Mark my words, it’s going to be a surprising and impressive year. I expect Switch will sell one MILLION units!

Dude keep your expectations in check.  You sound like a fanboy now. 

I also vote 18 million

I made this prediction betting on both Smash Bros, and Pokemon (or Animal Crossing) launching this year, with all the Switch hardware shortages being a thing of the past this year, as well as E3 revealing a good supporting lineup of mid-size releases throughout the rest of the year.

I don't think we will see a hardware revision or price cut until 2019, but they may start doing $299 with a game included as the base package sometime this year.

Nintendo's forecast of 20m seems conservative to me, I think they will outperform it handily like they did last year.

The Wii U brought out the conservative side of Nintendo pretty dang hard, and I think they are still erring on the side of caution with their hardware forecasts because it is still recent for them.

Nintendo says 20m. Have they set the bar too high in recent years? Most recent one I remember is 3DS' first or second fiscal year.

Anyway, I'm guessing 23, since they usually lowball it. They have to have an Animal Crossing, Fire Emblem and Metroid or just a Pokemon to get those numbers.

I mean I get why Pokemon could really increase sales. But I really doubt animal crossing is as strong as an IP as it was a decade ago.

I agree it's definitely not as strong as Pokémon, but why do you think Animal Crossing is weaker than 10 years ago when the last game on the series is the best selling one? It did 11.7m and, believe or not, it's still selling.

OP: As for my prediction, sell through for this year alone, I expect something around 17m. 

Jan/Feb/Mar: 2.6m

Apr/May/Jun: 2.3m

Jul/Aug/Sep: 3.2m

Oct/Nov/Dec: 8.9m

PS: Without Pokémon or 2D Mario, like some people are expecting.

Voted 15 million units sold, but have my prediction at 14 million. The switch will most likely have about the same sale numbers 2017 had unless we see Pokemon release, which I think it's unlikely at this stage (who releases a game with just 4 months announcement in between release date??).

Nintendos recent quarterly report is giving me points, they shipped just about 200k more Switchs in q1 2018 compared to q1 2017.

20m is the shipment forecast for April 1st 2018 till March 31st 2019, not the consumer sales forecast.

No they're not going to sell 23m to consumers in 2018.

18.7m. Animal Crossing and Mario Party revealed at E3. Along with 1080 and a few smaller franchises like FE helping drive sales. Oh and ..... Smash!

Consoles don't typically sell loads Jan-Mar do they?  I can't imagine they'll be far behind that 20m mark before December ends.  And considering that 20m is, if to be historically believed, a conservative Nintendo number, it'll likely reach that mid December.