5 million



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What did they sell FY2018 Q2?

3 million? I reckon they'll be around the same for this quarter.



Somewhere in between 3,5-4 million units shipped



JSG87 said:
What did they sell FY2018 Q2?

3 million? I reckon they'll be around the same for this quarter.

This is FY Q2 2018, if you meant Q2 as in April to June 2018 they only shipped 1.88m, it was a very dissapointing quarter.

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LTD: PS4 - 125m, Switch - 110m, XBO - 51m

2020: PS4 - 9m, Switch - 22.5m, XBO - 2.5m, PS5 - 4.5m, XBX - 2.8m

For hardware I'm guessing around 22m.



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Switch will probably be around 22.5m, but I am much more interesting to SW sales and number of online subscribers.



I'm really only curious about the online subscriptions. 20+ million consoles and cheap subscription, but you can get cheap family accounts and people regard it pretty poorly, so I'm thinking less than two million subscriptions, less than $30 million in subscription fees due to all the "family" memberships.



HylianSwordsman said:
I'm really only curious about the online subscriptions. 20+ million consoles and cheap subscription, but you can get cheap family accounts and people regard it pretty poorly, so I'm thinking less than two million subscriptions, less than $30 million in subscription fees due to all the "family" memberships.

That would be around 8% of user base, that's very low, I expecting at least 3m+.

Last edited by Miyamotoo - on 14 October 2018

Hardware:
Switch - 22.80 million (keep in mind initial shipments of the Fortnite bundle are certainly counted here as it has to be shipped out by that point despite only releasing a week later)
3DS - 73.80 million

Software - Switch:
Super Mario Odyssey - 12 million
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 11.8 million
Breath of the Wild - 10.10 million
Splatoon 2 - 7.45 million
1-2-Switch - 2.70 million
Kirby Star Allies - 2.25 million
ARMS - 2.20 million
Mario Tennis Aces - 1.85 million
DKC: Tropical Freeze - 1.75 million
Xenoblade Chronicles 2 - 1.55 million

Bonus (probably in a press release and/or investor's Q&A):

Octopath Traveller: 1.8 million
Fortnite: 3M+
Paladins: 500K+



Bofferbrauer2 said:
Hardware:
Switch - 22.80 million (keep in mind initial shipments of the Fortnite bundle are certainly counted here as it has to be shipped out by that point despite only releasing a week later)
3DS - 73.80 million

Software - Switch:
Super Mario Odyssey - 12 million
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 11.8 million
Breath of the Wild - 10.10 million
Splatoon 2 - 7.45 million
1-2-Switch - 2.70 million
Kirby Star Allies - 2.25 million
ARMS - 2.20 million
Mario Tennis Aces - 1.85 million
DKC: Tropical Freeze - 1.75 million
Xenoblade Chronicles 2 - 1.55 million

Bonus (probably in a press release and/or investor's Q&A):

Octopath Traveller: 1.8 million
Fortnite: 3M+
Paladins: 500K+

I would bank on a lot more Forniteplayers than 3M. It was downloaded more than 2 million times in the first 24 hours so just another million downloads in 4 months seems way too low.