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Forums - Sports - The NFL Thread 2018: The New England Patriots win Super Bowl LIII

 

Who Will Win Super Bowl LIII?

Saints 5 21.74%
 
Chiefs 2 8.70%
 
Rams 3 13.04%
 
Patriots 9 39.13%
 
Cowboys 2 8.70%
 
Chargers 1 4.35%
 
Eagles 1 4.35%
 
Colts 0 0%
 
Total:23

Can't believe the way this game is going, every single player on the Lions is playing like absolute garbage.



PSN: extremeM

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Someone please tell these Raiders CB that they need to look back for the ball. Gonna get called for PI every time if you don't.



Things are getting a little crazy around here due to preparations for the incoming hurricane (I live in NC atm), so the weekly prediction update might take a bit longer than I had hoped. If you're curious as to how you placed, all the results have been updated on the google doc.



MTZehvor said:

Things are getting a little crazy around here due to preparations for the incoming hurricane (I live in NC atm), so the weekly prediction update might take a bit longer than I had hoped. If you're curious as to how you placed, all the results have been updated on the google doc.

I heard earlier that it's been upgraded to Cat 5. I hope you and your loved ones come out on the other end OK. Here in Okie-la-homa, we deal with tornado season every year, so I know what it's like.



Regarding the spread, I pretty much broke even.



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I do apologize for this being later than hoped. The past few days have been nuts. Here is the prediction box for week 2.

BAL@CIN
CLE@NO
LAC@BUF
KC@PIT
IND@WAS
MIA@NYJ
PHI@TB
CAR@ATL
HOU@TEN
MIN@GB
ARI@LAR
DET@SF
NE@JAX
OAK@DEN
NYG@DAL
SEA@CHI  by 

Since this has been posted so late, if you want, you can simply opt to not predict the Thursday night game (BAL@CIN). It won't be counted for or against your percentage.



RolStoppable said:
MTZehvor said:

I do apologize for this being later than hoped. The past few days have been nuts. Here is the prediction box for week 2.

Since this has been posted so late, if you want, you can simply opt to not predict the Thursday night game (BAL@CIN). It won't be counted for or against your percentage.

Are you alright? I don't think you realize what you are saying.

Why should a late prediction box make TNF predictions redundant?

Because there's less time for people to see the new box and make predictions with it. Lots of users already struggle with getting Thursday picks in already, and reducing the window of time for them to see and enter a prediction isn't fair to others.



I'm going Ravens anyway.



                            

RolStoppable said:
MTZehvor said:

Because there's less time for people to see the new box and make predictions with it. Lots of users already struggle with getting Thursday picks in already, and reducing the window of time for them to see and enter a prediction isn't fair to others.

Again, are you alright?

The users who forget to make Thursday picks don't open the NFL thread to begin with. Those who do care would simply go to a sports website and look up who plays on Thursday and make their pick in this thread regardless of the existence of a box.

I think you're sticking people in a binary "die hard vs. don't care" box. This is admittedly largely my intuition, but I get the sense that at least some of the people who have participated in these threads in the past rely pretty heavily on the thread itself as a reminder to make predictions. They're not so aware of their prediction status at all times to go look up who's playing and then predict it themselves.



RolStoppable said:
MTZehvor said:

I think you're sticking people in a binary "die hard vs. don't care" box. This is admittedly largely my intuition, but I get the sense that at least some of the people who have participated in these threads in the past rely pretty heavily on the thread itself as a reminder to make predictions. They're not so aware of their prediction status at all times to go look up who's playing and then predict it themselves.

I did regularly put who is playing on Thursday in the thread title and that didn't help. The biggest problem is that it took really long for people to get used to regular Thursday football, and a similar observation could be made for the Rams where you would still read St. Louis in some posts a season after they had already moved to Los Angeles.

The number of no-picks for TNF reduced over the years, so it's a matter of habit. The people who miss Thursday usually don't think of football from Monday until the moment they see that the game has already started on TV. What you do in this thread has no relevance, because people forget to look at all and in some cases don't even visit VGC for days.

My biggest issue with your initial post is the suggestion that people who don't pick can choose to get a freebie. It reminded me of superchunk's ridiculous suggestion that the prediction league should scratch everyone's worst week of the season right after he had faceplanted with a 4-12 week. In your case, if people were allowed to opt out when they didn't make a pick and therefore have it not count against their percentage, then why not let everyone decide whether their TNF pick should count or not; let us all opt out when it turned out to be wrong. Ridiculous.

The prediction leagues in the past years continued even when I was banned, and I was banned often and a lot. There's no good reason to alter the fundamentals of the contest just because you couldn't be online for a couple of days.

I think there may be some confusion on what exactly this is. If you don't pick the game here, you don't get a free win. The game itself just doesn't count. And you can't decide to just not have your prediction count if it turns out to be wrong; if you pick incorrectly, then you get it wrong, end of story. If there's any dilemma here, it's choosing whether your confident enough in a prediction to risk a loss for the chance of a win, or if you'd rather have neither.

In short, if you pick the game and get it wrong (or right), then that result is added to your total. There's no takebacks if you do make a prediction. Conversely, if you don't make a prediction, you just don't get anything. The game doesn't go into your total. You'd just have 15 games predicted for that week, and your percentage would be calculated as (Correct Picks/15).

Beyond that I certainly don't plan to make this a recurring theme. Things have been crazy around here due to the incoming hurricane, and barring any further tropical storms it shouldn't be happening again.