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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Prediction: Labo is going to flop

 

Sales prediction of Labo (in millions)?

<1 17 13.49%
 
1 12 9.52%
 
2 22 17.46%
 
3 16 12.70%
 
4 5 3.97%
 
5 16 12.70%
 
6 2 1.59%
 
7 1 0.79%
 
8 1 0.79%
 
>8 34 26.98%
 
Total:126
setsunatenshi said:
curl-6 said:

VR is a boring gimmick in my opinion. Labo on the other hand actually looks interesting due to the fun of getting hands-on and building stuff, plus the potential for cool custom creations.

That just blows my mind, really.

VR as the most immersive way to enter a videogame world = gimmick

Cardboard folding = interesting

That's a valid opinion for anyone to have outside a videogame forum. Inside one is bizarre to say the least.

 

Not criticizing your opinion though, just finding it really weird.

You have to take into account what the goal of each product is.

VR is about isolation & immersion.

Labo is about creation & interaction.

 

One is about taking yourself away from your surroundings and entering a new world while the other is about engineering your own devices and seeing what they can do.

 

For someone who loves to build which product is more appealing?



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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I think the point of LABO is to expand the market potential of the Switch. Therefore, the intended consumer base for the product only slightly overlaps with the demographic on this site. Nintendo are going after the expanded audience/blue ocean again to further increase the userbase on the Switch. Could easily see a permanent sales baseline rise WW with a product like this. My guess is, Nintendo values an expansion of its userbase more than sheer sales of this product. More HW down the line= more SW sold for Nintendo, as new customers seek to add to their Switch/LABO purchase. This also adds to the fact that the Switch somewhat advertises itself. A new Switch customer shows their LABO to friends/neighbours and it snowballs from there. Am sure there will be more casual/bridge games in the future that won't necessarily appeal to the people here but will moreso to an expanded market. So whilst LABO might not appeal here,(or games after it for that matter), it will likely foster growth for the Switch in other areas. Largely ones that don't frequent places such as this.



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ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!

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peachbuggy said:
I think the point of LABO is to expand the market potential of the Switch. Therefore, the intended consumer base for the product only slightly overlaps with the demographic on this site. Nintendo are going after the expanded audience/blue ocean again to further increase the userbase on the Switch. Could easily see a permanent sales baseline rise WW with a product like this. My guess is, Nintendo values an expansion of its userbase more than sheer sales of this product. More HW down the line= more SW sold for Nintendo, as new customers seek to add to their Switch/LABO purchase. This also adds to the fact that the Switch somewhat advertises itself. A new Switch customer shows their LABO to friends/neighbours and it snowballs from there. Am sure there will be more casual/bridge games in the future that won't necessarily appeal to the people here but will moreso to an expanded market. So whilst LABO might not appeal here,(or games after it for that matter), it will likely foster growth for the Switch in other areas. Largely ones that don't frequent places such as this.

Yeah i really think Labo will be to Switch as Nintendogs/Brain Age, Wii Sports/Fit & Kinect were to DS, Wii & 360.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

quickrick said:
think-man said:

2-3 million would be amazing, I'd say less than 1 million is a flop. 

seems like every game nintedo releases is a big hit, i really doubt nintedo would be happy with 2-3 million, they have been pushing it like crazy saying its there next big thing to attract new people to buy switch.

They've been pushing it like crazy?

How? When? Where?


I have seen zero advertising about it anywhere, outside of their own media channels.



zorg1000 said:
peachbuggy said:
I think the point of LABO is to expand the market potential of the Switch. Therefore, the intended consumer base for the product only slightly overlaps with the demographic on this site. Nintendo are going after the expanded audience/blue ocean again to further increase the userbase on the Switch. Could easily see a permanent sales baseline rise WW with a product like this. My guess is, Nintendo values an expansion of its userbase more than sheer sales of this product. More HW down the line= more SW sold for Nintendo, as new customers seek to add to their Switch/LABO purchase. This also adds to the fact that the Switch somewhat advertises itself. A new Switch customer shows their LABO to friends/neighbours and it snowballs from there. Am sure there will be more casual/bridge games in the future that won't necessarily appeal to the people here but will moreso to an expanded market. So whilst LABO might not appeal here,(or games after it for that matter), it will likely foster growth for the Switch in other areas. Largely ones that don't frequent places such as this.

Yeah i really think Labo will be to Switch as Nintendogs/Brain Age, Wii Sports/Fit & Kinect were to DS, Wii & 360.

If i'm honest, i think LABO will be the start. Once it is embedded in the homes of "new" consumers, then i believe at least some of the other franchises you mentioned will be resurrected. The brain age/ Wii sports crowd who grew up playing those games will now have kids of their own. They will buy LABO for their kids and then look for games for themselves, perhaps leading to more console sales, for themselves. Should they notice a "Wii series" game for example they will probably remember it with nostalgia and from there the effect will begin to take place.



DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.

ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!

In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!

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I love this thread and Labo. They both really start to act as a sieve and separate people from logic. We have someone claiming that it is a VR wannabee. We have another person who claims that only hard core nerds will buy it (I'm not sure if I fulfill that definition, but I think every single one of us in this forum do to some degree and if you think that doesn't mean you, you have some small reflection to do).

The last time I saw people get this worked up about a product and its sales potential it was the Wii. Now mind you, I'm definitely not saying these pieces of cardboard have the Wii level of appeal, but just that it illicits the same emotional response.

The part I'm trying to figure out is the reason for the extra hate:

1. Nintendo is selling cardboard with their name on it and people will buy it?

2. People think that this will ruin gaming?

3. People think this will take development resources from core games?

4. People get so bothered by the concept of seeing themselves play with Labo that they cringe so deep internally it leads to nausea.

5, People initially made such harsh judgments at the reveal and placed their chips on the "this wil fail" bet and have to ride it all the way to the bank?

6. People hate the idea of other people having fun doing something that isn't "pure gaming?"

7. People think VR is just such a better alternative and they really can't understand why people would be more excited about these pieces of cardboard and a minigame collection than a truly immersive 3D experience that is the future of all gaming (and maybe even all of life.)

Feel free to add your own reason or specify if you identify with any of these reasons.



RolStoppable said:
zorg1000 said:

Yeah i really think Labo will be to Switch as Nintendogs/Brain Age, Wii Sports/Fit & Kinect were to DS, Wii & 360.

I don't see it happening. Labo's target demographic is too narrow to pull off such huge numbers, even if you combined all current and future Labo kits.

The novelty of Labo ensures that individual kits will be million sellers, but Labo won't be as big as the things you mentioned.

Idk, i dont see how Labo's target demographic is any narrower than any of those.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Well i hope it will flop so Nintendo can go back to the 2017 switch mind and just focus on real games like Zelda and Odyssey.



I just hope the Labo doesn’t hurt switch sales. If it hurts the Switches overall image it may impact sales.



Gamer147 said:
I just hope the Labo doesn’t hurt switch sales. If it hurts the Switches overall image it may impact sales.

No. It will expand the demographic and Nintendo can easily cater to all its demographics.



DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.

ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!

In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!