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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

The tool did so well!



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Yeah i've noticed that the tool has been coming close to predicting 2/3 consoles with one usually being a bit off.



Another month, another great result for the tool. Some say that PS4 will finish first this month. Let's see how it goes



nero said:
Another month, another great result for the tool. Some say that PS4 will finish first this month. Let's see how it goes

On ResetEra? Do you know what that's based on? Like insider data, new releases or something else.



Replicant said:
nero said:
Another month, another great result for the tool. Some say that PS4 will finish first this month. Let's see how it goes

On ResetEra? Do you know what that's based on? Like insider data, new releases or something else.

Forgot to mention. Yep, According to Benji and new releases. I still think NS will be first, with a narrow PS4



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nero said:
Replicant said:

On ResetEra? Do you know what that's based on? Like insider data, new releases or something else.

Forgot to mention. Yep, According to Benji and new releases. I still think NS will be first, with a narrow PS4

Thanks. Yeah, I agree considering that Switch sold 130k more than PS4 in March coupled with the fact that games (at least the size of Days Gone and Mortal Kombat) don't seem to push sales noticeable this late in the gen.



nero said:
Another month, another great result for the tool. Some say that PS4 will finish first this month. Let's see how it goes

Very much doubt it, but let's see.

Joker release for SSBU and Switch game sale were super-effective at keeping Switch sales up throughout most of this month.

While Benji cites new releases, there ain't very much that does work out that way. MK11 also comes out on Switch and seems doing pretty fine here, so that one being nullified. Which leaves us with Days gone and World War Z as the PS4 headliners for the month, and I don't think that's enough to beat the Switch.



04/24/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 17 (-) - 299.00$
2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 37 (+1) - 299.99$
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 39 (-3) - 299.00$
4 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 86 (+14) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

4 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 95 (R) - 299.99$

PS4 : 78 + 15 = 93 points (+16) ; XBO : 0 points (-6) ; NS : 130 + 74 = 204 points (-6)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 6 (+1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 8 (+1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 14 (-2) - 399.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 15 (-) - 299.99$
5 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 32 (+12) - 399.99$
6 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 34 (-14) - 249.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 38 (+17) - 249.99$
8 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 63 (-7) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 175 + 145 = 320 points (-5) ; XBO : 88 + 84 + 76 = 248 points (+23) ; NS : 185 + 140 + 38 = 363 points (-2)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 66 (+11)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 72 (+14)
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 78 (+15)
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 80 (+18)
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 95 (+44)
6 (R) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 181 (R)
7 (R) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu + Pokeball - 194 (R)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 80 + 74 = 154 points (+30) ; XBO : 56 points (+25) ; NS : 86 + 72 + 10 + 4 = 172 points (+44)

Overall :

1 - XBO : 137.3 points (+32.3) ; Month Average : 745.3 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 407.8 points (+38.8) ; Month Average : 426.2 points/day ; 0.57 (+0.02)
3 - PS4 : 292.4 points (+41.8) ; Month Average : 252.2 points/day ; 0.34 (+0.02)



nero said:
Replicant said:

On ResetEra? Do you know what that's based on? Like insider data, new releases or something else.

Forgot to mention. Yep, According to Benji and new releases. I still think NS will be first, with a narrow PS4

Did he really say that though? I thought it was just him speculating based on the first days of april NPD period that it's not set in stone that Switch would win all months. I'm not sure he actually said that PS4 would win. 

Or did he post that later on perhaps?



04/25/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 26 (+13) - 299.00$
2 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 27 (-10) - 299.00$
3 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 35 (+2) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 86 (-) - 399.99$
5 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 92 (R) - 206.60$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 82 + 15 = 97 points (+4) ; XBO : 9 points (+9) ; NS : 100 + 98 = 198 points (-6)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 5 (+1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 8 (-) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 12 (+2) - 399.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 14 (+1) - 299.99$
5 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 35 (-1) - 249.99$
6 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 36 (-4) - 399.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 40 (-2) - 249.99$
8 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 55 (+8) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 175 + 155 = 330 points (+10) ; XBO : 82 + 80 + 72 = 234 points (-14) ; NS : 190 + 145 + 46 = 381 points (+18)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 50 (+16)
2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 71 (+7)
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 92 (-12)
4 (-2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 93 (-21)
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 97 (-2)
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 167 (+14)
7 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu + Pokeball - 170 (+24)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 80 + 58 = 138 points (-16) ; XBO : 54 points (-2) ; NS : 102 + 60 + 17 + 16 = 195 points (+23)

Overall :

1 - XBO : 140.4 points (+3.1) ; Month Average : 713.5 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 429.6 points (+21.8) ; Month Average : 426.4 points/day ; 0.60 (+0.03)
3 - PS4 : 281.6 points (-10.8) ; Month Average : 254.0 points/day ; 0.36 (+0.02)