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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

07/20/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (N) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Spiderman LE - 1 (N) - Out of Stock
2 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 2 (-1) - 294.69$
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-) - 299.00$
4 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 11 (-1) - 299.00$
5 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon + SD Card + 20$ - 49 (-23) - 348.98$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 85 (-) - 480.00$

Out of Top 100 :

5 (N) - Nintendo Switch Grey + SD Card + 20$ - 75 (-16) - 348.98$

PS4 : 0 points (-) ; XBO : 205 + 16 = 221 points (-5) ; NS : 200 + 160 + 54 = 414 points (-77) ; PS4 (September) : 210 points (N)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 1 (+1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 9 (+1) - 299.00$
4 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 28 (+1) - 299.99$
5 (-1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 34 (-7) - 499.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 45 (-6) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 210 points (+5) ; XBO : 96 + 84 + 62 = 242 points (-24) ; NS : 200 + 170 = 370 points (+5)


- Gamestop :

1 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 83 (-5) - 299.00$
2 (R) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb Days of Play - 85 (R) - 299.99$
3 (-2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 86 (-16) - 299.99$
4 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 171 (-20) - 299.00$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 66 + 66 = 132 points (+50) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS :68 + 15 = 83 points (-16)

Overall (Today) :

1 - NS : 488.2 points (-76.6) ; Month Average : 448.1 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 174.0 points (+51.0) ; Month Average : 161.5 points/day ; 0.36 (-)
3 - XBO : 225.2 points (-8.8) ; Month Average : 150.3 points/day ; 0.34 (+0.02)



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I'm not sure if you calculated it in with your totals but for Amazon PS4 should have 200 points due to the #1 ranking SKU during the update.

EDIT: Nevermind, those sales count towards September. Carry on.



Megiddo said:
I'm not sure if you calculated it in with your totals but for Amazon PS4 should have 200 points due to the #1 ranking SKU during the update.

No that bundle doesnt release until Sept so it doesnt count for July NPD.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

07/21/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 6 (-4) - 294.69$
2 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 8 (-5) - 299.00$
3 (-2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Spiderman LE - 19 (-18) - Out of Stock
4 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon + SD Card + 20$ - 22 (+27) - 348.98$
5 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 26 (-15) - 299.00$
6 (R) - Nintendo Switch Grey + SD Card + 20$ - 69 (R) - 348.98$
7 (-1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 96 (-11) - 480.00$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 0 points (-) ; XBO : 185 + 5 = 190 points (-31) ; NS : 175 + 108 + 100 + 32 = 415 points (+1) ; PS4 (September) : 120 points (-90)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (+1) - 299.00$
3 (N) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Spiderman LE - 3 (N)
4 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 10 (-1) - 299.00$
4 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 24 (+4) - 299.99$
5 (-1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 29 (+5) - 499.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 48 (-3) - 299.99$
7 (N) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds ++ - 91 (N) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 210 points (-) ; XBO : 104 + 94 + 56 + 10 = 264 points (+22) ; NS : 205 + 165 = 370 points (-) ; PS4 (September) : 200 points (N)


- Gamestop :

1 (N) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Spiderman LE - 13 (N)
2 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 83 (-) - 299.00$
3 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb Days of Play - 84 (+1) - 299.99$
4 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 86 (-) - 299.99$
4 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 170 (+1) - 299.00$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 68 + 66 = 134 points (+2) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS :68 + 16 = 84 points (+1) ; PS4 (September) : 180 points (N)

Overall (Today) :

1 - NS : 490.0 points (+1.8) ; Month Average : 451.1 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 176.0 points (+2.0) ; Month Average : 162.5 points/day ; 0.36 (-)
3 - XBO : 204.8 points (-20.4) ; Month Average : 154.2 points/day ; 0.34 (-)



07/22/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 6 (-) - 294.69$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 8 (-) - 299.00$
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon + SD Card + 20$ - 21 (+1) - 348.98$
4 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Spiderman LE - 23 (-4) - Out of Stock
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 26 (-) - 299.00$
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey + SD Card + 20$ - 68 (+1) - 348.98$
7 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 98 (-2) - 480.00$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 0 points (-) ; XBO : 185 + 3 = 188 points (-2) ; NS : 175 + 110 + 100 + 33 = 418 points (+3) ; PS4 (September) : 106 points (-14)


- Best Buy :

1 (+2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Spiderman LE - 1 (+2) - 399.99$
2 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 2 (-1) - 299.99$
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-1) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 9 (+1) - 299.00$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 19 (+5) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 33 (-4) - 499.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 51 (-3) - 299.99$
8 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 73 (+18) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 205 points (-5) ; XBO : 120 + 86 + 50 + 28 = 284 points (+20) ; NS : 200 + 170 = 370 points (-) ; PS4 (September) : 210 points (+10)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Spiderman LE - 3 (+10)
2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb Days of Play - 66 (+18) - 299.99$
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 72 (+11) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 79 (+7) - 299.99$
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 130 (+40) - 299.00$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 86 + 72 = 158 points (+24) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS :80 + 36 = 116 points (+32) ; PS4 (September) : 205 points (+25)

Overall (Today) :

1 - NS : 524.4 points (+34.4) ; Month Average : 456.0 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 199.0 points (+23.0) ; Month Average : 165.0 points/day ; 0.36 (-)
3 - XBO : 207.2 points (+2.4) ; Month Average : 157.7 points/day ; 0.35 (+0.01)



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07/23/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 6 (+2) - 299.00$
2 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 16 (-10) - 294.69$
3 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 26 (-) - 299.00$
4 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon + SD Card + 20$ - 38 (-17) - 348.98$
5 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Spiderman LE - 45 (-22) - Out of Stock
6 (+1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 89 (+9) - 480.00$
7 (R) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb - 94 (R) - TP

Out of Top 100 :

6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey + SD Card + 20$ - 68 (+1) - 348.98$

PS4 : 7 points (+7) ; XBO : 135 + 12 = 147 points (-41) ; NS : 185 + 100 + 76 = 361 points (-57) ; PS4 (September) : 62 points (-44)


- Best Buy :

1 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 1 (+1) - 299.99$
2 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (+1) - 299.00$
3 (-2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Spiderman LE - 8 (-7) - 399.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 9 (-) - 299.00$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 15 (+4) - 299.99$
6 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 31 (+20) - 299.99$
7 (-1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 33 (-) - 499.99$
8 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 58 (+15) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 210 points (+5) ; XBO : 140 + 90 + 86 + 43 = 359 points (+75) ; NS : 205 + 170 = 375 points (+5) ; PS4 (September) : 175 points (-35)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Spiderman LE - 4 (-1)
2 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 64 (+8) - 299.00$
3 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 71 (+8) - 299.99$
4 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 114 (+16) - 299.00$
5 (-3) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb Days of Play - 187 (-121) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 80 + 7 = 87 points (-71) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS :88 + 44 = 132 points (+16) ; PS4 (September) : 205 points (-)

Overall (Today) :

1 - NS : 495.8 points (-28.6) ; Month Average : 458.5 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 134.6 points (-64.4) ; Month Average : 163.1 points/day ; 0.36 (-)
3 - XBO : 189.4 points (-17.8) ; Month Average : 159.7 points/day ; 0.35 (-)



July NPD will be interesting...



07/24/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 9 (-3) - 299.00$
2 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 22 (-6) - 294.69$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 27 (-1) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + SD Card + 20$ - 62 (-24) - 348.98$
5 (+1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 75 (+14) - 480.00$
6 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Spiderman LE - 100 (-55) - Out of Stock

Out of Top 100 :

7 (R) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb - 94 (R) - TP

PS4 : 0 points (-7) ; XBO : 108 + 26 = 134 points (-13) ; NS : 170 + 98 + 39 = 307 points (-54) ; PS4 (September) : 1 point (-61)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Spiderman LE - 4 (+4) - 399.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 8 (+1) - 299.00$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 17 (-2) - 299.99$
6 (+1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 31 (+2) - 499.99$
7 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 36 (-5) - 299.99$
8 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 48 (+10) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 210 points (-) ; XBO : 130 + 90 + 80 + 56 = 356 points (-3) ; NS : 205 + 175 = 380 points (+5) ; PS4 (September) : 195 points (+20)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Spiderman LE - 4 (-)
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 63 (+1) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 87 (-16) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 106 (+8) - 299.00$

Out of Top 100 :

5 (-3) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb Days of Play - 187 (-121) - 299.99$

PS4 : 64 points (-23) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS :88 + 48 = 136 points (+4) ; PS4 (September) : 205 points (-)

Overall (Today) :

1 - NS : 457.6 points (-38.2) ; Month Average : 458.4 points/day ; 1.0
2 (+1) - XBO : 178.4 points (-11.0) ; Month Average : 160.8 points/day ; 0.35 (-)
3 (-1) - PS4 : 106.0 points (-28.6) ; Month Average : 159.7 points/day ; 0.35 (-0.01)



XBO in front of PS4 in the median curve now too. Though it would most probably br higher without the Spiderman PS4 Pro stealing sales for September.

Also, it's kinda funny that the lowest point of the month for Switch is on July 13, when both Octopath and Captain Toad released. One can clearly see that they pushed the sales, even without the Prime sales



What were last years July NPD numbers for all 3?