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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

06/13/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 20 (+3) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 49 (+8) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 57 (+8) - 349.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 97 (-1) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 44 + 4 = 48 points (+7) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 115 + 54 = 169 points (+19)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 5 (-3) - 299.99$
2 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 9 (+1) - 299.99$
3 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 10 (-4) - 349.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 27 (-3) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 45 (-11) - 249.99$
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 53 (-11) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 73 (-24) - 199.99$
8 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 87 (-19) - 399.99$
9 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 95 (-8) - 249.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 165 + 98 + 48 = 311 points (-46) ; XBO : 62 + 28 + 14 + 6 = 110 points (-75) ; NS : 190 + 170 = 360 points (-10)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 68 (-5)
2 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 73 (+12)
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 78 (+16)
4 (-2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 84 (-13)
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 88 (+14)

Out of Top 100 :

6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 191 (-1)

PS4 : 68 + 64 = 132 points (+2) ; XBO : 84 points (-4) ; NS : 78 + 74 = 152 points (+23)

Overall :

1 - NS : 359.2 points (+36.2) ; Month Average : 439.8 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 232.6 points (-1.6) ; Month Average : 339.0 points/day ; 0.77 (-0.01)
3 - XBO : 137.8 points (-24.7) ; Month Average : 207.4 points/day ; 0.47 (-0.01)



Around the Network
Oneeee-Chan!!! said:
I don't see E3 effect.

That goes under the slew of games that get announced or get release dates, which swamp the charts. In fact, the consoles get pushed down more than climb up due to those.



06/14/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 20 (-) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 50 (-1) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 56 (+1) - 349.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 87 (+10) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 45 + 14 = 59 points (+11) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 115 + 52 = 167 points (-2)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 4 (+1) - 299.99$
2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 9 (+1) - 349.99$
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 11 (-2) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 26 (+1) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 42 (+3) - 249.99$
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 51 (+2) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 70 (+3) - 199.99$
8 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 84 (+11) - 249.99$
9 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 85 (+2) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 170 + 100 + 50 = 320 points (+9) ; XBO : 68 + 31 + 17 + 16 = 132 points (+22) ; NS : 195 + 160 = 355 points (-5)


- Gamestop :

1 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 71 (+7)
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 74 (-1)
3 (-2) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 79 (-11)
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 82 (+2)
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 88 (-)
6 (R) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 166 (R)
7 (R) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 SP System - 199 (R)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 70 + 64 + 1 = 135 points (+3) ; XBO : 72 points (-12) ; NS : 80 + 78 + 18 = 176 points (+24)

Overall :

1 - NS : 380.6 points (+21.4) ; Month Average : 435.2 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 246.2 points (+13.6) ; Month Average : 331.8 points/day ; 0.76 (-0.01)
3 - XBO : 127.9 points (-9.9) ; Month Average : 201.3 points/day ; 0.46 (-0.01)



06/16/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 19 (+1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 49 (+1) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 52 (+4) - 349.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 83 (+4) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 49 + 18 = 67 points (+8) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 120 + 54 = 174 points (+7)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 1 (+3) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 5 (+4) - 349.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 6 (+5) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 16 (+10) - 299.99$
5 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 28 (+23) - 299.99$
6 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 29 (+13) - 249.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 46 (+24) - 199.99$
8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 57 (+27) - 249.99$
9 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 61 (+24) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 190 + 135 + 96 = 421 points (+101) ; XBO : 94 + 60 + 44 + 40 = 238 points (+106) ; NS : 210 + 185 = 395 points (+40)


- Gamestop :

1 (+4) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 61 (+27)
2 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 69 (+2)
3 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 77 (+2)
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 79 (+3)
5 (-3) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 80 (-6)
6 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 SP System - 105 (+94)
7 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 140 (+26)
8 (R) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu + Pokeball Charger - 173 (R)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 90 + 72 + 48 = 210 points (+75) ; XBO : 74 points (+2) ; NS : 82 + 72 + 31 + 14 = 199 points (+23)

Overall :

1 - NS : 417.2 points (+36.6) ; Month Average : 431.8 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 347.8 points (+101.6) ; Month Average : 332.2 points/day ; 0.77 (+0.01)
3 - XBO : 158.1 points (+30.2) ; Month Average : 194.8 points/day ; 0.45 (-0.01)



So I haven't paid much attention to US console sales recently. Did Sony really not discount the PS4 slim at all for the Days of Play sale?

That's just nuts if so. In its 6th year and even in one of the bigger Sony sales of the year, it still maintains $300. Wow.

Last edited by Megiddo - on 18 June 2019

Around the Network
Megiddo said:

So I haven't paid much attention to US console sales recently. Did Sony really not discount the PS4 slim at all for the Days of Play sale?

That's just nuts if so. In its 6th year and even in one of the bigger Sony sales of the year, it still maintains $300. Wow.

Yes, Sony is milking the slim for what it's worth. But it also shows that this ain't enough anymore to beat the Switch. And I think that Sony really needs to drop the pricetag of the slim soon if they want to reach those 16M sales for 2019, as they're already almost 1.4M down from the 18M last year if VGC predictions are correct so far.



Another beautiful poem by the greatest writer of NPD numbers has released.

https://www.resetera.com/threads/may-2019-npd-u-s-hardware-predictions-closes-tuesday-june-11th.120149/post-21994836

Tool: Switch - 1.0 I PS4 - 0.68 I XBO - 0.13
NPD: Switch - 1.0 I PS4 - 0.634 I XBO - 0.40



Bet with bluedawgs: I say Switch will outsell PS4 in 2018, he says PS4 will outsell Switch. He's now permabanned, but the bet will remain in my sig.

NNID: Slarvax - Steam: Slarvax - Friend Code:  SW 7885-0552-5988

06/18/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 19 (-) - 299.00$
2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 45 (+7) - 349.99$
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 50 (-1) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 88 (-5) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 63 + 13 = 76 points (+9) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 120 + 52 = 172 points (-2)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 3 (+2) - 349.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 4 (+2) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 20 (-4) - 299.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 30 (-2) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 37 (-8) - 249.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 39 (+7) - 199.99$
8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 47 (+10) - 249.99$
9 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 57 (+4) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 200 + 115 + 92 = 407 points (-14) ; XBO : 78 + 74 + 58 + 44 = 254 points (+16) ; NS : 210 + 195 = 405 points (+10)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 49 (+12)
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 59 (+10)
3 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 70 (+10)
4 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 74 (+3)
5 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 82 (-3)
6 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 98 (+42)
7 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu + Pokeball Charger - 166 (+7)

Out of Top 100 :

6 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 SP System - 105 (+94)

PS4 : 102 + 70 = 172 points (-38) ; XBO : 78 points (+4) ; NS : 92 + 82 + 54 + 18 = 246 points (+47)

Overall :

1 - NS : 464.6 points (+47.4) ; Month Average : 433.4 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 314.2 points (-33.6) ; Month Average : 332.1 points/day ; 0.77 (-)
3 - XBO : 167.4 points (+9.3) ; Month Average : 191.4 points/day ; 0.44 (-0.01)


May was a good month for the tool. XBO undertracking was expected.



Tool did good in May.



Xbox undertracking was expected, but looking at the chart, I feel like it's still a bit too low. Well, I guess we'll know more next month.