By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Movies & TV - Solo Headed To Become A Flop? Yep, It Flopped.

 

How Much Will Solo Make WW?

Under $700M 56 60.87%
 
$700M-$800M 18 19.57%
 
$801M-$900M 12 13.04%
 
$901M-$1B 3 3.26%
 
Over $1B 3 3.26%
 
Total:92
Soundwave said:
Faelco said:

They could make a billion if they were well done.

 

Who cared about a bunch of completely unknown fighters without a single jeudi in sight like in Rogue One? Useless story shoehorned between 2 existing movies. But it was good, so it managed to make 1 billion. 

 

Do good movies, get good numbers. So difficult to understand that nowadays...

No they couldn't. 

Even Marvel struggles to hit $1 billion reliably and those characters have 60+ years worth of back story, hundreds of seperate writers to mine material from and Marvel is at its absolute peak right (probably will start to decline).  

Star Wars is a very nerd centric audience, the problem with spin-off films is the "regular Joe public" people who don't give that much of a fuck about everything Star Wars aren't going to be interested about every second character. 

And Star Wars is also limited is what they can do with their characters. You can't just make an Obi-Wan film that's R-rated or wildly breaks from canon, so you're limited in what you can write. 

I don't mind Harry Potter films, I saw most of the main line films, but would I go see a Ron Weasely film? Probably fucking not. The reviews on that would have to be through the roof. Nor would I want to watch a Gimli The Dwarf film from LOTR or something. No thanks, I do like LOTR but at some point enough is enough, that last Hobbit film was reeeeeallly pushing it already. 

Marvel can cheat that because they can dip into other genre types and incorporate modern humor which is something Star Wars wouldn't be able to do either. 

And yet Fantastic Beasts did only around 100 millions less than the main HP movies. Without even any direct link to HP. The Hobbit movies all reached around 1 billion. You're right, who cares about spin offs?

 

I don't get why you can't understand that good movies bring more viewers than bad ones. It's pretty simple logic. 



Around the Network
Soundwave said:
Faelco said:

http://www.indiewire.com/2013/09/disney-jerry-bruckheimer-will-part-ways-in-2014-producer-studio-say-lone-ranger-not-to-blame-93423/

 

And Jerry Bruckheimer was a newbie with no record at all? An unknown producer, right?

 

And yet they fired him after one fail with The Lone Ranger. Oh, sorry, they "didn't renew their partnership but will keep working together, Lone Ranger is not to blame". How similar to the possible scenario I explained.

 

And stop overselling Kennedy for making billion dollars movies with Star Wars. Any monkey with Disney money, marketing and the Star Wars IP would have made The Force Awakens into a billion dollar movie, regardless of its quality. 

Apparently it isn't that easy to make a billion+ picture.

Marvel is 5/19 (25%)

Pixar is 2/19 (10.5%)

Lucas went 1/3 on the prequels (33%) 

X-Men + Deadpool is 0/7 (0%)

Fast & Furious Series is 2/8 (25%)

Harry Potter is 1/8 (12.5%)

Disney Star Wars is 3/4 (75%) soon to be 80%. 

Surprisingly ...

Pirates of the Caribbean is 2/5 ... so 40% ... so when people keep "why the fuck do they keep making these movies", there's your answer. 

Dude, most of those movies that you list aren't even comparable. For one, the market has completely changed in the past decade. Higher ticket prices, 3d,and bigger foreign markets. 



Soundwave said:
thismeintiel said:

Very good point.  And it really shows just how big the OG trilogy was when they all did $1.2B (adjusted) WW, or more, without the greatly expanded market we have today.  And yes, you are right that AOTC would be the only one not over $1B.  It's not that far off, though.  $989.5M.  TPM did $1.74B, and ROTS did $1.19B.  Of course, those films still didn't have the advantage of the much larger foreign market we have today.  They weren't the greatest films, either.  That's why a SW film underperforming (TLJ) in this huge market is such a big deal.  And one that actually flops is a huge deal.

Interestingly, when I went to go look up when I calculated those numbers, I came across a post that is pretty funny, now. 

"Sounds like the early buzz from advance screenings of Solo: A Star Wars Story are very positive, ruh roh, Star Wars not dead yet? lol."  - Some Guy

Ruh Roh, indeed.

lol, glad to see little remarks get locked into your memory so long. I should be flattered. 

LOL, and you see why I usually refuse to argue with you.  Not only are the arguments circular, you don't even read people's posts.  Here, reread the bold.



Soundwave said:

Actually I don't agree "any Star Wars spin-off would make a billion dollars".

Solo sure as hell wouldn't and I would've said that 5 years ago too. Obi-Wan movie won't either. Boba Fett won't either. They should cancel both of those films for now and focus on the trilogy films. 

These spin-offs rely too much on Star Wars nerds, that's not big enough of an audience alone, the general audience isn't interested enough to watch these kinds of movies and quite frankly the characters aren't *that* interesting. Deadpool is fucking interesting, you don't need to be a Marvel/comic book fan to be entertained. But Obi-Wan? Dude is not that interesting, you can't make an entire movie around him and expect $1 billion plus.

Darth Vader IMO is the only Star Wars character that could reliably bank $1 billion with a side story based soley on them and even then that script better be good, and I mean Darth Vader not whiny ass Anakin. 

It's really hard to say. I think the reason Rogue One made a billion dollars was because it was the first anthology film. People were curious. As for Solo, Han Solo as a character is very popular, but I think two things were hurting that film's chance. First, a lot of fans felt burned by the Last Jedi. Second, Solo had been getting a lot of bad press on the internet over the last year. The sad thing is while some of that bad speculation was true, it didn't seem to have any negative impact on the film. I personally enjoyed it more than anything else Disney has done with Star Wars. The Force Awakens was pretty much a remake of A New Hope and you could tell what was going to happen and when. Rogue One was okay, but the main character was the least appealing part of the film. I actually liked the idea of the Last Jedi taking the series in a bold new direction, though what they did made absolutely no sense. Also, the previous film is the one that should have gone in a new direction, not the middle film.

People are talking wether Kathleen Kennedy will keep her job or not. I think it actually depends less on the performance of the movies and more on the performance of the merchandise. Toy sales have been on the decline, though I don't think it is clear on wether that has to do with fans feeling dissatisfied by recent Star Wars installments or if it has more to do with the changing demographics. Kids don't play with toys like they used to. Still, toys or no toys, merchandising is the key. Disney relies on that more than they do on there success of the movies.



Check out my art blog: http://jon-erich-art.blogspot.com

Faelco said:
Soundwave said:

No they couldn't. 

Even Marvel struggles to hit $1 billion reliably and those characters have 60+ years worth of back story, hundreds of seperate writers to mine material from and Marvel is at its absolute peak right (probably will start to decline).  

Star Wars is a very nerd centric audience, the problem with spin-off films is the "regular Joe public" people who don't give that much of a fuck about everything Star Wars aren't going to be interested about every second character. 

And Star Wars is also limited is what they can do with their characters. You can't just make an Obi-Wan film that's R-rated or wildly breaks from canon, so you're limited in what you can write. 

I don't mind Harry Potter films, I saw most of the main line films, but would I go see a Ron Weasely film? Probably fucking not. The reviews on that would have to be through the roof. Nor would I want to watch a Gimli The Dwarf film from LOTR or something. No thanks, I do like LOTR but at some point enough is enough, that last Hobbit film was reeeeeallly pushing it already. 

Marvel can cheat that because they can dip into other genre types and incorporate modern humor which is something Star Wars wouldn't be able to do either. 

And yet Fantastic Beasts did only around 100 millions less than the main HP movies. Without even any direct link to HP. The Hobbit movies all reached around 1 billion. You're right, who cares about spin offs?

 

I don't get why you can't understand that good movies bring more viewers than bad ones. It's pretty simple logic. 

Not everything is reliant on quality, the last couple of Fast & Furious movies have outgrossed most Star Wars and Harry Potter films by the way ... is that based on quality? 

Solo probably isn't even a "bad" film. I would bet it's in line with a lot of Marvel standalone films (Captain America: The First Avenger is no masterpiece, neither is Iron Man 2 or 3, neither is Thor 2). It's just not an appealing prospect to a lot of people. 

Disney should axe the Obi-Wan and especially the Boba Fett movies. It's too much Star Wars, they're going to oversaturate the brand with too many movies too quickly. Maybe "guy who likes anime and video games" might be into that concept of seeing full films for every other Star Wars character, but how about jock guy who really only cares about Star Wars cuz Yoda and Darth Vader? How about his girlfriend? 

That's where Star Wars will get into trouble, "non-nerds" don't want to see movies about every Star Wars character. You keep releasing this many films this quickly and people are just going to zone out. Focus on IX, get JJ back, focus on Rey/Finn/Poe, that scored them huge box office and huge repeat audience for TFA. 

Last edited by Soundwave - on 27 May 2018

Around the Network
Soundwave said:
Azuren said:

Not everything has to be clearly stated, but Jonathan Kasdar has clearly stated it. And I firmly don't support anything that has a blatant Mary Sue character in it.

 

I have no problem with inclusion, but I also don't care to muddy things up with useless information just for the sake of virtue signaling. "Lando is pando". Cool, does it come up? No? Then who fucking cares? I also don't care for unrealistic collections of tokens. Like in TLJ: strong independent Mary Sue, gay ace pilot, black guy, and an asian bitch all team up to take down a white guy and his white guy friends who all work for an evil old prick. HMM.

Poor you. Having to emphathize with people who look different from you when colored people/women have been asked to do that for 50+ fucking years of Hollywood films. How awful for you. 

It's like hearing a person who's only ever flown first class complain about flying in second class once or twice a year with other people. 

I like how when faced with explicit evidence of identity politics, your response is to regress to baiting me into a pedantic argument. It feels like vindication.



Watch me stream games and hunt trophies on my Twitch channel!

Check out my Twitch Channel!:

www.twitch.tv/AzurenGames

Azuren said:
Soundwave said:

Poor you. Having to emphathize with people who look different from you when colored people/women have been asked to do that for 50+ fucking years of Hollywood films. How awful for you. 

It's like hearing a person who's only ever flown first class complain about flying in second class once or twice a year with other people. 

I like how when faced with explicit evidence of identity politics, your response is to regress to baiting me into a pedantic argument. It feels like vindication.

Equality (or even the movement towards that) will always elicit the response of feeling oppressed by the privileged. You wanna hear someone whine and complain? Put them in 5 star hotels all their life and then ask them to stay in a 3 star hotel for a weekend and right on cue ...

Of course it's not "identity politics" when every character in a movie is white. That doesn't require any special explanation and everyone should just go with that. If a person is black in a major role or something other than the "norm" they must "explain" why they are there. Never mind how many actors of a different ethnicity in Hollywood have been black balled and locked out of roles for decades due to ridiculous casting policies.

Last edited by Soundwave - on 27 May 2018

Can't have equity and diversity at the same time.

 

Re-found this interesting fan-edit of E1-3, makes these films look quite nice suddenly in comparison.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KJJqYoMxG7o



Soundwave said:
Azuren said:

I like how when faced with explicit evidence of identity politics, your response is to regress to baiting me into a pedantic argument. It feels like vindication.

Equality (or even the movement towards that) will always elicit the response of feeling oppressed by the privileged. You wanna hear someone whine and complain? Put them in 5 star hotels all their life and then ask them to stay in a 3 star hotel for a weekend and right on cue ...

Of course it's not "identity politics" when every character in a movie is white. That doesn't require any special explanation and everyone should just go with that. If a person is black in a major role or something other than the "norm" they must "explain" why they are there. Never mind how many actors of a different ethnicity in Hollywood have been black balled and locked out of roles for decades due to ridiculous casting policies.

You can't help but not get the point, and I don't have the patience to wade through your refusal to understand.



Watch me stream games and hunt trophies on my Twitch channel!

Check out my Twitch Channel!:

www.twitch.tv/AzurenGames

I don’t understand the glee some supposed Star Wars fans seem to be going through right now. Star Wars fans only seem happy when sw is doing badly...Weird little basement dwellers. The Last Jedi was just a movie. There’s been bad Star Wars movies before. Get over it or move on, don’t lurk online for the next 10 years gloating about how badly each new Star Wars release is doing at the box office and what a sinking ship it’s become since Disney took over. Sheesh.

On topic....solo underperformed because of its release schedule. They screwed up with that and had to shove it in somewhere unfortunately (for them) too close to the years most anticipated film which I’m pretty sure was made by the same company anyway. Nothing to do with fan backlash. The majority of people living in the real world don’t even know that tlj was any better or worse than any other sw movie. They are brainless punters with no point of view who just go to see any old crap they’ve seen ads for on tv which is what Hollywood is all about. I’m sure when all is said and done solo will still end up around 800 mill at least which is hardly a failure even if it’s less than the op projected.