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Forums - Sales - In progress NPD predicting tool

11/07/18 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 11 (+3) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 29 (-) - 399.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 45 (+2) - 299.00$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 94 points (-) ; XBO : 0 point (-) ; NS : 160 + 62 = 222 points (+19)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 1 (-) - 399.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 2 (-) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 3 (-) - 359.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 5 (-) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 6 (-) - 299.99$
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 9 (-) - 299.99$
7 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 12 (-1) - 499.99$
8 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 15 (-) - 299.99$
9 (+4) - XBox One X 1Tb - 19 (+56) - 499.99$
10 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 24 (-2) - 299.99$
11 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Shadow of the Tomb Raider - 53 (-) - 499.99$
12 (-1) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 56 (+1) - 299.99$
13 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 73 (+1) - 499.99$
14 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu! - 95 (+3) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 210 + 205 + 155 = 570 points (-5) ; XBO : 185 + 120 + 104 + 48 + 45 + 28 = 530 points (+92) ; NS : 200 + 190 + 170 + 140 + 6 = 706 points (+3)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 3 (+2)
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 19 (+4)
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Diablo III EC - 25 (-)
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 77 (-15)
5 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 96 (+7)
6 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 102 (-8)
7 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 112 (+38)
8 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 123 (R)
9 (-2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 156 (-10)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 74 + 50 + 23 = 147 points (-29) ; XBO : 45 + 39 = 84 points (+58) ; NS : 205 + 165 + 150 + 56 = 576 points (+22)

Overall (with preorders from last months) :

1 - NS : 1306.9 points (+37.8) ; Month Average : 1272.8 points/day ; 1.0
2 - XBO : 295.6 points (+99.3) ; Month Average : 473.0 points/day ; 0.37 (-0.04)
3 - PS4 : 336.2 points (-30.0) ; Month Average : 355.6 points/day ; 0.28 (-0.01)



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Im a little lost. Can someone tell me who will win october npd according to this tool?
Thanks.



Chorlin said:
Im a little lost. Can someone tell me who will win october npd according to this tool?
Thanks.

Switch > XBO > PS4 according to this tool.

Ratios - Switch 1, XBO 0.74, PS4 0.66.



Barkley said:
Chorlin said:
Im a little lost. Can someone tell me who will win october npd according to this tool?
Thanks.

Switch > XBO > PS4 according to this tool.

Ratios - Switch 1, XBO 0.74, PS4 0.66.

Thank you.



When is October NPD released?



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TruckOSaurus said:
When is October NPD released?

November 20th 



With Xbox and PS4 deals starting the 18th of November at best buy (and likeley everywhere else) we should see a big increase then



Guys what's your opinion about the odd result given by the tool compared to many people expectation the month of RDR2 ? Sony have the marketing deal but they are going to sell less than the others ?



globalisateur said:
Guys what's your opinion about the odd result given by the tool compared to many people expectation the month of RDR2 ? Sony have the marketing deal but they are going to sell less than the others ?

It may be (and this has been suggested) that the number of SKU's from Xbox is clouding the position of the PS4... but also perhaps as we get towards xmas the higher items may have a bigger gap.... its all very interesting, but I guess we'll start seeing the NPd results and the tool can be modified if need be. We always knew that xmas could be the difficult one for the tool.... but if it gets it all right, then perhaps we don't nee to worry.



Making an indie game : Dead of Day!

globalisateur said:
Guys what's your opinion about the odd result given by the tool compared to many people expectation the month of RDR2 ? Sony have the marketing deal but they are going to sell less than the others ?

I think the tool can be easily gamed by flooding SKUs as seen with Xbox's huge spike not too long ago. I also think that GameStop's rankings are not the most reliable and may result in high price SKUs staying top ranked for far longer than they should be, as seen with the special anniversary PS4 which was inexplicably still charting very high in the rankings even 2 weeks after it was completely sold out.