In progress NPD predicting tool

Symbios63

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10,176

1228 posts since 20/11/13

Recent Badges:

One Piece at a Time Add your first game to your collection.
10 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 10 years.
Right Tool for the Right Tool Score a total of 25 games in your collection.
Mighty Heart Logged in on Valentine's Day.
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Breaking Out Managed to avoid being banned for 1 year.

Currently Playing:

Stardew Valley (NS)
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (NS)
Xenoblade Chronicles 2 (NS)
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (NS)

Symbios63 on 13 June 2019

06/13/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 20 (+3) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 49 (+8) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 57 (+8) - 349.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 97 (-1) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 44 + 4 = 48 points (+7) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 115 + 54 = 169 points (+19)

- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 5 (-3) - 299.99$
2 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 9 (+1) - 299.99$
3 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 10 (-4) - 349.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 27 (-3) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 45 (-11) - 249.99$
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 53 (-11) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 73 (-24) - 199.99$
8 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 87 (-19) - 399.99$
9 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 95 (-8) - 249.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 165 + 98 + 48 = 311 points (-46) ; XBO : 62 + 28 + 14 + 6 = 110 points (-75) ; NS : 190 + 170 = 360 points (-10)

- Gamestop :

1 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 68 (-5)
2 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 73 (+12)
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 78 (+16)
4 (-2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 84 (-13)
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 88 (+14)

Out of Top 100 :

6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 191 (-1)

PS4 : 68 + 64 = 132 points (+2) ; XBO : 84 points (-4) ; NS : 78 + 74 = 152 points (+23)

Overall :

1 - NS : 359.2 points (+36.2) ; Month Average : 439.8 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 232.6 points (-1.6) ; Month Average : 339.0 points/day ; 0.77 (-0.01)
3 - XBO : 137.8 points (-24.7) ; Month Average : 207.4 points/day ; 0.47 (-0.01)

Bofferbrauer2

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42,784

10249 posts since 25/01/17

Recent Badges:

Genocide 5,000 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
Watch Your Back! Received 10,000 profile views.
Site Veteran Has been a VGChartz member for over 5 years.
It's a Start Bank a Total of 2,000 VG$.
A Civilized Man Managed to avoid being banned for 5 years.
Spreading the Disease Score a total of 50 games in your collection.

Currently Playing:

Oxygen Not Included (PC)
Hearts of Iron IV (PC)
Undertale (PC)
Dragon Quest IV: Chapters of the Chosen (DS)

Bofferbrauer2 on 13 June 2019

Oneeee-Chan!!! said:
I don't see E3 effect.

That goes under the slew of games that get announced or get release dates, which swamp the charts. In fact, the consoles get pushed down more than climb up due to those.

The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

Symbios63

Currently Offline

10,176

1228 posts since 20/11/13

Recent Badges:

Escape Artist Managed to avoid being banned for 1 month.
Spreading the Disease Score a total of 50 games in your collection.
The High Flyer Earned 40 badges.
Littlest Genocide 1,000 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
It's a Start Bank a Total of 2,000 VG$.
Right Tool for the Right Tool Score a total of 25 games in your collection.

Currently Playing:

Stardew Valley (NS)
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (NS)
Xenoblade Chronicles 2 (NS)
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (NS)

Symbios63 on 14 June 2019

06/14/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 20 (-) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 50 (-1) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 56 (+1) - 349.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 87 (+10) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 45 + 14 = 59 points (+11) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 115 + 52 = 167 points (-2)

- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 4 (+1) - 299.99$
2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 9 (+1) - 349.99$
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 11 (-2) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 26 (+1) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 42 (+3) - 249.99$
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 51 (+2) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 70 (+3) - 199.99$
8 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 84 (+11) - 249.99$
9 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 85 (+2) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 170 + 100 + 50 = 320 points (+9) ; XBO : 68 + 31 + 17 + 16 = 132 points (+22) ; NS : 195 + 160 = 355 points (-5)

- Gamestop :

1 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 71 (+7)
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 74 (-1)
3 (-2) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 79 (-11)
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 82 (+2)
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 88 (-)
6 (R) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 166 (R)
7 (R) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 SP System - 199 (R)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 70 + 64 + 1 = 135 points (+3) ; XBO : 72 points (-12) ; NS : 80 + 78 + 18 = 176 points (+24)

Overall :

1 - NS : 380.6 points (+21.4) ; Month Average : 435.2 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 246.2 points (+13.6) ; Month Average : 331.8 points/day ; 0.76 (-0.01)
3 - XBO : 127.9 points (-9.9) ; Month Average : 201.3 points/day ; 0.46 (-0.01)

Symbios63

Currently Offline

10,176

1228 posts since 20/11/13

Recent Badges:

A Free Man Managed to avoid being banned for 2 years.
Painting A Picture 100 screenshots added to the VGChartz database.
Breaking Out Managed to avoid being banned for 1 year.
11 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 11 years.
4 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 4 years.
So You Came Back For More, Huh? Logged in a second time.

Currently Playing:

Stardew Valley (NS)
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (NS)
Xenoblade Chronicles 2 (NS)
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (NS)

Symbios63 on 16 June 2019

06/16/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 19 (+1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 49 (+1) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 52 (+4) - 349.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 83 (+4) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 49 + 18 = 67 points (+8) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 120 + 54 = 174 points (+7)

- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 1 (+3) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 5 (+4) - 349.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 6 (+5) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 16 (+10) - 299.99$
5 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 28 (+23) - 299.99$
6 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 29 (+13) - 249.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 46 (+24) - 199.99$
8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 57 (+27) - 249.99$
9 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 61 (+24) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 190 + 135 + 96 = 421 points (+101) ; XBO : 94 + 60 + 44 + 40 = 238 points (+106) ; NS : 210 + 185 = 395 points (+40)

- Gamestop :

1 (+4) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 61 (+27)
2 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 69 (+2)
3 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 77 (+2)
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 79 (+3)
5 (-3) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 80 (-6)
6 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 SP System - 105 (+94)
7 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 140 (+26)
8 (R) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu + Pokeball Charger - 173 (R)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 90 + 72 + 48 = 210 points (+75) ; XBO : 74 points (+2) ; NS : 82 + 72 + 31 + 14 = 199 points (+23)

Overall :

1 - NS : 417.2 points (+36.6) ; Month Average : 431.8 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 347.8 points (+101.6) ; Month Average : 332.2 points/day ; 0.77 (+0.01)
3 - XBO : 158.1 points (+30.2) ; Month Average : 194.8 points/day ; 0.45 (-0.01)

Megiddo

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7,259

2267 posts since 19/11/17

Recent Badges:

A Civilized Man Managed to avoid being banned for 5 years.
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6 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 6 years.
3 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 3 years.

Megiddo on 18 June 2019

So I haven't paid much attention to US console sales recently. Did Sony really not discount the PS4 slim at all for the Days of Play sale?

That's just nuts if so. In its 6th year and even in one of the bigger Sony sales of the year, it still maintains $300. Wow.

Last edited by Megiddo - on 18 June 2019

Bofferbrauer2

Currently Offline

42,784

10249 posts since 25/01/17

Recent Badges:

Genocide 5,000 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
Watch Your Back! Received 10,000 profile views.
Site Veteran Has been a VGChartz member for over 5 years.
It's a Start Bank a Total of 2,000 VG$.
A Civilized Man Managed to avoid being banned for 5 years.
Spreading the Disease Score a total of 50 games in your collection.

Currently Playing:

Oxygen Not Included (PC)
Hearts of Iron IV (PC)
Undertale (PC)
Dragon Quest IV: Chapters of the Chosen (DS)

Bofferbrauer2 on 18 June 2019

Megiddo said:

So I haven't paid much attention to US console sales recently. Did Sony really not discount the PS4 slim at all for the Days of Play sale?

That's just nuts if so. In its 6th year and even in one of the bigger Sony sales of the year, it still maintains $300. Wow.

Yes, Sony is milking the slim for what it's worth. But it also shows that this ain't enough anymore to beat the Switch. And I think that Sony really needs to drop the pricetag of the slim soon if they want to reach those 16M sales for 2019, as they're already almost 1.4M down from the 18M last year if VGC predictions are correct so far.

The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

Slarvax

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49,153

8949 posts since 14/09/13

Recent Badges:

A Free Man Managed to avoid being banned for 2 years.
Wanted Win VG$100 in total.
Watch Your Back! Received 10,000 profile views.
One Piece at a Time Add your first game to your collection.
Making Friends 10 friends on gamrConnect.
Mighty Heart Logged in on Valentine's Day.

Currently Playing:

Super Mario 3D World (WiiU)
EarthBound (SNES)

Slarvax on 18 June 2019

Another beautiful poem by the greatest writer of NPD numbers has released.

https://www.resetera.com/threads/may-2019-npd-u-s-hardware-predictions-closes-tuesday-june-11th.120149/post-21994836

Tool: Switch - 1.0 I PS4 - 0.68 I XBO - 0.13
NPD: Switch - 1.0 I PS4 - 0.634 I XBO - 0.40

Bet with bluedawgs: I say Switch will outsell PS4 in 2018, he says PS4 will outsell Switch. He's now permabanned, but the bet will remain in my sig.

NNID: Slarvax - Steam: Slarvax - Friend Code: SW 7885-0552-5988

Symbios63

Currently Offline

10,176

1228 posts since 20/11/13

Recent Badges:

The Nuts & Bolts Add a total of 25 games to your collection.
Littlest Genocide 1,000 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
Painting A Picture 100 screenshots added to the VGChartz database.
One Piece at a Time Add your first game to your collection.
2 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 2 years.
Breaking Out Managed to avoid being banned for 1 year.

Currently Playing:

Stardew Valley (NS)
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (NS)
Xenoblade Chronicles 2 (NS)
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (NS)

Symbios63 on 18 June 2019

06/18/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 19 (-) - 299.00$
2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 45 (+7) - 349.99$
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 50 (-1) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 88 (-5) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 63 + 13 = 76 points (+9) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 120 + 52 = 172 points (-2)

- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 3 (+2) - 349.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 4 (+2) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 20 (-4) - 299.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 30 (-2) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 37 (-8) - 249.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 39 (+7) - 199.99$
8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 47 (+10) - 249.99$
9 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 57 (+4) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 200 + 115 + 92 = 407 points (-14) ; XBO : 78 + 74 + 58 + 44 = 254 points (+16) ; NS : 210 + 195 = 405 points (+10)

- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 49 (+12)
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 59 (+10)
3 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 70 (+10)
4 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 74 (+3)
5 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 82 (-3)
6 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 98 (+42)
7 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu + Pokeball Charger - 166 (+7)

Out of Top 100 :

6 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 SP System - 105 (+94)

PS4 : 102 + 70 = 172 points (-38) ; XBO : 78 points (+4) ; NS : 92 + 82 + 54 + 18 = 246 points (+47)

Overall :

1 - NS : 464.6 points (+47.4) ; Month Average : 433.4 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 314.2 points (-33.6) ; Month Average : 332.1 points/day ; 0.77 (-)
3 - XBO : 167.4 points (+9.3) ; Month Average : 191.4 points/day ; 0.44 (-0.01)

May was a good month for the tool. XBO undertracking was expected.