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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

10/15/18 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 25 (+5) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 50 (+14) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 54 (+11) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black -98 (-9) - TP
5 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 96 (R) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 0 points (-3) ; XBO : 5 points (+5) ; NS : 102 + 52 + 47 = 201 points (+36)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 24 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 29 (-) - 499.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 30 (-) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 34 (-) - 299.99$
5 (+3) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 50 (+14) - 299.99$
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 51 (+8) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 58 (+4) - 299.99$
8 (+1) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 68 (-3) - 299.99$
9 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 79 (+9) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Shadow of the Tomb Raider - 50 (-3) - 499.99$

PS4 : 104 + 94 + 22 = 220 points (+9) ; XBO : 52 + 43 + 33 = 128 points (-36) ; NS : 92 + 84 + 50 = 226 points (+8)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 1 (+1)
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokémon let's Go Evee! Bundle - 4 (+1) - November 16th
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokémon let's Go Pikachu! Bundle - 7 (-1) - November 16th
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 15 (+2)
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 21 (+1)
6 (-) - PS4 Pro 2 TB 500 Million - 33 (-) - Out of Stock
7 (-) - PS4 Pro 2TB 500 Million - 34 (-) - Out of Stock
8 (-) - PS4 Pro 2TB 500 Million - 35 (-) - Out of Stock
9 (-) - PS4 Pro 2TB 500 Million - 36 (-) - Out of Stock
10 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Robot White Fallout 76 - 47 (+1)
11 (-) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 69 (-7)
12 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 82 (-8)
13 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 93 (-)
14 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 114 (-7)
15 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 144 (+12) - November 9th

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 175 + 160 + 70 = 405 points (-3) ; XBO : 104 + 58 = 162 points (-) ; NS : 210 + 82 + 44 = 336 points (-11)

Overall (with preorders from last month) :

1 - NS : 738.1 points (+19.4) ; Month Average : 725.7 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 568.7 points (-3.6) ; Month Average : 570.5 points/day ; 0.79 (-)
3 - XBO : 336.2 points (-4.1) ; Month Average : 285.2 points/day ; 0.39 (-)


From now on, I will only include numbers with preorders as those make the most sense.



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Was hoping for PS4 to push a bit more because of RDR but I guess being this late in the gen, requires a little more cost cutting perhaps. Seems like its Nintendo's to lose at the moment for October.

be interesting if things change next week or so.



Making an indie game : Dead of Day!

Mar1217 said:
It's still kind of incredible seeing the Switch above the PS4 in October of all places. Though I did say October would be more of a battlefield than people actually thought it would be.

The Smash Bundle is helping a lot, don't think Switch would lead without it.

Edit: Smash, not Splatoon of course

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 15 October 2018

Mar1217 said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

The Splatoon Bumdle is helping a lot, don't think Switch would lead without it.

Splatoon bundle ?! Don't you actually mean, Smash bundle instead ?

Of course. Either way, will roll  over the competition with an oversized paint-roller .



I would have thought the PS4 would be ahead. Of course, I also would have thought they would cut the price by now. Maybe they won't cut the price til next year.



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When are NPD September results due out? Usually around the middle of the next month, right?

Also still floors me that Amazon can't keep a single PS4 SKU in stock for any extended period of time.



It seems that Switch will have very strong month, but I dont think it will beat PS4.



Symbios63 said:
10/15/18 :


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 24 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 29 (-) - 499.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 30 (-) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 34 (-) - 299.99$
5 (+3) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 50 (+14) - 299.99$
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 51 (+8) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 58 (+4) - 299.99$
8 (+1) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 68 (-3) - 299.99$
9 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 79 (+9) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Shadow of the Tomb Raider - 50 (-3) - 499.99$

PS4 : 104 + 94 + 22 = 220 points (+9) ; XBO : 52 + 43 + 33 = 128 points (-36) ; NS : 92 + 84 + 50 = 226 points (+8)


Are you sure about the XBox One X Tomb Raider bundle falling out of the top 100?  I'm looking at the Best Buy list now and it has it at #42.



Switch: SW-3707-5131-3911
XBox: Kenjabish

Megiddo said:
When are NPD September results due out? Usually around the middle of the next month, right?

Also still floors me that Amazon can't keep a single PS4 SKU in stock for any extended period of time.

October 23th. 



Megiddo said:
When are NPD September results due out? Usually around the middle of the next month, right?

Also still floors me that Amazon can't keep a single PS4 SKU in stock for any extended period of time.

This Thursday is when physical is released so expect leaks late that night and physical+digital public release is next tuesday.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.