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TheBlackNaruto said:
trent44 said:

By Dec 31st 2017, Nintendo Switch was 14.86m shipped and ~13m sold-through.

It will probably be at 18m shipped and ~16m sold-through by March 31st 2018.

So, By Dec 31st 2018 I would say Switch will be around 37.86m shipped and ~36m sold-through.

And by March 31st 2019, 42m shipped and ~40m sold-through.

>>>So, for just Jan 1 2018 to Dec 31st 2018, my prediction is 23 million sold-through

Whoa 23 million SOLD through......now that is a bold prediction.....even with the current start(which is not bad at all) do you still think it will hit 23 million SOLD THROUGH? And what are you basing such a bold and huge prediction off of to cause the sales to spike THAT much?

I am thinking between 15-17.5 mil.

I made this prediction betting on both Smash Bros, and Pokemon (or Animal Crossing) launching this year, with all the Switch hardware shortages being a thing of the past this year, as well as E3 revealing a good supporting lineup of mid-size releases throughout the rest of the year.

I don't think we will see a hardware revision or price cut until 2019, but they may start doing $299 with a game included as the base package sometime this year.

Nintendo's forecast of 20m seems conservative to me, I think they will outperform it handily like they did last year.

The Wii U brought out the conservative side of Nintendo pretty dang hard, and I think they are still erring on the side of caution with their hardware forecasts because it is still recent for them.