Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

nero said:
PortisheadBiscuit said:
What happened to Switch? About to drop to 3rd

Could be because all the preordered games in Amazon rn. It's way low because of them

That plus the promotions at both Bestbuy (factored the least into the score here) and Walmart (not factored at all) stealing sales from Amazon and Gamestop



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08/29/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 22 (+7) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 46 (+10) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 55 (+18) - 282.88$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 84 (+7) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 17 points (+7) ; XBO : 46 points (+18) ; NS : 108 + 60 = 168 points (+29) ; PS4 (September) : 0 point (-)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 5 (-4) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 6 (-4) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 7 (-3) - 399.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 19 (-6) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 21 (-3) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 42 (-11) - 499.99$
7 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 78 (-12) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 190 + 180 = 370 points (-35) ; NS : 185 + 120 = 305 points (-50) ; XBO : 110 + 68 + 23 = 201 points (-49) ; PS4 (September) : 0 points (-)

- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 500 Million Ultimate Bundle - 13 (-2) - Sold out
2 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 19 (+3) - 499.99$
3 (+1) - PS4 Pro 2TB 500 Million - 38 (-1) - 734.99$ (Out of Stock)
4 (+1) - PS4 Pro 2TB 500 Million - 39 (-1) - 599.99$ (Out of Stock)
5 (+1) - PS4 Pro 2TB 500 Million - 40 (-1) - 499.99$ (Out of Stock)
6 (-3) - Xbox One X Scorpio - 47 (-18) - 499.99$
7 (+3) - Xbox One X 1Tb - 92 (+26) - 499.99$
8 (+4) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 98 (+38) - 299.99$
9 (-1) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 103 (-27) - 299.99$
10 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 105 (+11) - 299.99$
11 (-) - XBox One X 1 NBA 2K19 - 118 (+9) - 499.99$
12 (-5) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb - 179 (-120) - 399.99$
13 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 182 (-17) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 180 + 120 + 115 + 115 + 47 + 11 = 588 points (-87) ; XBO : 165 + 104 + 60 + 49 + 42 = 420 points (-35) ; NS : 54 + 10 = 64 points (+13) ; PS4 (September) : 0 points (-)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 675.6 points (-88.4) ; Month Average : 425.3 points/day ; 1.0

2 (+1) - XBO : 646.1 points (-39.5) ; Month Average : 316.2 points/day ; 0.74

3 (-1) - NS : 259.4 points (+26.2) ; Month Average : 311.1 points/day ; 0.73


Last edited by Symbios63 - on 29 August 2018

If an item says "Out of stock", remove it. It's literally selling nothing.  The 2TB Pro was only available for one day.

Also the NBA bundles are launching September 11th, they wouldn't count in August.

Last edited by Welfare - on 29 August 2018

Won bet with t3mporary_126 - I correctly predicted that the Wii U's LTD at the end of 2014 would be closer to 9 million than 10 million. http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6673287

Welfare said:

If an item says "Out of stock", remove it. It's literally selling nothing.  The 2TB Pro was only available for one day.

Also the NBA bundles are launching September 11th, they wouldn't count in August.

You tell 'em Welfare!



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Welfare said:

If an item says "Out of stock", remove it. It's literally selling nothing.  The 2TB Pro was only available for one day.

Also the NBA bundles are launching September 11th, they wouldn't count in August.

I disagree. There is only a certain arbitrary maximum amount of points that can be gained for a single day. If the items are still ranking after they were sold out, it just shows how much more they had sold than the other items. There's no point to limit in this case to the arbitrary maximum if it's still charting after it sold out.



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Welfare said:

If an item says "Out of stock", remove it. It's literally selling nothing.  The 2TB Pro was only available for one day.

Also the NBA bundles are launching September 11th, they wouldn't count in August.

About, your first point, I will do both (counting 1 day or everything) this month and see which method works best.

About your second point, I didn't know that, I will fix for sure.



Based on what was mentionned in the thread, here are the new numbers for the month :

Overall (08/29/18, NBA 2k bundles were removed)

1 - PS4 : 675.6 points (-88.4) ; Month Average : 425.3 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 259.4 points (+26.2) ; Month Average : 311.1 points/day ; 0.76
3 - XBO : 527.8 points (-10.9) ; Month Average : 274.4 points/day ; 0.65



Overall (08/29/18, NBA 2k bundles have been removed (September release) and no more points for PS4 million after two days because it was sold out very fast)

1 - PS4 : 325.6 points (-83.4) ; Month Average : 358.5 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 259.4 points (+26.2) ; Month Average : 311.1 points/day ; 0.87
3 - XBO : 527.8 points (-10.9) ; Month Average : 274.4 points/day ; 0.77



Overall (08/29/18, NBA 2k bundles have been removed (September release) and no more points for PS4 million after one day because it was sold out very fast)

1 - PS4 : 145.6 points (-263.4) ; Month Average : 325.1 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 259.4 points (+26.2) ; Month Average : 311.1 points/day ; 0.96
3 - XBO : 527.8 points (-10.9) ; Month Average : 274.4 points/day ; 0.84



What have you done Welfare ? :P



Yeah this is going to be interesting



Switch limping to the finish line in August after starting decently well, it ran out of gas. This tool really captures sales momentum so graphically.