Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

06/03/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 10 (-1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 23 (-2) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 50 (+1) - 256.90$
4 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 65 (-6) - 484.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 0 points (-) ; XBO : 52 + 36 = 88 points (-4) ; NS : 165 + 106 = 271 points (-9)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 5 (-) - 399.00$
4 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 11 (+1) - 499.99$
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 14 (-) - 299.00$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 16 (+1) - 249.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 36 (-5) - 299.99$
8 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 57 (-2) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 210 + 190 = 400 points (-) ; XBO : 160 + 135 + 80 = 375 points (-) ; NS : 200 + 145 = 345 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 6 (+1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Glacier White - 15 (+1) - 399.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 69 (-1) - 299.99$
4 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 77 (+10) - 299.00$
5 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 121 (+6) - 299.00$
6 (-2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Star Wars - 132 (-59) - 399.99$
7 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 160 (+33) - 399.00$

Out of Top 100 :

7 (R) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 149 (R) - 499.99$

PS4 : 175 + 82 + 35 + 21 = 313 points (-28) ; XBO : 0 points (-26) ; NS : 74 + 40 = 114 points (+13)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 393.0 points (-28.0) ; Month Average : 512.74 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 399.8 points (+5.8) ; Month Average : 387.45 points/day ; 0.76 (+0.01)
3 - XBO : 145.4 (-29.2) points ; Month Average : 216.97 points/day ; 0.42 (-)



Final day for May NPD with final graph.
PS4 points from Days of Play Edition were removed (they will be added back at release day).



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Great work as ever Symbiosis.

Last day of the month also being the only day PS4 ain't leading, though that's mostly due to the Days of play PS4 Pro stealing sales for the next month.



May Summary :

Amazon : 1) NS : 263.1 points/day (+13.4%) ; 2) XBO : 95.7 points/day (-17.0%) ; 3) PS4 : 45.7 points/day (-74.5%)
Amazon last month : 1) NS : 232.1 points/day ; 2) PS4 : 179.1 points/day ; 3) XBO : 115.3 points/day
Best Buy : 1) PS4 : 373.9 points/day (-19.0%) ; 2) NS : 289.8 points/day (-0.5%) ; 3) XBO : 288.5 points/day (+6.0%)
Best Buy last month : 1) PS4 : 461.4 points/day ; 2) NS : 291.3 points/day ; 3) XBO : 272.1 points/day
Gamestop : 1) PS4 : 401.4 points/day (-16.6%) ; 2) NS : 119.7 points/day (+3.7%) ; 3) XBO : 82.8 points/day (-13.8%)
Gamestop last month : 1) PS4 : 481.1 points/day ; 2) NS : 115.4 points/day ; 3) XBO : 96.1 points/day

Overall : 1) PS4 : 512.7 points/day (-28.5% ; 1.00) ; 2) NS : 388.1 points/day (+8.0% ; 0.76) ; 3) XBO : 217.0 points/day (-10.6% ; 0.42)
Last month : 1) PS4 : 716.6 points/day (1.00) ; 2) NS : 359.3 points/day (0.50) ; 3) XBO : 242.8 points/day (0.34)
Last month NPD : 1) PS4 : 326k (1.00) ; 2) NS : 171k (0.52) ; 3) XBO : 134k (0.41)



Here is the summary for May. PS4 should win this one as well, but switch should be much closer. Ratio between PS4 and XBO should be similar to last month. Let's wait for reality check now...

PS4 Days of Play LE has accumulated 90 points at Best Buy and 910 points at Gamestop, we will have to do something with those but I am not sure how to do (maybe add them all on release date ?).

Don't worry about the little change for NS average since last update, it was just a small mistake that was corrected.



What I find interesting about the graphic is that the PS4 and the Switch almost mirror each other - until the end of the month where they diverge due to the Days of play PS4 Pro stealing some sales from this month and Pokémon boosting sales of the Switch a bit.



06/04/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 8 (+2) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 20 (+3) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 46 (+4) - 257.95$
4 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 52 (+13) - 484.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 0 points (-) ; XBO : 60 + 49 = 109 points (+21) ; NS : 175 + 115 = 290 points (+19)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 4 (-1) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 5 (-) - 399.00$
4 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 12 (-1) - 499.99$
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 13 (+1) - 299.00$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 17 (-1) - 249.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 33 (+3) - 299.99$
8 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 72 (-15) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 210 + 190 + 29 = 429 points (+29) ; XBO : 155 + 130 + 86 = 371 points (-4) ; NS : 195 + 150 = 345 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 5 (+1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Glacier White - 11 (+4) - 399.99$
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 67 (+10) - 299.00$
4 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 79 (-10) - 299.99$
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 99 (+22) - 299.00$
6 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 141 (+19) - 399.00$

Out of Top 100 :

6 (-2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Star Wars - 132 (-59) - 399.99$

PS4 : 200 + 185 + 72 + 30 = 487 points (+174) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 84 + 52 = 136 points (+22)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 572.8 points ; Month Average : 572.8 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 437.0 points ; Month Average : 437.0 points/day ; 0.76
3 - XBO : 161.4 points ; Month Average : 161.4 points/day ; 0.28

First update for June NPD...



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06/05/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 7 (+1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 21 (-1) - 299.00$
3 (+1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 58 (-6) - 484.99$
4 (-1) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 64 (-18) - 253.98$


Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 0 points (-) ; XBO : 43 + 37 = 80 points (-29) ; NS : 180 + 110 = 290 points (-)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 4 (-) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 8 (-3) - 399.00$
4 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 12 (-) - 499.99$
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 13 (-) - 299.00$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 17 (-) - 249.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 33 (-) - 299.99$
8 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 72 (-) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 210 + 175 + 29 = 414 points (-15) ; XBO : 155 + 130 + 86 = 371 points (-) ; NS : 195 + 150 = 345 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 8 (-3) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Glacier White - 14 (-3) - 399.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 64 (+3) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 79 (-) - 299.99$
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 100 (-1) - 299.00$
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 128 (+13) - 399.00$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 195 + 180 + 72 + 37 = 484 points (-3) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 88 + 52 = 140 points (+4)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 566.8 points (-6.0) ; Month Average : 569.8 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 441.0 points (+4.0) ; Month Average : 439.0 points/day ; 0.77 (+0.01)
3 - XBO : 138.2 points (-23.2) ; Month Average : 149.8 points/day ; 0.26 (-0.02)



Pokemon Let's Go and the Mario Tennis Aces Demo really have pushed the Switch out of the sub 400 points area.



06/06/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 6 (+1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 21 (-) - 299.00$
3 (+1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 47 (+11) - 484.99$
4 (-1) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 49 (+15) - 256.00$


Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 0 points (-) ; XBO : 58 + 54 = 112 points (+32) ; NS : 185 + 110 = 295 points (+5)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 5 (-1) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 6 (+2) - 399.00$
4 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 14 (-2) - 499.99$
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 16 (-3) - 299.00$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 20 (-3) - 249.99$
7 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 26 (+46) - 299.99$
8 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 39 (-6) - 299.99$


Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 210 + 185 + 100 = 495 points (+81) ; XBO : 145 + 115 + 74 = 334 points (-37) ; NS : 190 + 135 = 325 points (-20)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 11 (-3) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Glacier White - 18 (-4) - 399.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 67 (-3) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 76 (+3) - 299.99$
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 96 (+4) - 299.00$
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 128 (-) - 399.00$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 185 + 170 + 76 + 37 = 468 points (-16) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 84 + 56 = 140 points (-)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 567.0 points (+0.2) ; Month Average : 568.9 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 441.0 points (-) ; Month Average : 439.7 points/day ; 0.77 (+0.01)
3 - XBO : 156.4 points (+18.2) ; Month Average : 152.0 points/day ; 0.27 (+0.01)



Tagging!!!



The absence of evidence is NOT the evidence of absence...

PSN: StlUzumaki23

Maybe you should start a new thread at the start of a new NPD month and keep an archive.