Well at least there’s one goal that people should have more optimism on.

I see reviews on Amazon for 1-2 Switch and they are not very positive. That makes me want to see it fail commercially. I don't want Nintendo selling people mediocre games.

How does Q3/Holiday software sales compare with other quarters for Nintendo? Is it a large a discrepancy as with hardware sales? If so then it should easily make that 100m software goal.

Are they actually the same people? And when mentioning "negative" comments....what is exactly negative(I guesss that is more a question for Tbone not you since he said it)? All I see is MOSTLY people underwhelmed by the shipments and doubting if Nin will hit the 20mil figure outside of 1 maybe 2 people. Nothing really "negative" but then I have not read EVERY comment in the thread either.

I was talking about one person in particular and they seem to have changed their stance.

Mariokart 8 deluxe is catching up with odyssey i expect it to pass odyssey by the end of the year.

Last year it was ~40% of total software shipments but will likely be higher this year since the big hitters were spread out last year while they are more focused on the holidays this year.

I don't think 1.88M shipped necessarily means they won't hit 20M for the fiscal year. They could have overshipped Q4 given the demand dropped with no major software that quarter. Although compared to the Wii on the ascent:
In 2008 QA sales were 3.43 and sales hit 18.61M
In 2009 Q1 sales were 5.17 and sales hit 25.95M (actually, still the #1 best fiscal year of any console in history)
In 2010 Q1 sales were 2.23 and sales hit 20.53M

So typically Nintendo home consoles sell 10.5 to 18.5% their annual shipment in Q1 in the early period. The number is higher if they undership in Q3 - as happened to the Wii in 08/09. So the Switch is probably going to be closer to something like 2010 numbers given Nintendo has the capacity to hit shipment goals this year. If they're in line with the Wii, they'll hit about 17-18M for the fiscal year - if they overshipped in Q4 last year, then they can potentially hit 20M - but it will be a unique situation.

Wii U trends:

2014: Q1 was 160K, 2.72M for the year. ~6%
2015: Q1 was 510K, 3.38M for the year 15%
2016: Q! was 470K, 3.26M for the year 14.5%

So hitting 20M for the year wouldn't be unprecedented results.

Ahhhhhhh gotcha!

Well if you are talking about 1st party I'll have to dig it a lot.

If talking about all SW sold on the platform then it was about 4-5 SW per HW... so in that quarter about 16-20M, and total SW sold 120-150M.

Sony would be less than 20% of the marketshare on its own platfrom so I would guess 4M SW on quarter and 20M LT at that time.