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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - October 2018 Nintendo Sales update predictions thread

JSG87 on 11 October 2018

What did they sell FY2018 Q2?

3 million? I reckon they'll be around the same for this quarter.



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Mbolibombo on 11 October 2018

Somewhere in between 3,5-4 million units shipped



Barkley on 11 October 2018
JSG87 said:
What did they sell FY2018 Q2?

3 million? I reckon they'll be around the same for this quarter.

This is FY Q2 2018, if you meant Q2 as in April to June 2018 they only shipped 1.88m, it was a very dissapointing quarter.

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Wyrdness on 11 October 2018

For hardware I'm guessing around 22m.



Miyamotoo on 11 October 2018

Switch will probably be around 22.5m, but I am much more interesting to SW sales and number of online subscribers.



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HylianSwordsman on 13 October 2018

I'm really only curious about the online subscriptions. 20+ million consoles and cheap subscription, but you can get cheap family accounts and people regard it pretty poorly, so I'm thinking less than two million subscriptions, less than $30 million in subscription fees due to all the "family" memberships.



Miyamotoo on 14 October 2018
HylianSwordsman said:
I'm really only curious about the online subscriptions. 20+ million consoles and cheap subscription, but you can get cheap family accounts and people regard it pretty poorly, so I'm thinking less than two million subscriptions, less than $30 million in subscription fees due to all the "family" memberships.

That would be around 8% of user base, that's very low, I expecting at least 3m+.

Last edited by Miyamotoo - on 14 October 2018

Bofferbrauer2 on 14 October 2018

Hardware:
Switch - 22.80 million (keep in mind initial shipments of the Fortnite bundle are certainly counted here as it has to be shipped out by that point despite only releasing a week later)
3DS - 73.80 million

Software - Switch:
Super Mario Odyssey - 12 million
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 11.8 million
Breath of the Wild - 10.10 million
Splatoon 2 - 7.45 million
1-2-Switch - 2.70 million
Kirby Star Allies - 2.25 million
ARMS - 2.20 million
Mario Tennis Aces - 1.85 million
DKC: Tropical Freeze - 1.75 million
Xenoblade Chronicles 2 - 1.55 million

Bonus (probably in a press release and/or investor's Q&A):

Octopath Traveller: 1.8 million
Fortnite: 3M+
Paladins: 500K+



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

Mbolibombo on 15 October 2018
Bofferbrauer2 said:
Hardware:
Switch - 22.80 million (keep in mind initial shipments of the Fortnite bundle are certainly counted here as it has to be shipped out by that point despite only releasing a week later)
3DS - 73.80 million

Software - Switch:
Super Mario Odyssey - 12 million
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 11.8 million
Breath of the Wild - 10.10 million
Splatoon 2 - 7.45 million
1-2-Switch - 2.70 million
Kirby Star Allies - 2.25 million
ARMS - 2.20 million
Mario Tennis Aces - 1.85 million
DKC: Tropical Freeze - 1.75 million
Xenoblade Chronicles 2 - 1.55 million

Bonus (probably in a press release and/or investor's Q&A):

Octopath Traveller: 1.8 million
Fortnite: 3M+
 Paladins: 500K+

I would bank on a lot more Forniteplayers than 3M. It was downloaded more than 2 million times in the first 24 hours so just another million downloads in 4 months seems way too low.



Wyrdness on 15 October 2018
HylianSwordsman said:
I'm really only curious about the online subscriptions. 20+ million consoles and cheap subscription, but you can get cheap family accounts and people regard it pretty poorly, so I'm thinking less than two million subscriptions, less than $30 million in subscription fees due to all the "family" memberships.

 

People are still going to want to play games like Splatoon 2 and Smash though, the holiday will no doubt see a spike in subs.